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The Distributional Random Forest (DRF) is a recently introduced Random Forest algorithm to estimate multivariate conditional distributions. Due to its general estimation procedure, it can be employed to estimate a wide range of targets such…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-12-20 Jeffrey Näf , Corinne Emmenegger , Peter Bühlmann , Nicolai Meinshausen

Distributional Random Forest (DRF) is a flexible forest-based method to estimate the full conditional distribution of a multivariate output of interest given input variables. In this article, we introduce a variable importance algorithm for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-02-15 Clément Bénard , Jeffrey Näf , Julie Josse

Knowing the features of a complex system that are highly relevant to a particular target variable is of fundamental interest in many areas of science. Existing approaches are often limited to linear settings, sometimes lack guarantees, and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-06 Francesco Quinzan , Ashkan Soleymani , Patrick Jaillet , Cristian R. Rojas , Stefan Bauer

Random forest (RF) stands out as a highly favored machine learning approach for classification problems. The effectiveness of RF hinges on two key factors: the accuracy of individual trees and the diversity among them. In this study, we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-28 Ye-eun Kim , Seoung Yun Kim , Hyunjoong Kim

In this article, we strengthen the proof methods of some previously weakly consistent variants of random forests into strongly consistent proof methods, and improve the data utilization of these variants, in order to obtain better…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-04-11 Junhao Chen , Xueli wang

In this paper, we extend the Riesz representation framework to causal inference under sample selection, where both treatment assignment and outcome observability are non-random. Formulating the problem in terms of a Riesz representer…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-01-14 Jakob Bjelac , Victor Chernozhukov , Phil-Adrian Klotz , Jannis Kueck , Theresa M. A. Schmitz

The perspective of developing trustworthy AI for critical applications in science and engineering requires machine learning techniques that are capable of estimating their own uncertainty. In the context of regression, instead of estimating…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-14 Quentin Duchemin , Guillaume Obozinski

The random forest (RF) algorithm has become a very popular prediction method for its great flexibility and promising accuracy. In RF, it is conventional to put equal weights on all the base learners (trees) to aggregate their predictions.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-05-18 Xinyu Chen , Dalei Yu , Xinyu Zhang

In this paper, we modify the proof methods of some previously weakly consistent variants of random forests into strongly consistent proof methods, and improve the data utilization of these variants in order to obtain better theoretical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-17 JunHao Chen

We propose a computationally efficient alternative to generalized random forests (GRFs) for estimating heterogeneous effects in large dimensions. While GRFs rely on a gradient-based splitting criterion, which in large dimensions is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-06-18 David Fleischer , David A. Stephens , Archer Y. Yang

Many causal and policy effects of interest are defined by linear functionals of high-dimensional or non-parametric regression functions. $\sqrt{n}$-consistent and asymptotically normal estimation of the object of interest requires debiasing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-16 Victor Chernozhukov , Whitney K. Newey , Victor Quintas-Martinez , Vasilis Syrgkanis

Random Forest (Breiman, 2001) is a successful and widely used regression and classification algorithm. Part of its appeal and reason for its versatility is its (implicit) construction of a kernel-type weighting function on training data,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-10-13 Domagoj Ćevid , Loris Michel , Jeffrey Näf , Nicolai Meinshausen , Peter Bühlmann

We propose a doubly robust inference method for causal effects of continuous treatment variables, under unconfoundedness and with nonparametric or high-dimensional nuisance functions. Our double debiased machine learning (DML) estimators…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-10-02 Kyle Colangelo , Ying-Ying Lee

Random forest is widely exploited as an ensemble learning method. In many practical applications, however, there is still a significant challenge to learn from imbalanced data. To alleviate this limitation, we propose a deep dynamic boosted…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-08 Haixin Wang , Xingzhang Ren , Jinan Sun , Wei Ye , Long Chen , Muzhi Yu , Shikun Zhang

Causal and nonparametric estimands in economics and biostatistics can often be viewed as the mean of a linear functional applied to an unknown outcome regression function. Naively learning the regression function and taking a sample mean of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-12 Christian L. Hines , Oliver J. Hines

We study estimation of the conditional law $P(Y|X=x)$ and continuous functionals $\Psi(P(Y|X=x))$ when $Y$ takes values in a locally compact Polish space, $X \in \mathbb{R}^p$, and the observations arise from a complex survey design. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-07 Yating Zou , Marcos Matabuena , Michael R. Kosorok

This study proposes a debiasing method for smooth nonparametric estimators. While machine learning techniques such as random forests and neural networks have demonstrated strong predictive performance, their theoretical properties remain…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-19 Masahiro Kato

We propose generalized random forests, a method for non-parametric statistical estimation based on random forests (Breiman, 2001) that can be used to fit any quantity of interest identified as the solution to a set of local moment…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-04-06 Susan Athey , Julie Tibshirani , Stefan Wager

Random forest (RF) methodology is one of the most popular machine learning techniques for prediction problems. In this article, we discuss some cases where random forests may suffer and propose a novel generalized RF method, namely…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-04-24 Haozhe Zhang , Dan Nettleton , Zhengyuan Zhu

Consider semiparametric estimation where a doubly robust estimating function for a low-dimensional parameter is available, depending on two working models. With high-dimensional data, we develop regularized calibrated estimation as a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-28 Satyajit Ghosh , Zhiqiang Tan
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