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This paper provides an introduction to Double/Debiased Machine Learning (DML). DML is a general approach to performing inference about a target parameter in the presence of nuisance functions: objects that are needed to identify the target…

We propose a method to debias estimators based on U-statistics with Machine Learning (ML) first-steps. Standard plug-in estimators often suffer from regularization and model-selection biases, producing invalid inferences. We show that…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-10-09 Juan Carlos Escanciano , Joël Robert Terschuur

Debiased machine learning estimators for smooth functionals in nonparametric models can exhibit substantial variability and instability, often leading practitioners to instead rely on parametric or semiparametric working models. Such…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-20 Lars van der Laan , Marco Carone , Alex Luedtke , Mark van der Laan

Doubly robust estimators are widely used for estimating average treatment effects and other linear summaries of regression functions. While consistency requires only one of two nuisance functions to be estimated consistently, asymptotic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-01 Lars van der Laan , Alex Luedtke , Marco Carone

We develop a unified framework for automatic debiased machine learning (autoDML) for inference on a broad class of statistical parameters. The framework applies to any smooth functional of a nonparametric M-estimand, defined as the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-23 Lars van der Laan , Aurelien Bibaut , Nathan Kallus , Alex Luedtke

We propose a doubly robust inference method for causal effects of continuous treatment variables, under unconfoundedness and with nonparametric or high-dimensional nuisance functions. Our double debiased machine learning (DML) estimators…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-10-02 Kyle Colangelo , Ying-Ying Lee

This paper studies debiased machine learning when nuisance parameters appear in indicator functions. An important example is maximized average welfare gain under optimal treatment assignment rules. For asymptotically valid inference for a…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-03-18 Gyungbae Park

We consider estimating a low-dimensional parameter in an estimating equation involving high-dimensional nuisances that depend on the parameter. A central example is the efficient estimating equation for the (local) quantile treatment effect…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-08-18 Nathan Kallus , Xiaojie Mao , Masatoshi Uehara

Double (debiased) machine learning (DML) has seen widespread use in recent years for learning causal/structural parameters, in part due to its flexibility and adaptability to high-dimensional nuisance functions as well as its ability to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-12 Abhinandan Dalal , Patrick Blöbaum , Shiva Kasiviswanathan , Aaditya Ramdas

Machine learning methods, particularly the double machine learning (DML) estimator (Chernozhukov et al., 2018), are increasingly popular for the estimation of the average treatment effect (ATE). However, datasets often exhibit unbalanced…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-06-12 Daniele Ballinari

In this paper, we introduce and prove asymptotic normality for a new nonparametric estimator of continuous treatment effects. Specifically, we estimate the average dose-response function - the expected value of an outcome of interest at a…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-04-22 Sylvia Klosin

Confounding bias is a key challenge in causal effect estimation from observational data. Double Machine Learning (DML) addresses this issue by estimating treatment and outcome nuisance functions, constructing treatment and outcome…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-26 Guodu Xiang , Kui Yu , Yujie Wang , Richang Hong , Fuyuan Cao , Jiye Liang

The subject of robust estimation in time series is widely discussed in literature. One of the approaches is to use GM-estimation. This method incorporates a broad class of nonparametric estimators which under suitable conditions includes…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Alexander Alekseev

In the last decade, machine learning techniques have gained popularity for estimating causal effects. One machine learning approach that can be used for estimating an average treatment effect is Double/debiased machine learning (DML)…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-01-17 Daniele Ballinari , Nora Bearth

This paper develops an asymptotic theory for two-step debiased machine learning (DML) estimators in generalised method of moments (GMM) models with general multiway clustered dependence, without relying on cross-fitting. While cross-fitting…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-07 Kaicheng Chen , Harold D. Chiang

Models with Conditional Moment Restrictions (CMRs) are popular in economics. These models involve finite and infinite dimensional parameters. The infinite dimensional components include conditional expectations, conditional choice…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-11-01 Facundo Argañaraz , Juan Carlos Escanciano

Chernozhukov, Chetverikov, Demirer, Duflo, Hansen, and Newey (2016) provide a generic double/de-biased machine learning (DML) approach for obtaining valid inferential statements about focal parameters, using Neyman-orthogonal scores and…

Deep Metric Learning (DML), a widely-used technique, involves learning a distance metric between pairs of samples. DML uses deep neural architectures to learn semantic embeddings of the input, where the distance between similar examples is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-16 Thomas Kobber Panum , Zi Wang , Pengyu Kan , Earlence Fernandes , Somesh Jha

Debiased machine learning (DML) offers an attractive way to estimate treatment effects in observational settings, where identification of causal parameters requires a conditional independence or unconfoundedness assumption, since it allows…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-06-16 Victor Quintas-Martinez

Double/debiased machine learning (DML) provides a general framework for inference with high-dimensional or otherwise complex nuisance parameters by combining Neyman-orthogonal scores with cross-fitting, thereby circumventing classical…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-21 Ziming Lin , Fang Han
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