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Long-term Time Series Forecasting (LTSF) is critical for numerous real-world applications, such as electricity consumption planning, financial forecasting, and disease propagation analysis. LTSF requires capturing long-range dependencies…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-04 Aitian Ma , Dongsheng Luo , Mo Sha

Ensuring sustainability demands more efficient energy management with minimized energy wastage. Therefore, the power grid of the future should provide an unprecedented level of flexibility in energy management. To that end, intelligent…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2018-11-29 Daniel L. Marino , Kasun Amarasinghe , Milos Manic

Effectively leveraging prior knowledge of a system's physics is crucial for applications of machine learning to scientific domains. Previous approaches mostly focused on incorporating physical insights at the architectural level. In this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-05 Sékou-Oumar Kaba , Kusha Sareen , Daniel Levy , Siamak Ravanbakhsh

As global climate change intensifies, accurate weather forecasting has become increasingly important, affecting agriculture, energy management, environmental protection, and daily life. This study introduces a hybrid model combining…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-22 Yuhao Gong , Yuchen Zhang , Fei Wang , Chi-Han Lee

The performance of transformers for time-series forecasting has improved significantly. Recent architectures learn complex temporal patterns by segmenting a time-series into patches and using the patches as tokens. The patch size controls…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-25 Yitian Zhang , Liheng Ma , Soumyasundar Pal , Yingxue Zhang , Mark Coates

The Karlsruhe Tritium Neutrino Experiment (KATRIN) aims to measure the absolute neutrino mass with unprecedented sensitivity, requiring precise monitoring of the windowless gaseous tritium source, where tritium beta decay occurs. To track…

仪器与探测器 · 物理学 2026-05-12 Nicholas Tan Jerome , Nadia Aouadi , Christoph Koehler , Suren Chilingaryan , Andreas Kopmann

We introduce a Loss Discounting Framework for model and forecast combination which generalises and combines Bayesian model synthesis and generalized Bayes methodologies. We use a loss function to score the performance of different models…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-29 Dawid Bernaciak , Jim E. Griffin

Load forecasting has long been recognized as an important building block for all utility operational planning efforts. Over the recent years, it has become ever more challenging to make accurate forecasts due to the proliferation of…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2019-05-17 Guangrui Xie , Xi Chen , Yang Weng

The use of machine learning for time series prediction has become increasingly popular across various industries thanks to the availability of time series data and advancements in machine learning algorithms. However, traditional methods…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-06-01 Gonçalo Mateus , Cláudia Soares , João Leitão , António Rodrigues

This paper presents design of a Maximum Power Point Tracking (MPPT) circuit and its functionality for tuning the maximum power transfer from an energy harvester (EH) unit. Simple and practical Perturb and Observe algorithm is investigated…

硬件体系结构 · 计算机科学 2021-10-25 Adam Hudec , Lukas Nagy , Martin Kovac , Viera Stopjakova

Smart home energy management systems help the distribution grid operate more efficiently and reliably, and enable effective penetration of distributed renewable energy sources. These systems rely on robust forecasting, optimization, and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-07 Mert Nakıp , Onur Çopur , Emrah Biyik , Cüneyt Güzeliş

Short-term load forecasting (STLF) is essential for the reliable and economic operation of power systems. Though many STLF methods were proposed over the past decades, most of them focused on loads at high aggregation levels only. Thus,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-03-27 Yayu Peng , Yishen Wang , Xiao Lu , Haifeng Li , Di Shi , Zhiwei Wang , Jie Li

In neural machine translation (NMT), the computational cost at the output layer increases with the size of the target-side vocabulary. Using a limited-size vocabulary instead may cause a significant decrease in translation quality. This…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2018-07-31 Katsuki Chousa , Katsuhito Sudoh , Satoshi Nakamura

The discrepancy between maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) and task measures such as BLEU score has been studied before for autoregressive neural machine translation (NMT) and resulted in alternative training algorithms (Ranzato et al.,…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2021-09-22 Sumanta Bhattacharyya , Amirmohammad Rooshenas , Subhajit Naskar , Simeng Sun , Mohit Iyyer , Andrew McCallum

Wind energy is a widely distributed, renewable, and environmentally friendly energy source that plays a crucial role in mitigating global warming and addressing energy shortages. Nevertheless, wind power generation is characterized by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-06 Meiyu Jiang , Jun Shen , Xuetao Jiang , Lihui Luo , Rui Zhou , Qingguo Zhou

This paper presents a novel learning based framework for predicting power outages caused by extreme events. The proposed approach targets low-probability high-consequence outage scenarios and leverages a comprehensive set of features…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-11 Nina Fatehi , Antar Kumar Biswas , Masoud H. Nazari

Recent years have witnessed exponential growth in developing deep learning (DL) models for time-series electricity forecasting in power systems. However, most of the proposed models are designed based on the designers' inherent knowledge…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-04 Jin Yang , Guangxin Jiang , Yinan Wang , Ying Chen

Accurate and efficient imbalance electricity price forecasting is critical for industrial energy trading systems, especially as battery assets and automated bidding pipelines increasingly participate in balancing markets. However, real-time…

Short term electricity price forecast is essential in competitive power markets, yet electricity price series exhibit high volatility, irregularity, and non-stationarity. This phenomenon is pronounced in the South Australian region of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-28 Wei Lu , Jay Wang , Dingli Duan , Ding Mao , Caiyi Song , John Huang

One of the primal challenges faced by utility companies is ensuring efficient supply with minimal greenhouse gas emissions. The advent of smart meters and smart grids provide an unprecedented advantage in realizing an optimised supply of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-19 Adithya Ramachandran , Satyaki Chatterjee , Siming Bayer , Andreas Maier , Thorkil Flensmark