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Predictive models can fail to generalize from training to deployment environments because of dataset shift, posing a threat to model reliability and the safety of downstream decisions made in practice. Instead of using samples from the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-08-10 Adarsh Subbaswamy , Suchi Saria

Causal relationships form the basis for reasoning and decision-making in Artificial Intelligence systems. To exploit the large volume of textual data available today, the automatic discovery of causal relationships from text has emerged as…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2020-11-30 Farhad Moghimifar , Afshin Rahimi , Mahsa Baktashmotlagh , Xue Li

Unobserved confounders are a long-standing issue in causal inference using propensity score methods. This study proposed nonparametric indices to quantify the impact of unobserved confounders through pseudo-experiments with an application…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-08-27 Beilin Jia , Donglin Zeng , Qing Yang , Wei Pan

In causal inference, confounders are variables that influence both treatment decisions and outcomes. However, unlike as in randomized clinical trials, the treatment assignment mechanism in observational studies is not known, and it is thus…

This paper develops a general causal inference method for treatment effects models with noisily measured confounders. The key feature is that a large set of noisy measurements are linked with the underlying latent confounders through an…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-10-14 Yingjie Feng

Many social science questions ask how linguistic properties causally affect an audience's attitudes and behaviors. Because text properties are often interlinked (e.g., angry reviews use profane language), we must control for possible latent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-13 Graham Tierney , Srikar Katta , Christopher Bail , Sunshine Hillygus , Alexander Volfovsky

Large Language Models are widely used for content moderation but often present certain over-sensitivity, leading to misclassification of benign content and rejecting safe user commands. While previous research attributes this issue…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-03-19 Yuxin Wang , Botao Yu , Ivory Yang , Saeed Hassanpour , Soroush Vosoughi

This article extends the combinatorial approach to support the determination of contextuality amidst causal influences. Contextuality is an active field of study in Quantum Cognition, in systems relating to mental phenomena, such as…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2022-02-17 Abdul Karim Obeid , Peter Bruza , Catarina Moreira , Axel Bruns , Daniel Angus

Topic models are popular statistical tools for detecting latent semantic topics in a text corpus. They have been utilized in various applications across different fields. However, traditional topic models have some limitations, including…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-10-10 Pritom Saha Akash , Trisha Das , Kevin Chen-Chuan Chang

In many prediction problems, spurious correlations are induced by a changing relationship between the label and a nuisance variable that is also correlated with the covariates. For example, in classifying animals in natural images, the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-14 Aahlad Puli , Lily H. Zhang , Eric K. Oermann , Rajesh Ranganath

Evaluating the causal effect of an intervention on multivariate outcomes is challenging when the outcomes are interdependent and derived rather than directly observed. Effective connectivity, which summarizes the directional neural…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-02 Haiyue Song , Ani Eloyan , Youjin Lee

Recent research has revealed that deep neural networks often take dataset biases as a shortcut to make decisions rather than understand tasks, leading to failures in real-world applications. In this study, we focus on the spurious…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-06-23 Yanrui Du , Jing Yan , Yan Chen , Jing Liu , Sendong Zhao , Qiaoqiao She , Hua Wu , Haifeng Wang , Bing Qin

Deep neural networks often rely on spurious correlations to make predictions, which hinders generalization beyond training environments. For instance, models that associate cats with bed backgrounds can fail to predict the existence of cats…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-06 Shirley Wu , Mert Yuksekgonul , Linjun Zhang , James Zou

Causal effect moderation investigates how the effect of interventions (or treatments) on outcome variables changes based on observed characteristics of individuals, known as potential effect moderators. With advances in data collection,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-26 Soham Bakshi , Walter Dempsey , Snigdha Panigrahi

Causal inference from observational data provides strong evidence for the best action in decision-making without performing expensive randomized trials. The effect of an action is usually not identifiable under unobserved confounding, even…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-02 Md Musfiqur Rahman , Ziwei Jiang , Hilaf Hasson , Murat Kocaoglu

Results in epidemiology and social science often require the removal of confounding effects from measurements of the pairwise correlation of variables in survey data. This is typically accomplished by some variant of linear regression…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-02 William H. Press

Causal modeling provides us with powerful counterfactual reasoning and interventional mechanism to generate predictions and reason under various what-if scenarios. However, causal discovery using observation data remains a nontrivial task…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-06 Jawad Chowdhury , Rezaur Rashid , Gabriel Terejanu

To draw scientifically meaningful conclusions and build reliable models of quantitative phenomena, cause and effect must be taken into consideration (either implicitly or explicitly). This is particularly challenging when the measurements…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-11 Max A. Little , Reham Badawy

Convolutional Neural Networks have been a subject of great importance over the past decade and great strides have been made in their utility for producing state of the art performance in many computer vision problems. However, the behavior…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2017-08-04 Swami Sankaranarayanan , Arpit Jain , Ser Nam Lim

Recent research analyzing the sensitivity of natural language understanding models to word-order perturbations has shown that neural models are surprisingly insensitive to the order of words. In this paper, we investigate this phenomenon by…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2022-04-01 Louis Clouatre , Prasanna Parthasarathi , Amal Zouaq , Sarath Chandar