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Time series forecasting is a critical task across domains such as energy, finance, and meteorology, where accurate predictions enable informed decision-making. While transformer-based and large-parameter models have recently achieved…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-11 Julien Guité-Vinet , Alexandre Blondin Massé , Éric Beaudry

Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) is a critical task in computational intelligence. While Transformer-based models effectively capture long-range dependencies, they often suffer from quadratic complexity and overfitting due to data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-03 Li Qianyang , Zhang Xingjun , Wang Shaoxun , Wei Jia

Deep learning (e.g., Transformer) has been widely and successfully used in multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF). Unlike existing methods that focus on training models from a single modal of time series input, large language models…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-09 Peiyuan Liu , Hang Guo , Tao Dai , Naiqi Li , Jigang Bao , Xudong Ren , Yong Jiang , Shu-Tao Xia

Recently, channel-independent methods have achieved state-of-the-art performance in multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting. Despite reducing overfitting risks, these methods miss potential opportunities in utilizing channel dependence…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-14 Lifan Zhao , Yanyan Shen

Long-term time-series forecasting (LTTF) has become a pressing demand in many applications, such as wind power supply planning. Transformer models have been adopted to deliver high prediction capacity because of the high computational…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-06 Yan Li , Xinjiang Lu , Haoyi Xiong , Jian Tang , Jiantao Su , Bo Jin , Dejing Dou

Multi-task and few-shot time series forecasting tasks are commonly encountered in scenarios such as the launch of new products in different cities. However, traditional time series forecasting methods suffer from insufficient historical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-25 Pengpeng Ouyang , Dong Chen , Tong Yang , Shuo Feng , Zhao Jin , Mingliang Xu

Time series data, including univariate and multivariate ones, are characterized by unique composition and complex multi-scale temporal variations. They often require special consideration of decomposition and multi-scale modeling to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-26 Shuhan Zhong , Sizhe Song , Weipeng Zhuo , Guanyao Li , Yang Liu , S. -H. Gary Chan

Spatial-temporal data modeling aims to mine the underlying spatial relationships and temporal dependencies of objects in a system. However, most existing methods focus on the modeling of spatial-temporal data in a single mode, lacking the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-23 Zihang Liu , Le Yu , Tongyu Zhu , Leiei Sun

Multivariate time series forecasting has been widely used in various practical scenarios. Recently, Transformer-based models have shown significant potential in forecasting tasks due to the capture of long-range dependencies. However,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-10 Zhe Li , Zhongwen Rao , Lujia Pan , Zenglin Xu

Time series forecasting (TSF) is crucial in fields like economic forecasting, weather prediction, traffic flow analysis, and public health surveillance. Real-world time series data often include noise, outliers, and missing values, making…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-09 Quangao Liu , Ruiqi Li , Maowei Jiang , Wei Yang , Chen Liang , LongLong Pang , Zhuozhang Zou

Multivariate time series forecasting has seen widely ranging applications in various domains, including finance, traffic, energy, and healthcare. To capture the sophisticated temporal patterns, plenty of research studies designed complex…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-05 Tianping Zhang , Yizhuo Zhang , Wei Cao , Jiang Bian , Xiaohan Yi , Shun Zheng , Jian Li

Time series forecasting is a long-standing and highly challenging research topic. Recently, driven by the rise of large language models (LLMs), research has increasingly shifted from purely time series methods toward harnessing textual…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-09-03 Shiqiao Zhou , Holger Schöner , Huanbo Lyu , Edouard Fouché , Shuo Wang

Transformer-based models have emerged as powerful tools for multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF). However, existing Transformer models often fall short of capturing both intricate dependencies across variate and temporal dimensions…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-10 Juncheng Liu , Chenghao Liu , Gerald Woo , Yiwei Wang , Bryan Hooi , Caiming Xiong , Doyen Sahoo

In multivariate time-series forecasting (MTSF), extracting the temporal correlations of the input sequences is crucial. While popular Transformer-based predictive models can perform well, their quadratic computational complexity results in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-23 Shusen Ma , Yu Kang , Peng Bai , Yun-Bo Zhao

Accurate analysis of industrial time-series big data is critical for the Prognostics and Health Management (PHM) of industrial equipment. While recent advancements in Large Language Models (LLMs) have shown promise in time-series analysis,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-10 Haiteng Wang , Yikang Li , Yunfei Zhu , Jingheng Yan , Lei Ren , Laurence T. Yang

Multivariate time series forecasting remains a challenge due to the complexity of local temporal dynamics and global dependencies across multiple variables. In this paper, we propose \textbf{N}eighboring \textbf{P}atching \textbf{Mixer}…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-11 Jung Min Choi , Vijaya Krishna Yalavarthi , Lars Schmidt-Thieme

In recent work on time-series prediction, Transformers and even large language models have garnered significant attention due to their strong capabilities in sequence modeling. However, in practical deployments, time-series prediction often…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-17 Wenxuan Xie , Fanpu Cao

Recent lightweight MLP-based models have achieved strong performance in time series forecasting by capturing stable trends and seasonal patterns. However, their effectiveness hinges on an implicit assumption of local stationarity…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-29 Zhiyu Chen , Minhao Liu , Yanru Zhang

Traffic prediction is a typical spatio-temporal data mining task and has great significance to the public transportation system. Considering the demand for its grand application, we recognize key factors for an ideal spatio-temporal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-26 Zijian Zhang , Ze Huang , Zhiwei Hu , Xiangyu Zhao , Wanyu Wang , Zitao Liu , Junbo Zhang , S. Joe Qin , Hongwei Zhao

Recent work has shown that simple linear models can outperform several Transformer based approaches in long term time-series forecasting. Motivated by this, we propose a Multi-layer Perceptron (MLP) based encoder-decoder model, Time-series…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-04-05 Abhimanyu Das , Weihao Kong , Andrew Leach , Shaan Mathur , Rajat Sen , Rose Yu