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Time series forecasting is often fundamental to scientific and engineering problems and enables decision making. With ever increasing data set sizes, a trivial solution to scale up predictions is to assume independence between interacting…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-18 Kashif Rasul , Abdul-Saboor Sheikh , Ingmar Schuster , Urs Bergmann , Roland Vollgraf

Time-series forecasting is crucial for numerous real-world applications including weather prediction and financial market modeling. While temporal-domain methods remain prevalent, frequency-domain approaches can effectively capture…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-05 Zhixuan Li , Naipeng Chen , Seonghwa Choi , Sanghoon Lee , Weisi Lin

The proliferation of mobile devices generates a massive volume of time series across various domains, where effective time series forecasting enables a variety of real-world applications. This study focuses on a new problem of source-free…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-03 Kangjia Yan , Chenxi Liu , Hao Miao , Xinle Wu , Yan Zhao , Chenjuan Guo , Bin Yang

The task of multi-channel time series forecasting is ubiquitous in numerous fields such as finance, supply chain management, and energy planning. It is critical to effectively capture complex dynamic dependencies within and between channels…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-03-20 Lei Gao , Hengda Bao , Jingfei Fang , Guangzheng Wu , Weihua Zhou , Yun Zhou

Unsupervised fault detection in multivariate time series plays a vital role in ensuring the stable operation of complex systems. Traditional methods often assume that normal data follow a single Gaussian distribution and identify anomalies…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-01 Hong Liu , Xiuxiu Qiu , Yiming Shi , Miao Xu , Zelin Zang , Zhen Lei

In meta-learning and its downstream tasks, many methods rely on implicit adaptation to task variations, where multiple factors are mixed together in a single entangled representation. This makes it difficult to interpret which factors drive…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2025-09-03 Seonsoo Kim , Jun-Gill Kang , Taehong Kim , Seongil Hong

Forecasting complex time series is an important yet challenging problem that involves various industrial applications. Recently, masked time-series modeling has been proposed to effectively model temporal dependencies for forecasting by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-02 Hyunwoo Seo , Chiehyeon Lim

Multivariate time series forecasting has been widely used in various practical scenarios. Recently, Transformer-based models have shown significant potential in forecasting tasks due to the capture of long-range dependencies. However,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-10 Zhe Li , Zhongwen Rao , Lujia Pan , Zenglin Xu

This paper presents a novel theoretical framework for understanding how diffusion models can learn disentangled representations. Within this framework, we establish identifiability conditions for general disentangled latent variable models,…

Time series (TS) forecasting has been an unprecedentedly popular problem in recent years, with ubiquitous applications in both scientific and business fields. Various approaches have been introduced to time series analysis, including both…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-20 Ziyou Guo , Yan Sun , Tieru Wu

Event forecasting has been a demanding and challenging task throughout the entire human history. It plays a pivotal role in crisis alarming and disaster prevention in various aspects of the whole society. The task of event forecasting aims…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2023-08-15 Yunshan Ma , Chenchen Ye , Zijian Wu , Xiang Wang , Yixin Cao , Tat-Seng Chua

In this paper, we investigate how to learn a suitable representation of satellite image time series in an unsupervised manner by leveraging large amounts of unlabeled data. Additionally , we aim to disentangle the representation of time…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2019-03-22 Eduardo Sanchez , Mathieu Serrurier , Mathias Ortner

Deep models for Multivariate Time Series (MTS) forecasting have recently demonstrated significant success. Channel-dependent models capture complex dependencies that channel-independent models cannot capture. However, the number of channels…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-09 Xin Zhou , Weiqing Wang , Wray Buntine , Shilin Qu , Abishek Sriramulu , Weicong Tan , Christoph Bergmeir

Real-world time-series data often exhibit non-stationarity, including changing trends, irregular seasonality, and residuals. In terms of changing trends, recently proposed multi-layer perceptron (MLP)-based models have shown excellent…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-26 Gawon Lee , Hanbyeol Park , Minseop Kim , Dohee Kim , Hyerim Bae

Time series forecasting is widely used in the fields of equipment life cycle forecasting, weather forecasting, traffic flow forecasting, and other fields. Recently, some scholars have tried to apply Transformer to time series forecasting…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-24 Benhan Li , Shengdong Du , Tianrui Li

Numerous industrial sectors necessitate models capable of providing robust forecasts across various horizons. Despite the recent strides in crafting specific architectures for time-series forecasting and developing pre-trained universal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-05 Jiawen Zhang , Shun Zheng , Xumeng Wen , Xiaofang Zhou , Jiang Bian , Jia Li

Diffusion models have been used for probabilistic time series forecasting and show strong potential. However, fixed noise schedules often produce intermediate states that are hard to invert and a terminal state that deviates from the near…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-03 Jintao Zhang , Zirui Liu , Mingyue Cheng , Xianquan Wang , Zhiding Liu , Qi Liu

Seasonal forecasting remains challenging due to the inherent chaotic nature of atmospheric dynamics. This paper introduces DeepSeasons, a novel deep learning approach designed to enhance the accuracy and reliability of seasonal forecasts.…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-09-16 A. Navarra , G. G. Navarra

Recent advances in deep learning have driven rapid progress in time series forecasting, yet many state-of-the-art models continue to struggle with robust performance in real-world applications, even when they achieve strong results on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-24 Qitai Tan , Yiyun Chen , Mo Li , Ruiwen Gu , Yilin Su , Xiao-Ping Zhang

Forecasting Multivariate Time Series (MTS) involves significant challenges in various application domains. One immediate challenge is modeling temporal patterns with the finite length of the input. These temporal patterns usually involve…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-30 Muyao Wang , Wenchao Chen , Zhibin Duan , Bo Chen