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Diffusion models have been widely adopted in image generation, producing higher-quality and more diverse samples than generative adversarial networks (GANs). We introduce a latent diffusion model (LDM) for precipitation nowcasting -…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-04-26 Jussi Leinonen , Ulrich Hamann , Daniele Nerini , Urs Germann , Gabriele Franch

Global warming is projected to intensify the hydrological cycle, amplifying risks to ecosystems and society. While extreme rainfall appears to exhibit stronger sensitivity to global warming compared to mean rainfall rates, a unifying…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-01-13 Jun Yin , Bei Gao , Amilcare Porporato

Extracting valuable information from large sets of diverse meteorological data is a time-intensive process. Machine learning methods can help improve both speed and accuracy of this process. Specifically, deep learning image segmentation…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-12-07 Christina Kumler-Bonfanti , Jebb Stewart , David Hall , Mark Govett

With the rapid development of data-driven machine learning (ML) models in meteorology, typhoon track forecasts have become increasingly accurate. However, current ML models still face challenges, such as underestimating typhoon intensity…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-08-26 Zeyi Niu , Wei Huang , Lei Zhang , Lin Deng , Haibo Wang , Yuhua Yang , Dongliang Wang , Hong Li

Precipitation nowcasting, the high-resolution forecasting of precipitation up to two hours ahead, supports the real-world socio-economic needs of many sectors reliant on weather-dependent decision-making. State-of-the-art operational…

This paper addresses a missing capability in infrastructure resilience: turning fast, global AI weather forecasts into asset-scale, actionable risk. We introduce the AI-based Correction-Downscaling Framework (ACDF), which transforms coarse…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-03-16 You Wu , Zhenguo Wang , Naiyu Wang

Tropical cyclones (TCs) are highly dynamic natural disasters that travel vast distances and occupy a large spatial scale, leading to loss of life, economic strife, and destruction of infrastructure. The severe impact of TCs makes them…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-03-30 Brycen D. Pearl , Logan P. Gold , Hang Woon Lee

We present an ensemble prediction system using a Deep Learning Weather Prediction (DLWP) model that recursively predicts key atmospheric variables with six-hour time resolution. This model uses convolutional neural networks (CNNs) on a…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2021-12-10 Jonathan A. Weyn , Dale R. Durran , Rich Caruana , Nathaniel Cresswell-Clay

Downscaling is necessary to generate high-resolution observation data to validate the climate model forecast or monitor rainfall at the micro-regional level operationally. Dynamical and statistical downscaling models are often used to get…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-02-28 Bipin Kumar , Rajib Chattopadhyay , Manmeet Singh , Niraj Chaudhari , Karthik Kodari , Amit Barve

Flood prediction is critical for emergency planning and response to mitigate human and economic losses. Traditional physics-based hydrodynamic models generate high-resolution flood maps using numerical methods requiring fine-grid…

We introduce a novel deep learning approach that harnesses the power of generative artificial intelligence to enhance the accuracy of contextual forecasting in sewerage systems. By developing a diffusion-based model that processes…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-11 Nicholas A. Pearson , Francesca Cairoli , Luca Bortolussi , Davide Russo , Francesca Zanello

Tropical cyclone wind-intensity prediction is a challenging task considering drastic changes climate patterns over the last few decades. In order to develop robust prediction models, one needs to consider different characteristics of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-08-23 Ratneel Vikash Deo , Rohitash Chandra , Anuraganand Sharma

Predicting typhoon intensity accurately across space and time is crucial for issuing timely disaster warnings and facilitating emergency response. This has vast potential for minimizing life losses and property damages as well as reducing…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-12-05 Huanxin Chen , Pengshuai Yin , Huichou Huang , Qingyao Wu , Ruirui Liu , Xiatian Zhu

Neural Temporal Point Processes (TPPs) have emerged as the primary framework for predicting sequences of events that occur at irregular time intervals, but their sequential nature can hamper performance for long-horizon forecasts. To…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-23 Mai Zeng , Florence Regol , Mark Coates

Accurate tropical cyclones (TCs) tracking represents a critical challenge in the context of weather and climate science. Traditional tracking schemes mainly rely on subjective thresholds, which may introduce biases in their skills on the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-27 Davide Donno , Donatello Elia , Gabriele Accarino , Marco De Carlo , Enrico Scoccimarro , Silvio Gualdi

Accurate precipitation forecasts are crucial for applications such as flood management, agricultural planning, water resource allocation, and weather warnings. Despite advances in numerical weather prediction (NWP) models, they still…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-09-02 Simone Monaco , Luca Monaco , Daniele Apiletti

We propose a neural network approach to produce probabilistic weather forecasts from a deterministic numerical weather prediction. Our approach is applied to operational surface temperature outputs from the Global Deterministic Prediction…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-04-07 David Landry , Anastase Charantonis , Claire Monteleoni

Floods are among the most destructive natural disasters, which are highly complex to model. The research on the advancement of flood prediction models contributed to risk reduction, policy suggestion, minimization of the loss of human life,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-08-10 Amir Mosavi , Pinar Ozturk , Kwok-wing Chau

Effective riverine flood forecasting at scale is hindered by a multitude of factors, most notably the need to rely on human calibration in current methodology, the limited amount of data for a specific location, and the computational…

As climate change intensifies, the urgency for accurate global-scale disaster predictions grows. This research presents a novel multimodal disaster prediction framework, combining weather statistics, satellite imagery, and textual insights.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-02 Gengyin Liu , Huaiyang Zhong