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The Schwabe (~11 yr) value for the annual sunspot number is sometimes uncritically applied to other measures of solar activity, direct and indirect, including the 10.7 cm radio flux, the inflow of galactic cosmic rays, solar flare…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2022-12-08 Claudio Vita-Finzi

The recent paucity of sunspots and the delay in the expected start of Solar Cycle 24 have drawn attention to the challenges involved in predicting solar activity. Traditional models of the solar cycle usually require information about the…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2013-12-05 Mercedes T. Richards , Michael L. Rogers , Donald St. P. Richards

The Solar Cycle is reviewed. The 11-year cycle of solar activity is characterized by the rise and fall in the numbers and surface area of sunspots. A number of other solar activity indicators also vary in association with the sunspots…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-10-01 David H. Hathaway

Recurrent boom-and-bust cycles are a salient feature of economic and financial history. Cycles found in the data are stochastic, often highly persistent, and span substantial fractions of the sample size. We refer to such cycles as "long".…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-03-10 Natasha Kang , Vadim Marmer

The level of solar magnetic activity, as exemplified by the number of sunspots and by energetic events in the corona, varies on a wide range of time scales. Most prominent is the 11-year solar cycle, which is significantly modulated on…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2017-07-26 Robert Cameron , Manfred Schüssler

We analyse four consecutive cycles observed in the USA for employment and inflation. They are driven by three oil price shocks and an intended interest rate shock. Non-linear coupling between the rate equations for consumer products as prey…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2012-12-07 Hans G. Danielmeyer , Thomas Martinetz

Sunspot numbers form a comprehensive, long-duration proxy of solar activity and have been used numerous times to empirically investigate the properties of the solar cycle. A number of correlations have been discovered over the 24 cycles for…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-06-11 Yaming Yu , David A. van Dyk , Vinay L. Kashyap , C. Alex Young

The so-called solar cycle is generally characterized by the quasi-periodic oscillatory evolution of the photospheric spots number. This quasi-periodic pattern has always been an intriguing question. Several physical models were proposed to…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-05-14 Alexis Klutsch , Rubens Freire Ferrero

Business cycles (a periodic change of e.g. GDP over five to ten years) exist, but a proper explanation for it is still lacking. Here we extend the well-known NAIRU (non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment) model, resulting in a set…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2025-09-25 Galiya Klinkova , Michael Grabinski

We applied the method of continuous wavelet-transform to high-quality time-frequency analysis to the sets of observations of relative sunspot numbers. Wavelet analysis of these data reveals the following pattern: at the same time there are…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-12-15 A. A. Borisov , E. A. Bruevich , V. V. Bruevich , I. K. Rozgacheva , E. V. Shimanovskaya

In a recent article by Scafetta, 2010, the author investigates whether or not the decadal and multi-decadal climate oscillations have an astronomical origin. In particular, the author note that several global surface temperature records,…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2011-05-20 S. Sello

Detailed models of the solar cycle require information about the starting time and rise time as well as the shape and amplitude of the cycle. However, none of these models includes a discussion of the variations in the length of the cycle,…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Michael L. Rogers , Mercedes T. Richards , Donald St. P. Richards

Context. Solar activity, dominated by the 11-year cyclic evolution, has been observed directly since 1610. Before that, indirect cosmogenic proxy data are used to reconstruct it over millennia. Recently, the precision of radiocarbon…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2026-04-22 Ilya Usoskin , Sami K. Solanki , Natalie A. Krivova , Theodosis Chatzistergos

The evolution of the solar activity comprises, apart from the well-known 11-year cycle, various temporal scales ranging from months up to the secondary cycles known as mid-term oscillations. Its nature deserves a physical explanation. In…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2020-08-04 D. D. Sokoloff , A. S. Shibalova , V. N. Obridko , V. V. Pipin

The analysis of the demographic transition of the past century and a half, using both empirical data and mathematical models, has rendered a wealth of well-established facts, including the dramatic increases in life expectancy. Despite…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2018-07-02 Albert Solé-Ribalta , Javier Borge-Holthoefer

One of the most striking manifestations of orderly behavior emerging out of complex interactions in any astrophysical system is the 11-year cycle of sunspots. However, direct sunspot observations and reconstructions of long-term solar…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2025-04-24 Chitradeep Saha , Suprabha Mukhopadhyay , Dibyendu Nandy

The application of the Wavelet analysis and Fourier analysis to the dataset of variations of radiation fluxes of solar-like stars and the Sun is examined. In case of the Sun the wavelet-analysis helped us to see a set of values of periods…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2012-04-06 E. A. Bruevich , I. K. Rozgacheva

The observed persistence of specific periodicities detected in time series associated with solar surface magnetic activity over several solar cycles has led to numerous papers supporting the existence of preferred longitudes. Recent…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 C. J. Henney , B. R. Durney

Long-term observational data have information on the magnetic cycles of active stars and that of the Sun. The changes in the activity of our central star have basic effects on Earth, like variations in the global climate. Therefore…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-05-13 Z. Kolláth , K. Oláh

Observations over the past two solar cycles show a highly irregular pattern of occurrence for major solar flares, gamma-ray events, and solar energetic particle (SEP) fluences. Such phenomena do not appear to follow the direct indices of…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2008-11-26 Hugh S. Hudson
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