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In this paper, we present a new approach to time series forecasting. Time series data are prevalent in many scientific and engineering disciplines. Time series forecasting is a crucial task in modeling time series data, and is an important…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-01-24 Neo Wu , Bradley Green , Xue Ben , Shawn O'Banion

Temporal causal discovery is a crucial task aimed at uncovering the causal relations within time series data. The latest temporal causal discovery methods usually train deep learning models on prediction tasks to uncover the causality…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-25 Lingbai Kong , Wengen Li , Hanchen Yang , Yichao Zhang , Jihong Guan , Shuigeng Zhou

Time series forecasting is important across various domains for decision-making. In particular, financial time series such as stock prices can be hard to predict as it is difficult to model short-term and long-term temporal dependencies…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-12 Zhen Zeng , Rachneet Kaur , Suchetha Siddagangappa , Saba Rahimi , Tucker Balch , Manuela Veloso

Mechanistic interpretability focuses on reverse engineering the internal mechanisms learned by neural networks. We extend our focus and propose to mechanistically forward engineer using our framework based on Concept Bottleneck Models. In…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-01 Angela van Sprang , Erman Acar , Willem Zuidema

Since its introduction, the transformer has shifted the development trajectory away from traditional models (e.g., RNN, MLP) in time series forecasting, which is attributed to its ability to capture global dependencies within temporal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-07 Xiwen Chen , Peijie Qiu , Wenhui Zhu , Huayu Li , Hao Wang , Aristeidis Sotiras , Yalin Wang , Abolfazl Razi

The performance of time series forecasting has recently been greatly improved by the introduction of transformers. In this paper, we propose a general multi-scale framework that can be applied to the state-of-the-art transformer-based time…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-08 Amin Shabani , Amir Abdi , Lili Meng , Tristan Sylvain

Mining frequent episodes aims at recovering sequential patterns from temporal data sequences, which can then be used to predict the occurrence of related events in advance. On the other hand, gradual patterns that capture co-variation of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-21 Jerry Lonlac , Arnaud Doniec , Marin Lujak , Stephane Lecoeuche

Time series forecasting is essential in a wide range of real world applications. Recently, frequency-domain methods have attracted increasing interest for their ability to capture global dependencies. However, when applied to non-stationary…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-09 Zhongde An , Jinhong You , Jiyanglin Li , Yiming Tang , Wen Li , Heming Du , Shouguo Du

Residential electricity demand forecasting is critical for efficient energy management and grid stability. Accurate predictions enable utility companies to optimize planning and operations. However, real-world residential electricity demand…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-31 Reza Nematirad , Anil Pahwa , Balasubramaniam Natarajan

Time series forecasting is widely used in the fields of equipment life cycle forecasting, weather forecasting, traffic flow forecasting, and other fields. Recently, some scholars have tried to apply Transformer to time series forecasting…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-24 Benhan Li , Shengdong Du , Tianrui Li

Time series forecasting is an important task in many fields ranging from supply chain management to weather forecasting. Recently, Transformer neural network architectures have shown promising results in forecasting on common time series…

We present Latent Diffeomorphic Dynamic Mode Decomposition (LDDMD), a new data reduction approach for the analysis of non-linear systems that combines the interpretability of Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD) with the predictive power of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-04 Willem Diepeveen , Jon Schwenk , Andrea Bertozzi

Time series modeling for predictive purpose has been an active research area of machine learning for many years. However, no sufficiently comprehensive and meanwhile substantive survey was offered so far. This survey strives to meet this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-28 Fatoumata Dama , Christine Sinoquet

Time series analysis faces significant challenges in handling variable-length data and achieving robust generalization. While Transformer-based models have advanced time series tasks, they often struggle with feature redundancy and limited…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-23 Kai Zhang , Siming Sun , Zhengyu Fan , Qinmin Yang , Xuejun Jiang

Seasonal forecasting remains challenging due to the inherent chaotic nature of atmospheric dynamics. This paper introduces DeepSeasons, a novel deep learning approach designed to enhance the accuracy and reliability of seasonal forecasts.…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-09-16 A. Navarra , G. G. Navarra

Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) is a challenging task that has been investigated in various domains such as finance investment, health care, traffic, and weather forecasting. In recent years, Linear-based LTSF models showed better…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-13 Seonkyu Lim , Jaehyeon Park , Seojin Kim , Hyowon Wi , Haksoo Lim , Jinsung Jeon , Jeongwhan Choi , Noseong Park

Time series decomposition into trend, seasonal structure, and residual components is a core primitive for downstream analytics such as anomaly detection, change-point detection, and forecasting. However, most existing seasonal-trend…

Passenger demand forecasting helps optimize vehicle scheduling, thereby improving urban efficiency. Recently, attention-based methods have been used to adequately capture the dynamic nature of spatio-temporal data. However, existing methods…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-06-06 Haichen Wang , Liu Yang , Xinyuan Zhang , Haomin Yu , Ming Li , Jilin Hu

In multivariate time series forecasting, the Transformer architecture encounters two significant challenges: effectively mining features from historical sequences and avoiding overfitting during the learning of temporal dependencies. To…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-30 Han Zhou , Yuntian Chen

In the past few years, time series foundation models have achieved superior predicting accuracy. However, real-world time series often exhibit significant diversity in their temporal patterns across different time spans and domains, making…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-19 Aobo Liang , Yan Sun , Xiaohou Shi , Ke Li