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We address the problem of estimating causal effects from observational data in the presence of network confounding, a setting where both treatment assignment and observed outcomes of individuals may be influenced by their neighbors within a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-24 Abhishek Dalvi , Neil Ashtekar , Vasant Honavar

Interlayer link prediction aims at matching the same entities across different layers of the multiplex network. Existing studies attempt to predict more accurately, efficiently, or generically from the aspects of network structure,…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-05-19 Rui Tang , Shuyu Jiang , Xingshu Chen , Wenxian Wang , Wei Wang

This tutorial provides a concise introduction to modern causal modeling by integrating potential outcomes and graphical methods. We motivate causal questions such as counterfactual reasoning under interventions and define binary treatments…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-27 Gauranga Kumar Baishya

In knowledge-intensive tasks, especially in high-stakes domains like medicine and law, it is critical not only to retrieve relevant information but also to provide causal reasoning and explainability. Large language models (LLMs) have…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-03-18 Hang Luo , Jian Zhang , Chujun Li

An important goal across most scientific fields is the discovery of causal structures underling a set of observations. Unfortunately, causal discovery methods which are based on correlation or mutual information can often fail to identify…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-04-29 Matthew J. Vowels , Necati Cihan Camgoz , Richard Bowden

The paper focuses on identifying the causes of student performance to provide personalized recommendations for improving pass rates. We introduce the need to move beyond predictive models and instead identify causal relationships. We…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2023-09-26 Bevan I. Smith

Causality is important for designing interpretable and robust methods in artificial intelligence research. We propose a local approach to identify whether a variable is a cause of a given target under the framework of causal graphical…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-03-08 Zhuangyan Fang , Yue Liu , Zhi Geng , Shengyu Zhu , Yangbo He

Link prediction is a crucial research area in knowledge graphs, with many downstream applications. In many real-world scenarios, inductive link prediction is required, where predictions have to be made among unseen entities. Embedding-based…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-10 Canlin Zhang , Xiuwen Liu

In the fundamental statistics course, students are taught to remember the well-known saying: "Correlation is not Causation". Till now, statistics (i.e., correlation) have developed various successful frameworks, such as Transformer and…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-11-22 Ning Xu , Yifei Gao , Hongshuo Tian , Yongdong Zhang , An-An Liu

Graphs can represent relational information among entities and graph structures are widely used in many intelligent tasks such as search, recommendation, and question answering. However, most of the graph-structured data in practice suffers…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2021-12-30 Hanxiong Chen , Yunqi Li , Shaoyun Shi , Shuchang Liu , He Zhu , Yongfeng Zhang

Linear residualization is a common practice for confounding adjustment in machine learning (ML) applications. Recently, causality-aware predictive modeling has been proposed as an alternative causality-inspired approach for adjusting for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-11-10 Elias Chaibub Neto

Interpreting the inner function of neural networks is crucial for the trustworthy development and deployment of these black-box models. Prior interpretability methods focus on correlation-based measures to attribute model decisions to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-21 Ola Ahmad , Nicolas Bereux , Loïc Baret , Vahid Hashemi , Freddy Lecue

Trajectory prediction models in autonomous driving are vulnerable to perturbations from non-causal agents whose actions should not affect the ego-agent's behavior. Such perturbations can lead to incorrect predictions of other agents'…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2026-05-19 Ehsan Ahmadi , Ray Mercurius , Soheil Alizadeh , Kasra Rezaee , Amir Rasouli

Link prediction is a crucial task in network analysis, but it has been shown to be prone to biased predictions, particularly when links are unfairly predicted between nodes from different sensitive groups. In this paper, we study the fair…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-16 Yezi Liu , Hanning Chen , Mohsen Imani

Explaining machine learning (ML) predictions has become crucial as ML models are increasingly deployed in high-stakes domains such as healthcare. While SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) is widely used for model interpretability, it fails…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-03 Woon Yee Ng , Li Rong Wang , Siyuan Liu , Xiuyi Fan

Estimating causal relations is vital in understanding the complex interactions in multivariate time series. Non-linear coupling of variables is one of the major challenges inaccurate estimation of cause-effect relations. In this paper, we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-19 Wasim Ahmad , Maha Shadaydeh , Joachim Denzler

Link prediction is a fundamental problem in graph data analysis. While most of the literature focuses on transductive link prediction that requires all the graph nodes and majority of links in training, inductive link prediction, which only…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-01 Huidong Liang , Junbin Gao

This paper develops a framework for identification, estimation, and inference on the causal mechanisms driving endogenous social network formation. Identification is challenging because of unobserved confounders and reverse causality;…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-21 Maximilian Kasy , Elizabeth Linos , Sanaz Mobasseri

Evaluating the causal effect of an intervention on multivariate outcomes is challenging when the outcomes are interdependent and derived rather than directly observed. Effective connectivity, which summarizes the directional neural…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-02 Haiyue Song , Ani Eloyan , Youjin Lee

Predicting the effect of unseen interventions is a fundamental research question across the data sciences. It is well established that in general such questions cannot be answered definitively from observational data. This realization has…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-05-27 Alexis Bellot