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Uncertainty quantification is essential when dealing with ill-conditioned inverse problems due to the inherent nonuniqueness of the solution. Bayesian approaches allow us to determine how likely an estimation of the unknown parameters is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-01-16 Ali Siahkoohi , Gabrio Rizzuti , Felix J. Herrmann

Variational Bayesian posterior inference often requires simplifying approximations such as mean-field parametrisation to ensure tractability. However, prior work has associated the variational mean-field approximation for Bayesian neural…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-07 Richard Kurle , Ralf Herbrich , Tim Januschowski , Yuyang Wang , Jan Gasthaus

In this paper we propose a Bayesian method for estimating architectural parameters of neural networks, namely layer size and network depth. We do this by learning concrete distributions over these parameters. Our results show that regular…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-01-29 Georgi Dikov , Patrick van der Smagt , Justin Bayer

Deep learning tools have gained tremendous attention in applied machine learning. However such tools for regression and classification do not capture model uncertainty. In comparison, Bayesian models offer a mathematically grounded…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-10-05 Yarin Gal , Zoubin Ghahramani

Estimation of physical quantities is at the core of most scientific research and the use of quantum devices promises to enhance its performances. In real scenarios, it is fundamental to consider that the resources are limited and Bayesian…

Convolutional neural networks provide visual features that perform remarkably well in many computer vision applications. However, training these networks requires significant amounts of supervision. This paper introduces a generic framework…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-04-19 Piotr Bojanowski , Armand Joulin

The estimation of unknown values of parameters (or hidden variables, control variables) that characterise a physical system often relies on the comparison of measured data with synthetic data produced by some numerical simulator of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-01-28 Xi Chen , Mike Hobson

It is desirable to have accurate uncertainty estimation from a single deterministic forward-pass model, as traditional methods for uncertainty quantification are computationally expensive. However, this is difficult because single…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-22 Frederik Boe Hüttel , Filipe Rodrigues , Francisco Câmara Pereira

In recent years, various subspace algorithms have been developed to handle large-scale optimization problems. Although existing subspace Newton methods require fewer iterations to converge in practice, the matrix operations and full…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-06-05 Taisei Miyaishi , Ryota Nozawa , Pierre-Louis Poirion , Akiko Takeda

Neural Linear Models (NLM) are deep Bayesian models that produce predictive uncertainty by learning features from the data and then performing Bayesian linear regression over these features. Despite their popularity, few works have focused…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-06-25 Cooper Lorsung

The bias-variance trade-off is a central concept in supervised learning. In classical statistics, increasing the complexity of a model (e.g., number of parameters) reduces bias but also increases variance. Until recently, it was commonly…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-03-25 Jason W. Rocks , Pankaj Mehta

Deep learning is renowned for its theory-practice gap, whereby principled theory typically fails to provide much beneficial guidance for implementation in practice. This has been highlighted recently by the benign overfitting phenomenon:…

In variational inference, the benefits of Bayesian models rely on accurately capturing the true posterior distribution. We propose using neural samplers that specify implicit distributions, which are well-suited for approximating complex…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-10 Anshuk Uppal , Kristoffer Stensbo-Smidt , Wouter Boomsma , Jes Frellsen

A new empirical Bayes approach to variable selection in the context of generalized linear models is developed. The proposed algorithm scales to situations in which the number of putative explanatory variables is very large, possibly much…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-06-29 Haim Bar , James Booth , Martin T. Wells

Bayesian decision theory provides an elegant framework for acting optimally under uncertainty when tractable posterior distributions are available. Modern Bayesian models, however, typically involve intractable posteriors that are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-15 Meet P. Vadera , Soumya Ghosh , Kenney Ng , Benjamin M. Marlin

This work proposes $\mu$GUIDE: a general Bayesian framework to estimate posterior distributions of tissue microstructure parameters from any given biophysical model or MRI signal representation, with exemplar demonstration in…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-09-05 Maëliss Jallais , Marco Palombo

In the usual Bayesian setting, a full probabilistic model is required to link the data and parameters, and the form of this model and the inference and prediction mechanisms are specified via de Finetti's representation. In general, such a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-21 Yu Luo , David A. Stephens , Daniel J. Graham , Emma J. McCoy

The ability to obtain reliable point estimates of model parameters is of crucial importance in many fields of physics. This is often a difficult task given that the observed data can have a very high number of dimensions. In order to…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2021-12-15 Janis Fluri , Aurelien Lucchi , Tomasz Kacprzak , Alexandre Refregier , Thomas Hofmann

Bayesian estimation is a powerful theoretical paradigm for the operation of quantum sensors. However, the Bayesian method for statistical inference generally suffers from demanding calibration requirements that have so far restricted its…

量子物理 · 物理学 2021-09-22 Samuel P. Nolan , Augusto Smerzi , Luca Pezzè

Deep neural networks often contain far more parameters than training examples, yet they still manage to generalize well in practice. Classical complexity measures such as VC-dimension or PAC-Bayes bounds usually become vacuous in this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-26 Aviral Dhingra