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Recent advancements in foundation models have improved autonomous tool usage and reasoning, but their capabilities in map-based reasoning remain underexplored. To address this, we introduce MapEval, a benchmark designed to assess foundation…

Social and collaborative platforms emit multivariate time-series traces in which early interactions-such as views, likes, or downloads-are followed, sometimes months or years later, by higher impact like citations, sales, or reviews. We…

Accurate time-series forecasting is crucial in various scientific and industrial domains, yet deep learning models often struggle to capture long-term dependencies and adapt to data distribution shifts over time. We introduce Future-Guided…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-30 Skye Gunasekaran , Assel Kembay , Hugo Ladret , Rui-Jie Zhu , Laurent Perrinet , Omid Kavehei , Jason Eshraghian

Performance estimation aims at estimating the loss that a predictive model will incur on unseen data. These procedures are part of the pipeline in every machine learning project and are used for assessing the overall generalisation ability…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-31 Vitor Cerqueira , Luis Torgo , Igor Mozetic

This paper introduces a novel meta-learning algorithm for time series forecast model performance prediction. We model the forecast error as a function of time series features calculated from the historical time series with an efficient…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-07-11 Thiyanga S. Talagala , Feng Li , Yanfei Kang

Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) represent a new paradigm for time-series forecasting, promising zero-shot predictions without the need for task-specific training or fine-tuning. However, similar to Large Language Models (LLMs), the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-26 Marcel Meyer , Sascha Kaltenpoth , Kevin Zalipski , Oliver Müller

Generating executable CAD programs from images requires alignment between visual geometry and symbolic program representations, a capability that current methods fail to learn reliably as design complexity increases. Existing fine-tuning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-31 Giorgio Giannone , Anna Clare Doris , Amin Heyrani Nobari , Kai Xu , Akash Srivastava , Faez Ahmed

Deep learning time-series models are often used to make forecasts that inform downstream decisions. Since these decisions can differ from those in the training set, there is an implicit requirement that time-series models will generalize…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-04 Thomas Crasson , Yacine Nabet , Mathias Lécuyer

In recent years, spatio-temporal graph neural networks (GNNs) have attracted considerable interest in the field of time series analysis, due to their ability to capture, at once, dependencies among variables and across time points. The…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-01 Flavio Corradini , Flavio Gerosa , Marco Gori , Carlo Lucheroni , Marco Piangerelli , Martina Zannotti

This paper introduces an Artificial Intelligence (AI) foundation model for time series in engineering applications, where causal operations are required for real-time monitoring and control. Since engineering time series are governed by…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-10-03 Lang Tong , Xinyi Wang

We introduce LatentTimePFN (LaT-PFN), a foundational Time Series model with a strong embedding space that enables zero-shot forecasting. To achieve this, we perform in-context learning in latent space utilizing a novel integration of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-24 Stijn Verdenius , Andrea Zerio , Roy L. M. Wang

We introduce Timer-S1, a strong Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) time series foundation model with 8.3B total parameters, 0.75B activated parameters for each token, and a context length of 11.5K. To overcome the scalability bottleneck in existing…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-04-10 Yong Liu , Xingjian Su , Shiyu Wang , Haoran Zhang , Haixuan Liu , Yuxuan Wang , Zhou Ye , Yang Xiang , Jianmin Wang , Mingsheng Long

Process analytics is an umbrella of data-driven techniques which includes making predictions for individual process instances or overall process models. At the instance level, various novel techniques have been recently devised, tackling…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-29 Johannes De Smedt , Anton Yeshchenko , Artem Polyvyanyy , Jochen De Weerdt , Jan Mendling

We present GeoGrid-Bench, a benchmark designed to evaluate the ability of foundation models to understand geo-spatial data in the grid structure. Geo-spatial datasets pose distinct challenges due to their dense numerical values, strong…

Deep time series forecasting has emerged as a rapidly growing field in recent years. Despite the exponential growth of community interests, progress on standard benchmarks is often limited to marginal improvements. A common consensus of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-05 Yuxuan Wang , Haixu Wu , Yuezhou Ma , Yuchen Fang , Ziyi Zhang , Yong Liu , Shiyu Wang , Zhou Ye , Yang Xiang , Jianmin Wang , Mingsheng Long

The advent of universal time series forecasting models has revolutionized zero-shot forecasting across diverse domains, yet the critical role of data diversity in training these models remains underexplored. Existing large-scale time series…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-28 Zezhi Shao , Yujie Li , Fei Wang , Chengqing Yu , Yisong Fu , Tangwen Qian , Bin Xu , Boyu Diao , Yongjun Xu , Xueqi Cheng

Recent advances in deep learning have driven rapid progress in time series forecasting, yet many state-of-the-art models continue to struggle with robust performance in real-world applications, even when they achieve strong results on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-24 Qitai Tan , Yiyun Chen , Mo Li , Ruiwen Gu , Yilin Su , Xiao-Ping Zhang

Diffusion models, initially developed for image synthesis, demonstrate remarkable generative capabilities. Recently, their application has expanded to time series forecasting (TSF), yielding promising results. Existing surveys on time…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-09-03 Chen Su , Zhengzhou Cai , Yuanhe Tian , Zhuochao Chang , Zihong Zheng , Yan Song

In the World Wide Web, reliable time series forecasts provide the forward-looking signals that drive resource planning, cache placement, and anomaly response, enabling platforms to operate efficiently as user behavior and content…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-06 Kuiye Ding , Fanda Fan , Zheya Wang , Hongxiao Li , Yifan Wang , Lei Wang , Chunjie Luo , Jianfeng Zhan

Time series modeling for predictive purpose has been an active research area of machine learning for many years. However, no sufficiently comprehensive and meanwhile substantive survey was offered so far. This survey strives to meet this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-28 Fatoumata Dama , Christine Sinoquet