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相关论文: Cyber Risk Taxonomies: Statistical Analysis of Cyb…

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In this study an exploration of insurance risk transfer is undertaken for the cyber insurance industry in the United States of America, based on the leading industry dataset of cyber events provided by Advisen. We seek to address two core…

There have been extensive efforts in government, academia, and industry to anticipate, forecast, and mitigate cyber attacks. A common approach is time-series forecasting of cyber attacks based on data from network telescopes, honeypots, and…

Cybersecurity risk is commonly expressed through impact and likelihood, yet likelihood remains difficult to estimate because cyber incidents are underreported, heterogeneous datasets are weakly comparable, and attacker behaviour changes…

In this paper we consider how to evaluate survival distribution predictions with measures of discrimination. This is a non-trivial problem as discrimination measures are the most commonly used in survival analysis and yet there is no clear…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-03-10 Raphael Sonabend , Andreas Bender , Sebastian Vollmer

Cyber threats affect all kinds of organisations. Risk analysis is an essential methodology for cybersecurity as it allows organisations to deal with the cyber threats potentially affecting them, prioritise the defence of their assets and…

Proactive cyber-risk assessment is gaining momentum due to the wide range of sectors that can benefit from the prevention of cyber-incidents by preserving integrity, confidentiality, and the availability of data. The rising attention to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-11 Mario Angelelli , Serena Arima , Christian Catalano , Enrico Ciavolino

Modeling and simulation are widely used in cybersecurity research to assess cyber threats, evaluate defense mechanisms, and analyze vulnerabilities. However, the diversity of application areas, the variety of cyberattacks scenarios, and the…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2025-08-11 Luca Serena , Gabriele D'Angelo , Stefano Ferretti , Moreno Marzolla

When undertaking cyber security risk assessments, we must assign numeric values to metrics to compute the final expected loss that represents the risk that an organization is exposed to due to cyber threats. Even if risk assessment is…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2017-12-19 Andrew Fielder , Sandra Konig , Emmanouil Panaousis , Stefan Schauer , Stefan Rass

In this paper we present a study on using novel data types to perform cyber risk quantification by estimating the likelihood of a data breach. We demonstrate that it is feasible to build a highly accurate cyber risk assessment model using…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2025-06-10 Armin Sarabi , Manish Karir , Mingyan Liu

Recent high-profile cyber attacks exemplify why organizations need better cyber defenses. Cyber threats are hard to accurately predict because attackers usually try to mask their traces. However, they often discuss exploits and techniques…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2019-02-05 Ashok Deb , Kristina Lerman , Emilio Ferrara

Cyber risk has become a critical financial threat in today's interconnected digital economy. This paper introduces a cyber-risk management framework for networked digital systems that combines the strategic behavior of players with…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2026-01-26 Elisa Botteghi , Martino S. Centonze , Davide Pastorello , Daniele Tantari

The ability to accurately predict cyber-attacks would enable organizations to mitigate their growing threat and avert the financial losses and disruptions they cause. But how predictable are cyber-attacks? Researchers have attempted to…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2020-04-10 Nazgol Tavabi , Andrés Abeliuk , Negar Mokhberian , Jeremy Abramson , Kristina Lerman

The paper provides a comprehensive overview of modeling and pricing cyber insurance and includes clear and easily understandable explanations of the underlying mathematical concepts. We distinguish three main types of cyber risks:…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2022-12-06 Kerstin Awiszus , Thomas Knispel , Irina Penner , Gregor Svindland , Alexander Voß , Stefan Weber

According to different typologies of activity and priority, risks can assume diverse meanings and it can be assessed in different ways. In general risk is measured in terms of a probability combination of an event (frequency) and its…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2009-11-13 C. E. Bonafede , P. Giudici

In this study we examine the nature of losses from cyber related events across different risk categories and business sectors. Using a leading industry dataset of cyber events, we evaluate the relationship between the frequency and severity…

The lack of high-quality public cyber incident data limits empirical research and predictive modeling for cyber risk assessment. This challenge persists due to the reluctance of companies to disclose incidents that could damage their…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2026-03-20 Jiayi Guo , Zhiyu Quan , Linfeng Zhang

We focus on model risk and risk sensitivity when addressing the insurability of cyber risk. The standard statistical approaches to assessment of insurability and potential mispricing are enhanced in several aspects involving consideration…

Risk assessment is a major challenge for supply chain managers, as it potentially affects business factors such as service costs, supplier competition and customer expectations. The increasing interconnectivity between organisations has put…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-11-27 Alberto Redondo , Alberto Torres-Barrán , David Ríos Insua , Jordi Domingo

Many taxonomies exist to organize cybercrime incidents into ontological categories. We examine some of the taxonomies introduced in the literature; providing a framework, and analysis, of how best to leverage different taxonomy structures…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-15 Ryan Warnick

This paper introduces a two-pillar cyber risk management framework to address the pervasive challenges in managing cyber risk. The first pillar, cyber risk assessment, combines insurance frequency-severity models with cybersecurity cascade…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2025-01-13 Wing Fung Chong , Runhuan Feng , Hins Hu , Linfeng Zhang
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