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Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used in social science simulations. While their performance on reasoning and optimization tasks has been extensively evaluated, less attention has been paid to their ability to simulate human…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-08-25 Yuanjun Feng , Vivek Choudhary , Yash Raj Shrestha

In discrete choice modeling (DCM), model misspecifications may lead to limited predictability and biased parameter estimates. In this paper, we propose a new approach for estimating choice models in which we divide the systematic part of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-09-23 Brian Sifringer , Virginie Lurkin , Alexandre Alahi

Deterministic models are approximations of reality that are easy to interpret and often easier to build than stochastic alternatives. Unfortunately, as nature is capricious, observational data can never be fully explained by deterministic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-03-31 Andrew Warrington , Saeid Naderiparizi , Frank Wood

This study explores the estimation of parameters in a matrix-valued linear regression model, where the $T$ responses $(Y_t)_{t=1}^T \in \mathbb{R}^{n \times p}$ and predictors $(X_t)_{t=1}^T \in \mathbb{R}^{m \times q}$ satisfy the…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-12-08 Nayel Bettache

Deep learning (DL) techniques have achieved great success in predictive accuracy in a variety of tasks, but deep neural networks (DNNs) are shown to produce highly overconfident scores for even abnormal samples. Well-defined uncertainty…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-26 Yufei Li , Simin Chen , Wei Yang

Reliable uncertainty quantification is a first step towards building explainable, transparent, and accountable artificial intelligent systems. Recent progress in Bayesian deep learning has made such quantification realizable. In this paper,…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2018-11-20 Yijun Xiao , William Yang Wang

Data-driven turbulence modelling approaches are gaining increasing interest from the CFD community. However, the introduction of a machine learning (ML) model introduces a new source of uncertainty, the ML model itself. Quantification of…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2021-01-12 Ashley Scillitoe , Pranay Seshadri , Mark Girolami

Estimating conditional dependence graphs and precision matrices are some of the most common problems in modern statistics and machine learning. When data are fully observed, penalized maximum likelihood-type estimators have become standard…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-04-09 Roger Fan , Byoungwook Jang , Yuekai Sun , Shuheng Zhou

Deep Learning (DL) has made remarkable achievements in computer vision and adopted in safety critical domains such as medical imaging or autonomous drive. Thus, it is necessary to understand the uncertainty of the model to effectively…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-05-28 Hyekyoung Hwang , Jitae Shin

Each year a growing number of wind farms are being added to power grids to generate electricity. The power curve of a wind turbine, which exhibits the relationship between generated power and wind speed, plays a major role in assessing the…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2021-06-10 Farzad Karami , Nasser Kehtarnavaz , Mario Rotea

In the field of medical image analysis, deep learning models have demonstrated remarkable success in enhancing diagnostic accuracy and efficiency. However, the reliability of these models is heavily dependent on the quality of training…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-07-12 Maolin Li , Giacomo Tarroni

Both industry and academia have made considerable progress in developing trustworthy and responsible machine learning (ML) systems. While critical concepts like fairness and explainability are often addressed, the safety of systems is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-11-08 Patrick Kaiser , Christoph Kern , David Rügamer

In this paper, a simple heuristic is proposed for the design of uncertainty aware predictive controllers for nonlinear models involving uncertain parameters. The method relies on Machine Learning-based approximation of ideal deterministic…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-02-05 Mazen Alamir

Large language models (LLMs) achieve strong performance in long-horizon decision-making tasks through multi-step interaction and reasoning at test time. While practitioners commonly believe a higher task success rate necessitates the use of…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-05-15 Yuanzhe Li , Jianing Deng , Jingtong Hu , Tianlong Chen , Song Wang , Huanrui Yang

The performance of machine learning models often relies on large labeled datasets; however, data collected from diverse sources can contain label noise. Recent work has shown that, in noisy settings, there may exist a subset of the training…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-05 Kumar Shubham , Pavan Karjol , Kiran M K , Prathosh AP

Distributionally robust optimization (DRO) provides a framework for training machine learning models that are able to perform well on a collection of related data distributions (the "uncertainty set"). This is done by solving a min-max…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-01 Paul Michel , Tatsunori Hashimoto , Graham Neubig

This paper studies the properties of debiased machine learning (DML) estimators under a novel asymptotic framework, offering insights for improving the performance of these estimators in applications. DML is an estimation method suited to…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-11-05 Amilcar Velez

This paper focuses on the identification of the process noise density of a linear time-varying system described by the state-space model with the known measurement noise density. A novel method is proposed that enhances the measurement…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-04-29 Jindrich Dunik , Oliver Kost , J. Krejci , Ondrej Straka

Deep Metric Learning (DML) methods aim at learning an embedding space in which distances are closely related to the inherent semantic similarity of the inputs. Previous studies have shown that popular benchmark datasets often contain…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-11-02 Oriol Barbany , Xiaofan Lin , Muhammet Bastan , Arnab Dhua

It is well-known that deep neural networks (DNNs) have shown remarkable success in many fields. However, when adding an imperceptible magnitude perturbation on the model input, the model performance might get rapid decrease. To address this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-04 Hao Yang , Min Wang , Zhengfei Yu , Yun Zhou