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Vector autoregression (VAR) is a fundamental tool for modeling multivariate time series. However, as the number of component series is increased, the VAR model becomes overparameterized. Several authors have addressed this issue by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-09 William B. Nicholson , Ines Wilms , Jacob Bien , David S. Matteson

This study proposes a unified forecasting framework for high-dimensional multi-task time series to meet the prediction demands of cloud native backend systems operating under highly dynamic loads, coupled metrics, and parallel tasks. The…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-25 Zixiao Huang , Jixiao Yang , Sijia Li , Chi Zhang , Jinyu Chen , Chengda Xu

Time series forecasting is a critical and challenging task in practical application. Recent advancements in pre-trained foundation models for time series forecasting have gained significant interest. However, current methods often overlook…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-02 Shubao Zhao , Ming Jin , Zhaoxiang Hou , Chengyi Yang , Zengxiang Li , Qingsong Wen , Yi Wang

Recent progress in neural forecasting accelerated improvements in the performance of large-scale forecasting systems. Yet, long-horizon forecasting remains a very difficult task. Two common challenges afflicting the task are the volatility…

Accurate time series forecasting, predicting future values based on past data, is crucial for diverse industries. Many current time series methods decompose time series into multiple sub-series, applying different model architectures and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-19 Ronghui Han , Duanyu Feng , Hongyu Du , Hao Wang

Financial markets are inherently non-stationary: structural breaks and macroeconomic regime shifts often cause forecasting models to fail when deployed out of distribution (OOD). Conventional multimodal approaches that simply fuse numerical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-18 Sarthak Khanna , Armin Berger , Muskaan Chopra , David Berghaus , Rafet Sifa

Accurate crude oil price forecasting is crucial for various economic activities, including energy trading, risk management, and investment planning. Although deep learning models have emerged as powerful tools for crude oil price…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-17 Mohammed Alruqimi , Luca Di Persio

Demand is spiking in industrial fields for multidisciplinary forecasting, where a broad spectrum of sectors needs planning and forecasts to streamline intelligent business management, such as demand forecasting, product planning, inventory…

Data scarcity and discontinuity are common occurrences in the healthcare and epidemiological dataset and often need help in forming an educative decision and forecasting the upcoming scenario. Often, these data are stored as monthly/yearly…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2023-04-25 Mahadee Al Mobin , Md. Kamrujjaman

Recommendation systems face the challenge of balancing accuracy and diversity, as traditional collaborative filtering (CF) and network-based diffusion algorithms exhibit complementary limitations. While item-based CF (ItemCF) enhances…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2025-03-04 Yu Peng , Ya-Hui An

In long-term multivariate time series forecasting, effectively capturing both periodic patterns and residual dynamics is essential. To address this within standard deep learning benchmark settings, we propose the Hierarchical Patching Mixer…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-20 Jung Min Choi , Vijaya Krishna Yalavarthi , Lars Schmidt-Thieme

Deep learning has significantly advanced time series forecasting through its powerful capacity to capture sequence relationships. However, training these models with the Mean Square Error (MSE) loss often results in over-smooth predictions,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-25 Yanru Sun , Zongxia Xie , Dongyue Chen , Emadeldeen Eldele , Qinghua Hu

Graph-based Retrieval-Augmented Generation (GraphRAG) frameworks face a trade-off between the comprehensiveness of global search and the efficiency of local search. Existing methods are often challenged by navigating large-scale…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2026-01-30 Yuejie Li , Ke Yang , Tao Wang , Bolin Chen , Bowen Li , Chengjun Mao

Providing long-range forecasts is a fundamental challenge in time series modeling, which is only compounded by the challenge of having to form such forecasts when a time series has never previously been observed. The latter challenge is the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-08-28 Christopher Xie , Alex Tank , Alec Greaves-Tunnell , Emily Fox

Accurate water level forecasting is crucial for managing ecosystems such as the Everglades, a subtropical wetland vital for flood mitigation, drought management, water resource planning, and biodiversity conservation. While recent advances…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-08 Rahuul Rangaraj , Jimeng Shi , Rajendra Paudel , Giri Narasimhan , Yanzhao Wu

Time series forecasting is one of the most essential and ubiquitous tasks in many business problems, including demand forecasting and logistics optimization. Traditional time series forecasting methods, however, have resulted in small…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-01 Young-Jin Park , Donghyun Kim , Frédéric Odermatt , Juho Lee , Kyung-Min Kim

Autonomous systems not only need to understand their current environment, but should also be able to predict future actions conditioned on past states, for instance based on captured camera frames. However, existing models mainly focus on…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-11-10 Angel Villar-Corrales , Ani Karapetyan , Andreas Boltres , Sven Behnke

We introduce a novel ensemble approach for feature selection based on hierarchical stacking for non-stationarity and/or a limited number of samples with a large number of features. Our approach exploits the co-dependency between features…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-08 Aysin Tumay , Mustafa E. Aydin , Ali T. Koc , Suleyman S. Kozat

It is imperative to discern the relationships between multiple time series for accurate forecasting. In particular, for stock prices, components are often divided into groups with the same characteristics, and a model that extracts…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-16 Ryo Umagami , Yu Ono , Yusuke Mukuta , Tatsuya Harada

Semi-supervised learning approaches have emerged as an active area of research to combat the challenge of obtaining large amounts of annotated data. Towards the goal of improving the performance of semi-supervised learning methods, we…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-12-22 Ashima Garg , Shaurya Bagga , Yashvardhan Singh , Saket Anand