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In recent years, the development of robotics and artificial intelligence (AI) systems has been nothing short of remarkable. As these systems continue to evolve, they are being utilized in increasingly complex and unstructured environments,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-28 Maryam Zare , Parham M. Kebria , Abbas Khosravi , Saeid Nahavandi

Fine-tuned large language models (LLMs) often exhibit overconfidence, particularly when trained on small datasets, resulting in poor calibration and inaccurate uncertainty estimates. Evidential Deep Learning (EDL), an uncertainty-aware…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-12 Yawei Li , David Rügamer , Bernd Bischl , Mina Rezaei

Detecting concept drift in high-speed data streams remains challenging, particularly when models must operate on unlabeled data and avoid false alarms caused by benign shifts. While disagreement-based uncertainty has shown promise in neural…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-14 Lara Sá Neves , Afonso Lourenço , Lizy K. John , Goreti Marreiros

Conformal prediction is a popular method to construct prediction intervals with marginal coverage guarantees from black-box machine learning models. In applications with potentially high-impact events, such as flooding or financial crises,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-02 Olivier C. Pasche , Henry Lam , Sebastian Engelke

With rapid adoption of deep learning in critical applications, the question of when and how much to trust these models often arises, which drives the need to quantify the inherent uncertainties. While identifying all sources that account…

Learning to perform tasks by leveraging a dataset of expert observations, also known as imitation learning from observations (ILO), is an important paradigm for learning skills without access to the expert reward function or the expert…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-26 Tanmay Gangwani , Yuan Zhou , Jian Peng

Precise estimation of predictive uncertainty in deep neural networks is a critical requirement for reliable decision-making in machine learning and statistical modeling, particularly in the context of medical AI. Conformal Prediction (CP)…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-05 Hamed Karimi , Reza Samavi

We propose a framework for learning calibrated uncertainties under domain shifts, where the source (training) distribution differs from the target (test) distribution. We detect such domain shifts via a differentiable density ratio…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-07 Haoxuan Wang , Zhiding Yu , Yisong Yue , Anima Anandkumar , Anqi Liu , Junchi Yan

Conformal Prediction provides distribution-free prediction intervals with guaranteed coverage, but its reliance on a single global calibration threshold obscures the sources of uncertainty at the instance level. In particular, it conflates…

In Imitation Learning (IL), utilizing suboptimal and heterogeneous demonstrations presents a substantial challenge due to the varied nature of real-world data. However, standard IL algorithms consider these datasets as homogeneous, thereby…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-16 Mark Beliaev , Ramtin Pedarsani

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is the process of systematically determining and characterizing the degree of confidence in computational model predictions. In the context of systems biology, especially with dynamic models, UQ is crucial…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-10-29 Alberto Portela , Julio R. Banga , Marcos Matabuena

This paper studies offline Imitation Learning (IL) where an agent learns to imitate an expert demonstrator without additional online environment interactions. Instead, the learner is presented with a static offline dataset of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-01 Jonathan D. Chang , Masatoshi Uehara , Dhruv Sreenivas , Rahul Kidambi , Wen Sun

Assistive robotic arms often have more degrees-of-freedom than a human teleoperator can control with a low-dimensional input, like a joystick. To overcome this challenge, existing approaches use data-driven methods to learn a mapping from…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2024-07-12 Michelle Zhao , Reid Simmons , Henny Admoni , Andrea Bajcsy

Conformal prediction, which makes no distributional assumptions about the data, has emerged as a powerful and reliable approach to uncertainty quantification in practical applications. The nonconformity measure used in conformal prediction…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-15 Yuko Kato , David M. J. Tax , Marco Loog

Uncertainty quantification in automated image analysis is highly desired in many applications. Typically, machine learning models in classification or segmentation are only developed to provide binary answers; however, quantifying the…

Imitation Learning (IL) is a widely used framework for learning imitative behavior from demonstrations. It is especially appealing for solving complex real-world tasks where handcrafting reward function is difficult, or when the goal is to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-17 Chenran Li , Chen Tang , Haruki Nishimura , Jean Mercat , Masayoshi Tomizuka , Wei Zhan

Safety-critical control of uncertain, adaptive systems often relies on conservative, worst-case uncertainty bounds that limit closed-loop performance. Online conformal prediction is a powerful data-driven method for quantifying uncertainty…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-04-08 Daniel M. Cherenson , Dimitra Panagou

We present an iterative approach for planning and controlling motions of underactuated robots with uncertain dynamics. At its core, there is a learning process which estimates the perturbations induced by the model uncertainty on the active…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2025-01-31 Giulio Turrisi , Marco Capotondi , Claudio Gaz , Valerio Modugno , Giuseppe Oriolo , Alessandro De Luca

Conformal prediction provides a principled framework for uncertainty quantification with finite-sample coverage guarantees. While recent work has extended conformal prediction to online and sequential settings, existing methods typically…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-14 Eduardo Ochoa Rivera , Ambuj Tewari

Imitation Learning (IL) is an appealing approach to learn desirable autonomous behavior. However, directing IL to achieve arbitrary goals is difficult. In contrast, planning-based algorithms use dynamics models and reward functions to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-10-02 Nicholas Rhinehart , Rowan McAllister , Sergey Levine