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Finding cause-effect relationships is of key importance in science. Causal discovery aims to recover a graph from data that succinctly describes these cause-effect relationships. However, current methods face several challenges, especially…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-21 Jan Marco Ruiz de Vargas , Kirtan Padh , Niki Kilbertus

Causal inference methods for observational data are highly regarded due to their wide applicability. While there are already numerous methods available for de-confounding bias, these methods generally assume that covariates consist solely…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-30 Yonghe Zhao , Huiyan Sun

With the advancement of data science, the collection of increasingly complex datasets has become commonplace. In such datasets, the data dimension can be extremely high, and the underlying data generation process can be unknown and highly…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-03-29 Yaxin Fang , Faming Liang

Granger causality has been used for the investigation of the inter-dependence structure of the underlying systems of multi-variate time series. In particular, the direct causal effects are commonly estimated by the conditional Granger…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-04-20 Elsa Siggiridou , Dimitris Kugiumtzis

Causal models seek to unravel the cause-effect relationships among variables from observed data, as opposed to mere mappings among them, as traditional regression models do. This paper introduces a novel causal discovery algorithm designed…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-03 Saeed Mohseni-Sehdeh , Walid Saad

Time series domain adaptation aims to transfer the complex temporal dependence from the labeled source domain to the unlabeled target domain. Recent advances leverage the stable causal mechanism over observed variables to model the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-25 Ruichu Cai , Junxian Huang , Zhenhui Yang , Zijian Li , Emadeldeen Eldele , Min Wu , Fuchun Sun

While feedback loops are known to play important roles in many complex systems, their existence is ignored in a large part of the causal discovery literature, as systems are typically assumed to be acyclic from the outset. When applying…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-09-18 Joris M. Mooij , Tom Claassen

The paper reviews methods that seek to draw causal inference from observational data and demonstrates how they can be applied to empirical problems in engineering research. It presents a framework for causal identification based on the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-11-28 Daniel J Graham

Causal learning has long concerned itself with the accurate recovery of underlying causal mechanisms. Such causal modelling enables better explanations of out-of-distribution data. Prior works on causal learning assume that the high-level…

Time Series Classification (TSC) covers the supervised learning problem where input data is provided in the form of series of values observed through repeated measurements over time, and whose objective is to predict the category to which…

Identifying the causal relationships between subjects or variables remains an important problem across various scientific fields. This is particularly important but challenging in complex systems, such as those involving human behavior,…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2019-05-03 Bo Pu , Lujie Duan , Nathaniel Osgood

To gain deeper insights into a complex sensor system through the lens of causality, we present common and individual causal mechanism estimation (CICME), a novel three-step approach to inferring causal mechanisms from heterogeneous data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-21 Jingyi Yu , Tim Pychynski , Marco F. Huber

In this paper, we focus on estimating the causal effect of an intervention over time on a dynamical system. To that end, we formally define causal interventions and their effects over time on discrete-time stochastic processes (DSPs). Then,…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-05-28 Martina Cinquini , Isacco Beretta , Salvatore Ruggieri , Isabel Valera

Understanding causal relationships in multivariate time series is essential for predicting and controlling dynamic systems in fields like economics, neuroscience, and climate science. However, existing causal discovery methods often assume…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-20 Abdellah Rahmani , Pascal Frossard

Causal inference is essential for data-driven decision making across domains such as business engagement, medical treatment and policy making. However, research on causal discovery has evolved separately from inference methods, preventing…

Causality in time series can be challenging to determine, especially in the presence of non-linear dependencies. Granger causality helps analyze potential relationships between variables, thereby offering a method to determine whether one…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-13 Harsh Poonia , Felix Divo , Kristian Kersting , Devendra Singh Dhami

Time series causal discovery is essential for understanding dynamic systems, yet many existing methods remain sensitive to noise, non-stationarity, and sampling variability. We propose the Validated Consensus-Driven Framework (VCDF), a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-26 Gene Yu , Ce Guo , Wayne Luk

Complex dynamical systems are prevalent in many scientific disciplines. In the analysis of such systems two aspects are of particular interest: 1) the temporal patterns along which they evolve and 2) the underlying causal mechanisms.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-05-31 Nicolas-Domenic Reiter , Andreas Gerhardus , Jakob Runge

Causal discovery studies the problem of mining causal relationships between variables from data, which is of primary interest in science. During the past decades, significant amount of progresses have been made toward this fundamental data…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2016-11-28 Kui Yu , Jiuyong Li , Lin Liu

A methodology for high dimensional causal inference in a time series context is introduced. It is assumed that there is a monotonic transformation of the data such that the dynamics of the transformed variables are described by a Gaussian…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-07 Francesco Cordoni , Alessio Sancetta