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The combination of Monte Carlo tree search and neural networks has revolutionized online planning. As neural network approximations are often imperfect, we ask whether uncertainty estimates about the network outputs could be used to improve…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-06-05 Nir Greshler , David Ben Eli , Carmel Rabinovitz , Gabi Guetta , Liran Gispan , Guy Zohar , Aviv Tamar

Monte Carlo Tree Search is a popular method for solving decision making problems. Faster implementations allow for more simulations within the same wall clock time, directly improving search performance. To this end, we present an…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-08-29 James Ragan , Fred Y. Hadaegh , Soon-Jo Chung

Efficient order fulfillment is vital in the agricultural industry, particularly due to the seasonal nature of seed supply chains. This paper addresses the challenge of optimizing seed orders fulfillment in a centralized warehouse where…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-10-07 Pranay Thangeda , Hoda Helmi , Melkior Ornik

This paper examines the relationship between system imbalance and several explanatory variables within the French electricity system. The factors considered include lagged imbalance values, observations of renewable energy sources (RES)…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-07-14 Jonathan Dumas , Sébastien Finet , Nathalie Grisey , Ibtissam Hamdane , Paul Plessiez

In recent years there has been much interest in the Monte Carlo tree search algorithm, a new, adaptive, randomized optimization algorithm. In fields as diverse as Artificial Intelligence, Operations Research, and High Energy Physics,…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2016-05-17 S. Ali Mirsoleimani , Aske Plaat , Jaap van den Herik , Jos Vermaseren

We present a new Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) algorithm to solve the stochastic orienteering problem with chance constraints, i.e., a version of the problem where travel costs are random, and one is assigned a bound on the tolerable…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2024-09-06 Stefano Carpin

Motivated by the increasing integration among electricity markets, in this paper we propose two different methods to incorporate market integration in electricity price forecasting and to improve the predictive performance. First, we…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2017-12-08 Jesus Lago , Fjo De Ridder , Peter Vrancx , Bart De Schutter

This paper develops learning-augmented algorithms for energy trading in volatile electricity markets. The basic problem is to sell (or buy) $k$ units of energy for the highest revenue (lowest cost) over uncertain time-varying prices, which…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-29 Russell Lee , Bo Sun , Mohammad Hajiesmaili , John C. S. Lui

In Europe, balance responsible parties can deliberately take out-of-balance positions to support transmission system operators (TSOs) in maintaining grid stability and earn profit, a practice called implicit balancing. Model predictive…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-04-03 Seyed Soroush Karimi Madahi , Kenneth Bruninx , Bert Claessens , Chris Develder

We introduce an adaptive tree search algorithm, that can find high-scoring outputs under translation models that make no assumptions about the form or structure of the search objective. This algorithm -- a deterministic variant of Monte…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2022-02-24 Wang Ling , Wojciech Stokowiec , Domenic Donato , Laurent Sartran , Lei Yu , Austin Matthews , Chris Dyer

Physics-based simulations and learning-based models are vital for complex robotics tasks like deformable object manipulation and liquid handling. However, these models often struggle with accuracy due to epistemic uncertainty or the…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2025-07-29 Marco Faroni , Carlo Odesco , Andrea Zanchettin , Paolo Rocco

The integration of renewable energy into electricity markets poses significant challenges to price stability and increases the complexity of market operations. Accurate and reliable electricity price forecasting is crucial for effective…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-10 Ciaran O'Connor , Mohamed Bahloul , Roberto Rossi , Steven Prestwich , Andrea Visentin

Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) has shown its strength for a lot of deterministic and stochastic examples, but literature lacks reports of applications to real world industrial processes. Common reasons for this are that there is no…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-08-05 Dorina Weichert , Felix Horchler , Alexander Kister , Marcus Trost , Johannes Hartung , Stefan Risse

Recently, chance-constrained stochastic electricity market designs have been proposed to address the shortcomings of scenario-based stochastic market designs. In particular, the use of chance-constrained market-clearing avoids trading off…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-06-14 Alvaro Gonzalez-Castellanos , Anton Hinneck , Robert Mieth , David Pozo , Yury Dvorkin

The growing share of Renewable Energy Sources (RES) in modern power systems increases both grid imbalances and frequency deviations, reinforcing the need for ancillary services such as Frequency Containment Reserve (FCR) and passive…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-05-26 Celle Hendrickx , Fabio Pavirani , Chris Develder

The European carbon market plays a pivotal role in the European Union's ambitious target of achieving carbon neutrality by 2050. Understanding the intricacies of factors influencing European Union Emission Trading System (EU ETS) market…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-06-10 Cristiano Salvagnin , Aldo Glielmo , Maria Elena De Giuli , Antonietta Mira

Accurate short-term electricity price forecasting is crucial for strategically scheduling demand and generation bids in day-ahead markets. While data-driven techniques have shown considerable prowess in achieving high forecast accuracy in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-05 Maria Margarida Mascarenhas , Jilles De Blauwe , Mikael Amelin , Hussain Kazmi

Single imbalance pricing provides an incentive to balance responsible parties (BRPs) to intentionally introduce power schedule deviations in order to reduce the control area imbalance and receive a remuneration through the imbalance…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-03-27 Johannes Lips , Boyana Georgieva , Dominik Schlipf , Hendrik Lens

This paper introduces the MCTS algorithm to the financial world and focuses on solving significant multi-period financial planning models by combining a Monte Carlo Tree Search algorithm with a deep neural network. The MCTS provides an…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2022-05-19 Afşar Onat Aydınhan , Xiaoyue Li , John M. Mulvey

Mutual information is an important measure of the dependence among variables. It has become widely used in statistics, machine learning, biology, etc. However, the standard techniques for estimating it often perform poorly in higher…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2023-09-18 Nick Carrara , Jesse Ernst