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Climate and weather prediction traditionally relies on complex numerical simulations of atmospheric physics. Deep learning approaches, such as transformers, have recently challenged the simulation paradigm with complex network forecasts.…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-04-17 Yogesh Verma , Markus Heinonen , Vikas Garg

Data-driven hourly weather forecasting models often face the challenge of error accumulation in long-term predictions. The problem is exacerbated by non-physical temporal discontinuities present in widely-used training datasets such as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-01 Shuangshuang He , Yuanting Zhang , Hongli Liang , Qingye Meng , Xingyuan Yuan , Shuo Wang

Owing to the remarkable development of deep learning technology, there have been a series of efforts to build deep learning-based climate models. Whereas most of them utilize recurrent neural networks and/or graph neural networks, we design…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-12 Jeehyun Hwang , Jeongwhan Choi , Hwangyong Choi , Kookjin Lee , Dongeun Lee , Noseong Park

Probabilistic forecasting of irregularly sampled time series is crucial in domains such as healthcare and finance, yet it remains a formidable challenge. Existing Neural Controlled Differential Equation (Neural CDE) approaches, while…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-13 Ilya Kuleshov , Alexander Marusov , Alexey Zaytsev

Accurate forecasting of energy demand and supply is critical for optimizing sustainable energy systems, yet it is challenged by the variability of renewable sources and dynamic consumption patterns. This paper introduces a neural framework…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-15 Usman Gani Joy

Addressing the challenges of irregularity and concept drift in streaming time series is crucial for real-world predictive modelling. Previous studies in time series continual learning often propose models that require buffering long…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-10 Futoon M. Abushaqra , Hao Xue , Yongli Ren , Flora D. Salim

Time series forecasting has various applications, such as meteorological rainfall prediction, traffic flow analysis, financial forecasting, and operational load monitoring for various systems. Due to the sparsity of time series data,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-01 Xiaojian Wang , Chaoli Zhang , Zhonglong Zheng , Yunliang Jiang

Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (NODEs) have proven to be a powerful modeling tool for approximating (interpolation) and forecasting (extrapolation) irregularly sampled time series data. However, their performance degrades…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-04-29 Hammad A. Ayyubi , Yi Yao , Ajay Divakaran

Forecasting over graph-structured sensor networks demands models that capture both deterministic spatial trends and stochastic variability, while remaining efficient enough for repeated inference as new observations arrive. We propose…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-02 Hanlin Dong , Arian Prabowo , Hao Xue , Ao Shuang , Tianyi Zhou , Flora D. Salim

Effective data-driven PDE forecasting methods often rely on fixed spatial and / or temporal discretizations. This raises limitations in real-world applications like weather prediction where flexible extrapolation at arbitrary spatiotemporal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-16 Yuan Yin , Matthieu Kirchmeyer , Jean-Yves Franceschi , Alain Rakotomamonjy , Patrick Gallinari

Multivariate time series forecasting has long received significant attention in real-world applications, such as energy consumption and traffic prediction. While recent methods demonstrate good forecasting abilities, they have three…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-24 Ming Jin , Yu Zheng , Yuan-Fang Li , Siheng Chen , Bin Yang , Shirui Pan

Sea Surface Temperature (SST) is crucial for understanding upper-ocean thermal dynamics and ocean-atmosphere interactions, which have profound economic and social impacts. While data-driven models show promise in SST prediction, their…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-11 Zheng Jiang , Wei Wang , Gaowei Zhang , Yi Wang

We develop a data-driven methodology based on parametric It\^{o}'s Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) to capture the real asymmetric dynamics of forecast errors. Our SDE framework features time-derivative tracking of the forecast,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-02-11 Renzo Caballero , Ahmed Kebaier , Marco Scavino , Raúl Tempone

Weather forecasting remains a crucial yet challenging domain, where recently developed models based on deep learning (DL) have approached the performance of traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. However, these DL models,…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-02-13 Zhanxiang Hua , Yutong He , Chengqian Ma , Alexandra Anderson-Frey

Air pollution significantly threatens human health and ecosystems, necessitating effective air quality prediction to inform public policy. Traditional approaches are generally categorized into physics-based and data-driven models.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-16 Jindong Tian , Yuxuan Liang , Ronghui Xu , Peng Chen , Chenjuan Guo , Aoying Zhou , Lujia Pan , Zhongwen Rao , Bin Yang

In this study, we apply two pillars of Scientific Machine Learning: Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (Neural ODEs) and Universal Differential Equations (UDEs) to the Chandrasekhar White Dwarf Equation (CWDE). The CWDE is fundamental…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-22 Raymundo Vazquez Martinez , Raj Abhijit Dandekar , Rajat Dandekar , Sreedath Panat

Weather forecasting is essential for various human activities. Recent data-driven models have outperformed numerical weather prediction by utilizing deep learning in forecasting performance. However, challenges remain in efficiently…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-01 Ayumu Ueyama , Kazuhiko Kawamoto , Hiroshi Kera

The heavy-tailed nature of precipitation intensity impedes precise precipitation nowcasting. Standard models that optimize pixel-wise losses are prone to regression-to-the-mean bias, which blurs extreme values. Existing Fourier-based…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-02-03 Baitian Liu , Haiping Zhang , Huiling Yuan , Dongjing Wang , Ying Li , Feng Chen , Hao Wu

Neural ODEs (NODEs) have emerged as powerful tools for modeling time series data, offering the flexibility to adapt to varying input scales and capture complex dynamics. However, they face significant challenges: first, their reliance on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-07 Muhao Guo , Yang Weng

Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) is a challenging task that has been investigated in various domains such as finance investment, health care, traffic, and weather forecasting. In recent years, Linear-based LTSF models showed better…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-13 Seonkyu Lim , Jaehyeon Park , Seojin Kim , Hyowon Wi , Haksoo Lim , Jinsung Jeon , Jeongwhan Choi , Noseong Park
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