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Real-world clinical time series data sets exhibit a high prevalence of missing values. Hence, there is an increasing interest in missing data imputation. Traditional statistical approaches impose constraints on the data-generating process…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-01-13 Yang Guo , Zhengyuan Liu , Pavitra Krishnswamy , Savitha Ramasamy

Real-world time-series datasets often violate the assumptions of standard supervised learning for forecasting -- their distributions evolve over time, rendering the conventional training and model selection procedures suboptimal. In this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-27 Sercan O. Arik , Nathanael C. Yoder , Tomas Pfister

Time series forecasting (TSF) is crucial in fields like economic forecasting, weather prediction, traffic flow analysis, and public health surveillance. Real-world time series data often include noise, outliers, and missing values, making…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-09 Quangao Liu , Ruiqi Li , Maowei Jiang , Wei Yang , Chen Liang , LongLong Pang , Zhuozhang Zou

Missing value imputation is an important practical problem. There is a large body of work on it, but there does not exist any work that formulates the problem in a structured output setting. Also, most applications have constraints on the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-11-12 Rahul Kidambi , Vinod Nair , Sundararajan Sellamanickam , S. Sathiya Keerthi

Wind power forecasting is essential to power system operation and electricity markets. As abundant data became available thanks to the deployment of measurement infrastructures and the democratization of meteorological modelling, extensive…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-11-30 Honglin Wen , Pierre Pinson , Jie Gu , Zhijian Jin

Multiple imputation has become one of the standard methods in drawing inferences in many incomplete data applications. Applications of multiple imputation in relatively more complex settings, such as high-dimensional clustered data, require…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-08 Qiushuang Li , Recai Yucel

Recent progress in foundation models has enabled strong zero-shot performance for time series forecasting. In this work, we show that such capabilities can also emerge from tabular foundation models. We introduce TabPFN-TS, a simple method…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-28 Shi Bin Hoo , Samuel Müller , David Salinas , Frank Hutter

Large time series foundation models often adopt channel-independent architectures to handle varying data dimensions, but this design ignores crucial cross-channel dependencies. Concurrently, existing multimodal approaches have not fully…

Missing time-series data is a prevalent problem in many prescriptive analytics models in operations management, healthcare and finance. Imputation methods for time-series data are usually applied to the full panel data with the purpose of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-13 Jose Blanchet , Fernando Hernandez , Viet Anh Nguyen , Markus Pelger , Xuhui Zhang

Missing data is a major challenge in clinical research. In electronic medical records, often a large fraction of the values in laboratory tests and vital signs are missing. The missingness can lead to biased estimates and limit our ability…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-18 Omer Noy , Ron Shamir

The purpose of this paper is to propose a time-varying vector autoregressive model (TV-VAR) for forecasting multivariate time series. The model is casted into a state-space form that allows flexible description and analysis. The volatility…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2008-12-02 K. Triantafyllopoulos

Time series forecasting plays a critical role in domains such as transportation, energy, and meteorology. Despite their success, modern deep forecasting models are typically trained to minimize point-wise prediction loss without leveraging…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-27 Xiannan Huang , Shen Fang , Shuhan Qiu , Chengcheng Yu , Jiayuan Du , Chao Yang

The abundance of modern health data provides many opportunities for the use of machine learning techniques to build better statistical models to improve clinical decision making. Predicting time-to-event distributions, also known as…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-12-15 Zidi Xiu , Chenyang Tao , Benjamin A. Goldstein , Ricardo Henao

Accurate forecasting of sequential data streams is a cornerstone of modern Web services, supporting applications such as traffic management, user behavior modeling, and online anomaly prevention. However, in many Web environments, new…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-02 Shichao Ma , Zhengyang Zhou , Qihe Huang , Binwu Wang , Yang Wang

Time-series forecasting plays an important role in many domains. Boosted by the advances in Deep Learning algorithms, it has for instance been used to predict wind power for eolic energy production, stock market fluctuations, or motor…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-23 Luis P. Silvestrin , Leonardos Pantiskas , Mark Hoogendoorn

Time series forecasting (TSF) plays a crucial role in various applications, including medical monitoring and crop growth. Despite the advancements in deep learning methods for TSF, their capacity to predict long-term series remains…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-11-05 Rujia Shen , Yang Yang , Yaoxion Lin , Liangliang Liu , Boran Wang , Yi Guan , Jingchi Jiang

Process Model Forecasting (PMF) aims to predict how the control-flow structure of a process evolves over time by modeling the temporal dynamics of directly-follows (DF) relations, complementing predictive process monitoring that focuses on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-09 Yongbo Yu , Jari Peeperkorn , Johannes De Smedt , Jochen De Weerdt

Time series forecasting (TSF) has been a challenging research area, and various models have been developed to address this task. However, almost all these models are trained with numerical time series data, which is not as effectively…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-01 Luoxiao Yang , Xinqi Fan , Zijun Zhang

Vertical federated learning (VFL) is a promising area for time series forecasting in many applications, such as healthcare and manufacturing. Critical challenges to address include data privacy and over-fitting on small and noisy datasets…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-12 Aditya Shankar , Jérémie Decouchant , Dimitra Gkorou , Rihan Hai , Lydia Y. Chen

Time series forecasting is a critical task across domains such as energy, finance, and meteorology, where accurate predictions enable informed decision-making. While transformer-based and large-parameter models have recently achieved…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-11 Julien Guité-Vinet , Alexandre Blondin Massé , Éric Beaudry