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Many real-world time series exhibit strong periodic structures arising from physical laws, human routines, or seasonal cycles. However, modern deep forecasting models often fail to capture these recurring patterns due to spectral bias and a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-05 Menglin Kong , Vincent Zhihao Zheng , Lijun Sun

Multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting is vital in fields like weather, energy, and finance. However, despite deep learning advancements, traditional Transformer-based models often diminish the effect of crucial inter-variable…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-03 Yanhong Li , David C. Anastasiu

Seasonal time series Forecasting remains a challenging problem due to the long-term dependency from seasonality. In this paper, we propose a two-stage framework to forecast univariate seasonal time series. The first stage explicitly learns…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-08 Qingyang Xu , Qingsong Wen , Liang Sun

Diffusion models achieve remarkable success in processing images and text, and have been extended to special domains such as time series forecasting (TSF). Existing diffusion-based approaches for TSF primarily focus on modeling…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-04-29 Chen Su , Yuanhe Tian , Yan Song

Urban forecasting models often face a severe data imbalance problem: only a few cities have dense, long-span records, while many others expose short or incomplete histories. Direct transfer from data-rich to data-scarce cities is unreliable…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-23 Yue Jiang , Chenxi Liu , Yile Chen , Qin Chao , Shuai Liu , Cheng Long , Gao Cong

Short-Term Load Forecasting (STLF) is a fundamental component in the efficient management of power systems, which has been studied intensively over the past 50 years. The emerging development of smart grid technologies is posing new…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-02-28 The-Hien Dang-Ha , Filippo Maria Bianchi , Roland Olsson

The recently proposed xLSTM is a powerful model that leverages expressive multiplicative gating and residual connections, providing the temporal capacity needed for long-horizon forecasting and representation learning. This architecture has…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-03 Kamil Faber , Marcin Pietroń , Dominik Żurek , Roberto Corizzo

Time series forecasting has played the key role in different industrial, including finance, traffic, energy, and healthcare domains. While existing literatures have designed many sophisticated architectures based on RNNs, GNNs, or…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-13 Kun Yi , Qi Zhang , Wei Fan , Shoujin Wang , Pengyang Wang , Hui He , Defu Lian , Ning An , Longbing Cao , Zhendong Niu

This study presents a groundbreaking model for forecasting long-term financial time series, termed the Enhanced LFTSformer. The model distinguishes itself through several significant innovations: (1) VMD-MIC+FE Feature Engineering: The…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-19 Jianan Zhang , Hongyi Duan

Most existing Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) use channel independent modeling and focus on capturing and generalizing temporal dependencies, while neglecting the correlations among channels or overlooking the different aspects of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-24 Hanyin Cheng , Xingjian Wu , Yang Shu , Zhongwen Rao , Lujia Pan , Bin Yang , Chenjuan Guo

Time series prediction can be generalized as a process that extracts useful information from historical records and then determines future values. Learning long-range dependencies that are embedded in time series is often an obstacle for…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2018-10-25 Yuxiu Hua , Zhifeng Zhao , Rongpeng Li , Xianfu Chen , Zhiming Liu , Honggang Zhang

Time series classification (TSC) performance depends not only on architectural design but also on the diversity of input representations. In this work, we propose a scalable multi-scale convolutional framework that systematically integrates…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-26 Celal Alagöz , Mehmet Kurnaz , Farhan Aadil

Traffic flow forecasting aims to predict future traffic flows based on the historical traffic conditions and the road network. It is an important problem in intelligent transportation systems, with a plethora of methods been proposed.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-04 Yusheng Zhao , Xiao Luo , Haomin Wen , Zhiping Xiao , Wei Ju , Ming Zhang

Transformer-based models are at the forefront in long time-series forecasting (LTSF). While in many cases, these models are able to achieve state of the art results, they suffer from a bias toward low-frequencies in the data and high…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-13 Elisha Dayag , Nhat Thanh Van Tran , Jack Xin

Time Series Forecasting (TSF) faces persistent challenges in modeling intricate temporal dependencies across different scales. Despite recent advances leveraging different decomposition operations and novel architectures based on CNN, MLP…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-24 Haonan Yang , Jianchao Tang , Zhuo Li , Long Lan

The financial domain presents a complex environment for stock market prediction, characterized by volatile patterns and the influence of multifaceted data sources. Traditional models have leveraged either Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN)…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-04-08 Arya Chakraborty , Auhona Basu

Accurate forecasting of multivariate time series data remains a formidable challenge, particularly due to the growing complexity of temporal dependencies in real-world scenarios. While neural network-based models have achieved notable…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-09 Andrey Savchenko , Oleg Kachan

Forecasting the evolution of complex systems is one of the grand challenges of modern data science. The fundamental difficulty lies in understanding the structure of the observed stochastic process. In this paper, we show that every…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-01-01 Xiucai Ding , Zhou Zhou

Multivariate time series (MTS) data are becoming increasingly ubiquitous in diverse domains, e.g., IoT systems, health informatics, and 5G networks. To obtain an effective representation of MTS data, it is not only essential to consider…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-06 Yang Jiao , Kai Yang , Shaoyu Dou , Pan Luo , Sijia Liu , Dongjin Song

Time series forecasting plays a crucial role in diverse fields, necessitating the development of robust models that can effectively handle complex temporal patterns. In this article, we present a novel feature selection method embedded in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-01 Raquel Espinosa , Fernando Jiménez , José Palma