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Ecological momentary assessment (EMA) ratings are widely used in studies of behavioral and psychological phenomena to capture real-time data in subjects' real-world environments. Because the data are collected repeatedly over the study…

The modeling of time-to-event data, also known as survival analysis, requires specialized methods that can deal with censoring and truncation, time-varying features and effects, and that extend to settings with multiple competing events.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-04-20 Andreas Bender , David Rügamer , Fabian Scheipl , Bernd Bischl

Unsupervised ensemble learning emerged to address the challenge of combining multiple learners' predictions without access to ground truth labels or additional data. This paradigm is crucial in scenarios where evaluating individual…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-29 Ariel Maymon , Yanir Buznah , Uri Shaham

Predictive uncertainty-a model's self awareness regarding its accuracy on an input-is key for both building robust models via training interventions and for test-time applications such as selective classification. We propose a novel…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-04 Nishant Jain , Karthikeyan Shanmugam , Pradeep Shenoy

We propose new ensemble models for multivariate functional data classification as combinations of semi-metric-based weak learners. Our models extend current semi-metric-type methods from the univariate to the multivariate case, propose new…

Human annotations are an important source of information in the development of natural language understanding approaches. As under the pressure of productivity annotators can assign different labels to a given text, the quality of produced…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2020-10-29 Kristian Miok , Gregor Pirs , Marko Robnik-Sikonja

Neural networks are very effective when trained on large datasets for a large number of iterations. However, when they are trained on non-stationary streams of data and in an online fashion, their performance is reduced (1) by the online…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-04 Albin Soutif--Cormerais , Antonio Carta , Joost Van de Weijer

Risk prediction models are widely used to guide real-world decision-making in areas such as healthcare and economics, and they also play a key role in estimating nuisance parameters in semiparametric inference. The super learner is a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-05 Anders Munch , Thomas A. Gerds

Modern computational organic chemistry is becoming increasingly data-driven. There remain a large number of important unsolved problems in this area such as product prediction given reactants, drug discovery, and metric-optimized molecule…

生物大分子 · 定量生物学 2026-02-10 Josh Payne , Mario Srouji , Dian Ang Yap , Vineet Kosaraju

Hierarchical data with multiple observations per group is ubiquitous in empirical sciences and is often analyzed using mixed-effects regression. In such models, Bayesian inference gives an estimate of uncertainty but is analytically…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-05 Alex Kipnis , Marcel Binz , Eric Schulz

When considering a model selection or, more generally, an aggregation approach for adaptive statistical inference, it is often necessary to compute estimators over a wide range of model complexities including unnecessarily large models even…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-17 Ilsang Ohn , Shitao Fan , Jungbin Jun , Lizhen Lin

Transformer-based models, such as BERT and GPT, have been widely adopted in natural language processing (NLP) due to their exceptional performance. However, recent studies show their vulnerability to textual adversarial attacks where the…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-12-01 Lujia Shen , Yuwen Pu , Shouling Ji , Changjiang Li , Xuhong Zhang , Chunpeng Ge , Ting Wang

Considering censored outcomes in survival analysis can lead to quite complex results in the model setting of causal inference. Causal inference has attracted a lot of attention over the past few years, but little research has been done on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-11 Byeonghee Lee , Joonsung Kang

Supervised machine-learning models often underperform in predicting user behaviors from conversational text, hindered by poor crowdsourced label quality and low NLP task accuracy. We introduce the Metadata-Sensitive Weighted-Encoding…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-29 Lynnette Hui Xian Ng , Kokil Jaidka , Kaiyuan Tay , Hansin Ahuja , Niyati Chhaya

Ecological Momentary Assessments (EMA) capture real-time thoughts and behaviors in natural settings, producing rich longitudinal data for statistical and physiological analyses. However, the robustness of these analyses can be compromised…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-21 Yiheng Wei , Donald Hedeker

Conventional survival analysis approaches estimate risk scores or individualized time-to-event distributions conditioned on covariates. In practice, there is often great population-level phenotypic heterogeneity, resulting from (unknown)…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-03-03 Paidamoyo Chapfuwa , Chunyuan Li , Nikhil Mehta , Lawrence Carin , Ricardo Henao

Predictive maintenance is an effective tool for reducing maintenance costs. Its effectiveness relies heavily on the ability to predict the future state of health of the system, and for this survival models have shown to be very useful. Due…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-02-02 Olov Holmer , Erik Frisk , Mattias Krysander

Ensemble data from Earth system models has to be calibrated and post-processed. I propose a novel member-by-member post-processing approach with neural networks. I bridge ideas from ensemble data assimilation with self-attention, resulting…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-13 Tobias Sebastian Finn

Survival analysis (SA) models have been widely studied in mining electronic health records (EHRs), particularly in forecasting the risk of critical conditions for prioritizing high-risk patients. However, their vulnerability to adversarial…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-30 Mohsen Nayebi Kerdabadi , Arya Hadizadeh Moghaddam , Bin Liu , Mei Liu , Zijun Yao

To predict rare extreme events using deep neural networks, one encounters the so-called small data problem because even long-term observations often contain few extreme events. Here, we investigate a model-assisted framework where the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-20 Anna Asch , Ethan Brady , Hugo Gallardo , John Hood , Bryan Chu , Mohammad Farazmand