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Credit scores are critical for allocating consumer debt in the United States, yet little evidence is available on their performance. We benchmark a widely used credit score against a machine learning model of consumer default and find…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2024-09-04 Stefania Albanesi , Domonkos F. Vamossy

Money laundering is a global problem that concerns legitimizing proceeds from serious felonies (1.7-4 trillion euros annually) such as drug dealing, human trafficking, or corruption. The anti-money laundering systems deployed by financial…

Risk arbitrage or merger arbitrage is a well-known investment strategy that speculates on the success of M&A deals. Prediction of the deal status in advance is of great importance for risk arbitrageurs. If a deal is mistakenly classified as…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2021-10-19 Tugce Karatas , Ali Hirsa

A major part of the balance sheets of the largest US banks consists of credit card portfolios. Hence, managing the charge-off rates is a vital task for the profitability of the credit card industry. Different macroeconomic conditions affect…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-16 Sajjad Taghiyeh , David C Lengacher , Robert B Handfield

The credit scoring risk management is a fast growing field due to consumer's credit requests. Credit requests, of new and existing customers, are often evaluated by classical discrimination rules based on customers information. However,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-12-27 Farid Beninel , Waad Bouaguel , Ghazi Belmufti

This master's thesis discusses an important issue regarding how algorithmic decision making (ADM) is used in crime forecasting. In America forecasting tools are widely used by judiciary systems for making decisions about risk offenders…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2018-04-06 Tobias D. Krafft

In this paper we survey the most recent advances in supervised machine learning and high-dimensional models for time series forecasting. We consider both linear and nonlinear alternatives. Among the linear methods we pay special attention…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-04-12 Ricardo P. Masini , Marcelo C. Medeiros , Eduardo F. Mendes

The rapid growth of e-commerce has made people accustomed to shopping online. Before making purchases on e-commerce websites, most consumers tend to rely on rating scores and review information to make purchase decisions. With this…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2020-07-07 Yingqiang Ge , Shuyuan Xu , Shuchang Liu , Zuohui Fu , Fei Sun , Yongfeng Zhang

Advanced classification algorithms are being increasingly used in safety-critical applications like health-care, engineering, etc. In such applications, miss-classifications made by ML algorithms can result in substantial financial or…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-06 Disha Ghandwani , Neeraj Sarna , Yuanyuan Li , Yang Lin

Selecting techniques is a crucial element of the business analysis approach planning in IT projects. Particular attention is paid to the choice of techniques for requirements elicitation. One of the promising methods for selecting…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2023-08-22 Denys Gobov , Olga Solovei

Prediction-oriented machine learning is becoming increasingly valuable to organizations, as it may drive applications in crucial business areas. However, decision-makers from companies across various industries are still largely reluctant…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2023-06-22 Giacomo Welsch , Peter Kowalczyk

Financial market forecasting remains a formidable challenge despite the surge in computational capabilities and machine learning advancements. While numerous studies have underscored the precision of computer-generated market predictions,…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2023-11-16 Reza Yarbakhsh , Mahdieh Soleymani Baghshah , Hamidreza Karimaghaie

A theoretical method is empirically illustrated in finding the best time to forsake a loan such that the overall credit loss is minimised. This is predicated by forecasting the future cash flows of a loan portfolio up to the contractual…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2022-03-25 Arno Botha , Conrad Beyers , Pieter de Villiers

Deploying machine learning in regulated financial environments -- credit risk, fraud detection, and anti-money laundering -- exposes critical vulnerabilities in algorithmic reproducibility. While early financial ML addressed statistical…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-05-28 Ruizhe Zhou , Xiaoyang Liu , Gaoyuan Du , Yi Zheng , Shouxi Ren , Deepayan Chakrabarti , Dengdu Jiang

Being able to predict when invoices will be paid is valuable in multiple industries and supports decision-making processes in most financial workflows. However, due to the complexity of data related to invoices and the fact that the…

As several studies have shown, predicting credit risk is still a major concern for the financial services industry and is receiving a lot of scholarly interest. This area of study is crucial because it aids financial organizations in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-24 Sahar Yarmohammadtoosky Dinesh Chowdary Attota

Artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) have become vital to remain competitive for financial services companies around the globe. The two models currently competing for the pole position in credit risk management are deep…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-24 Marc Schmitt

Academic research and the financial industry have recently paid great attention to Machine Learning algorithms due to their power to solve complex learning tasks. In the field of firms' default prediction, however, the lack of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-09-02 Lisa Crosato , Caterina Liberati , Marco Repetto

Machine learning has been used in all kinds of fields. In this article, we introduce how machine learning can be applied into time series problem. Especially, we use the airline ticket prediction problem as our specific problem. Airline…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-02-06 Jun Lu

Credit scoring is a rapidly expanding analytical technique used by banks and other financial institutions. Academic studies on credit scoring provide a range of classification techniques used to differentiate between good and bad borrowers.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-27 Hamidreza Arian , Seyed Mohammad Sina Seyfi , Azin Sharifi
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