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Conformal prediction is a distribution-free uncertainty quantification method that has gained popularity in the machine learning community due to its finite-sample guarantees and ease of use. Its most common variant, dubbed split conformal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-27 Alvaro H. C. Correia , Christos Louizos

Reliable uncertainty quantification is crucial for the trustworthiness of machine learning applications. Inductive Conformal Prediction (ICP) offers a distribution-free framework for generating prediction sets or intervals with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-25 A. A. Balinsky , A. D. Balinsky

Uncertainty quantification in time series prediction is challenging due to the temporal dependence and distribution shift on sequential data. Conformal inference provides a pivotal and flexible instrument for assessing the uncertainty of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-09-09 Junxi Wu , Dongjian Hu , Yajie Bao , Shu-Tao Xia , Changliang Zou

Imitation learning (IL) enables agents to mimic expert behaviors. Most previous IL techniques focus on precisely imitating one policy through mass demonstrations. However, in many applications, what humans require is the ability to perform…

Modern image classifiers are very accurate, but the predictions come without uncertainty estimates. Conformal predictors provide uncertainty estimates by computing a set of classes containing the correct class with a user-specified…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-06 Fatih Furkan Yilmaz , Reinhard Heckel

Distribution shift in imitation learning refers to the problem that the agent cannot plan proper actions for a state that has not been visited during the training. This problem can be largely attributed to the inherently narrow state-action…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2026-05-26 Hyung-Suk Yoon , Seung-Woo Seo

We study the problem of uncertainty quantification via prediction sets, in an online setting where the data distribution may vary arbitrarily over time. Recent work develops online conformal prediction techniques that leverage regret…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-16 Aadyot Bhatnagar , Huan Wang , Caiming Xiong , Yu Bai

Safety assurance is critical in the planning and control of robotic systems. For robots operating in the real world, the safety-critical design often needs to explicitly address uncertainties and the pre-computed guarantees often rely on…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2024-07-09 Hao Zhou , Yanze Zhang , Wenhao Luo

Uncertainty quantification is essential for the reliable deployment of machine learning models to high-stakes application domains. Uncertainty quantification is all the more challenging when training distribution and test distribution are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-07 Yaodong Yu , Stephen Bates , Yi Ma , Michael I. Jordan

Imitation Learning (IL) is a powerful technique for intuitive robotic programming. However, ensuring the reliability of learned behaviors remains a challenge. In the context of reaching motions, a robot should consistently reach its goal,…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2024-10-02 Rodrigo Pérez-Dattari , Cosimo Della Santina , Jens Kober

Machine learning methods are increasingly widely used in high-risk settings such as healthcare, transportation, and finance. In these settings, it is important that a model produces calibrated uncertainty to reflect its own confidence and…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-09-09 Sophia Sun

Covariate shift relaxes the widely-employed independent and identically distributed (IID) assumption by allowing different training and testing input distributions. Unfortunately, common methods for addressing covariate shift by trying to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-01-02 Anqi Liu , Brian D. Ziebart

Effective robot learning often requires online human feedback and interventions that can cost significant human time, giving rise to the central challenge in interactive imitation learning: is it possible to control the timing and length of…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2021-09-20 Ryan Hoque , Ashwin Balakrishna , Ellen Novoseller , Albert Wilcox , Daniel S. Brown , Ken Goldberg

When cast into the Deep Reinforcement Learning framework, many robotics tasks require solving a long horizon and sparse reward problem, where learning algorithms struggle. In such context, Imitation Learning (IL) can be a powerful approach…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-04-14 Alexandre Chenu , Nicolas Perrin-Gilbert , Olivier Sigaud

We consider the problem of using expert data with unobserved confounders for imitation and reinforcement learning. We begin by defining the problem of learning from confounded expert data in a contextual MDP setup. We analyze the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-14 Guy Tennenholtz , Assaf Hallak , Gal Dalal , Shie Mannor , Gal Chechik , Uri Shalit

Conformal unlearning aims to ensure that a trained conformal predictor miscovers data points with specific shared characteristics, such as those from a particular label class, associated with a specific user, or belonging to a defined…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-13 Yahya Alkhatib , Muhammad Ahmar Jamal , Wee Peng Tay

This paper studies the learning-to-control problem under process and sensing uncertainties for dynamical systems. In our previous work, we developed a data-based generalization of the iterative linear quadratic regulator (iLQR) to design…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2023-11-09 Ran Wang , Raman Goyal , Suman Chakravorty

Conformal prediction is a model-agnostic approach to generating prediction sets that cover the true class with a high probability. Although its prediction set size is expected to capture aleatoric uncertainty, there is a lack of evidence…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-24 Misgina Tsighe Hagos , Claes Lundström

Conformal prediction has emerged as a powerful framework for constructing distribution-free prediction sets with guaranteed coverage assuming only the exchangeability assumption. However, this assumption is often violated in online…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-07 Jungbin Jun , Ilsang Ohn

Recent offline meta-reinforcement learning (meta-RL) methods typically utilize task-dependent behavior policies (e.g., training RL agents on each individual task) to collect a multi-task dataset. However, these methods always require extra…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-02 Jianhao Wang , Jin Zhang , Haozhe Jiang , Junyu Zhang , Liwei Wang , Chongjie Zhang