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We introduce an interpretable deep learning model for multivariate time series forecasting that prioritizes both predictive performance and interpretability - key requirements for understanding complex physical phenomena. Our model not only…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-01-28 Davor Horvatic , Domjan Baric

We introduce a temporal feature encoding architecture called Time Series Representation Model (TSRM) for multivariate time series forecasting and imputation. The architecture is structured around CNN-based representation layers, each…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-29 Robert Leppich , Michael Stenger , Daniel Grillmeyer , Vanessa Borst , Samuel Kounev

Self-awareness is the key capability of autonomous systems, e.g., autonomous driving network, which relies on highly efficient time series forecasting algorithm to enable the system to reason about the future state of the environment, as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-18 Minh-Thanh Bui , Duc-Thinh Ngo , Demin Lu , Zonghua Zhang

A central problem in unsupervised deep learning is how to find useful representations of high-dimensional data, sometimes called "disentanglement". Most approaches are heuristic and lack a proper theoretical foundation. In linear…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-06 Aapo Hyvarinen , Ilyes Khemakhem , Hiroshi Morioka

Time series (TS) modeling has come a long way from early statistical, mainly linear, approaches to the current trend in TS foundation models. With a lot of hype and industrial demand in this field, it is not always clear how much progress…

Time series forecasting plays a pivotal role in critical sectors such as finance, energy, transportation, and meteorology. However, Long-term Time Series Forecasting (LTSF) remains a significant challenge because real-world signals contain…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-04-21 Xiang Ao

Time series forecasting is important in many fields that require accurate predictions for decision-making. Patching techniques, commonly used and effective in time series modeling, help capture temporal dependencies by dividing the data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-03 Xiangfei Qiu , Xvyuan Liu , Tianen Shen , Xingjian Wu , Hanyin Cheng , Bin Yang , Jilin Hu

We are sometimes forced to use the Interrupted Time Series (ITS) design as an identification strategy for potential policy change, such as when we only have a single treated unit and no comparable controls. For example, with recent county-…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-02-17 Luke Miratrix

This paper presents TS2Vec, a universal framework for learning representations of time series in an arbitrary semantic level. Unlike existing methods, TS2Vec performs contrastive learning in a hierarchical way over augmented context views,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-04 Zhihan Yue , Yujing Wang , Juanyong Duan , Tianmeng Yang , Congrui Huang , Yunhai Tong , Bixiong Xu

Multistage stochastic programming provides a modeling framework for sequential decision-making problems that involve uncertainty. One typically overlooked aspect of this methodology is how uncertainty is incorporated into modeling.…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-09-24 Juyoung Wang , Mucahit Cevik , Merve Bodur

The abundance of modern health data provides many opportunities for the use of machine learning techniques to build better statistical models to improve clinical decision making. Predicting time-to-event distributions, also known as…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-12-15 Zidi Xiu , Chenyang Tao , Benjamin A. Goldstein , Ricardo Henao

Time series classification (TSC) is an important task in time series analysis. Existing TSC methods mainly train on each single domain separately, suffering from a degradation in accuracy when the samples for training are insufficient in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-15 Yuxuan Chen , Shanshan Huang , Yunyao Cheng , Peng Chen , Zhongwen Rao , Yang Shu , Bin Yang , Lujia Pan , Chenjuan Guo

Modern data analysis across diverse disciplines increasingly relies on time series. Many of these datasets exhibit cyclostationarity, where patterns approximately repeat in a regular manner, often across multiple time scales, such as daily,…

Data mining, particularly the analysis of multivariate time series data, plays a crucial role in extracting insights from complex systems and supporting informed decision-making across diverse domains. However, assessing the similarity of…

Recent studies have demonstrated the great power of Transformer models for time series forecasting. One of the key elements that lead to the transformer's success is the channel-independent (CI) strategy to improve the training robustness.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-19 Wang Xue , Tian Zhou , Qingsong Wen , Jinyang Gao , Bolin Ding , Rong Jin

Time-to-Collision (TTC) forecasting is a critical task in collision prevention, requiring precise temporal prediction and comprehending both local and global patterns encapsulated in a video, both spatially and temporally. To address the…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-04-20 Nishq Poorav Desai , Ali Etemad , Michael Greenspan

Systems are commonly monitored for health and security through collection and streaming of multivariate time series. Advances in time series forecasting due to adoption of multilayer recurrent neural network architectures make it possible…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-03-10 Oshri Barazani , David Tolpin

Multivariate time series data comprises various channels of variables. The multivariate forecasting models need to capture the relationship between the channels to accurately predict future values. However, recently, there has been an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-12 Lu Han , Han-Jia Ye , De-Chuan Zhan

The explosion of Time Series (TS) data, driven by advancements in technology, necessitates sophisticated analytical methods. Modern management systems increasingly rely on analyzing this data, highlighting the importance of effcient…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-27 Seyedeh Azadeh Fallah Mortezanejad , Ruochen Wang

Recent advancements in deep learning models for time series forecasting have been significant. These models often leverage fundamental time series properties such as seasonality and non-stationarity, which may suggest an intrinsic link…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-09 Fei Wang , Yujie Li , Zezhi Shao , Chengqing Yu , Yisong Fu , Zhulin An , Yongjun Xu , Xueqi Cheng