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This paper addresses the issue of detecting change-points in multivariate time series. The proposed approach differs from existing counterparts by making only weak assumptions on both the change-points structure across series, and the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-07-14 Flore Harlé , Florent Chatelain , Cédric Gouy-Pailler , Sophie Achard

In many modern applications, large-scale sensor networks are used to perform statistical inference tasks. In this paper, we propose Bayesian methods for multiple change-point detection using a sensor network in which a fusion center (FC)…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2023-07-19 Eyal Nitzan , Topi Halme , Visa Koivunen

This paper proposes a new approach for change point detection in multivariate Hawkes processes using Fr\'echet statistic of a network. The method splits the point process into overlapping windows, estimates kernel matrices in each window,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-01-23 Rui Luo , Vikram Krishnamurthy

Bayesian online changepoint detection (BOCPD) (Adams & MacKay, 2007) offers a rigorous and viable way to identify changepoints in complex systems. In this work, we introduce a Stein variational online changepoint detection (SVOCD) method to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-05-28 Gianluca Detommaso , Hanne Hoitzing , Tiangang Cui , Ardavan Alamir

A method for change point detection is proposed. We consider a univariate sequence of independent random variables with piecewise constant expectation and variance, apart from which the distribution may vary periodically. We aim to detect…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-06-23 Michael Messer

In this paper, the problem of quickly detecting an abrupt change on a stochastic process under Bayesian framework is considered. Different from the classic Bayesian quickest change-point detection problem, this paper considers the case…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2017-08-24 Jun Geng , Erhan Bayraktar , Lifeng Lai

We propose a fast inference method for Bayesian nonlinear support vector machines that leverages stochastic variational inference and inducing points. Our experiments show that the proposed method is faster than competing Bayesian…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-03-22 Florian Wenzel , Theo Galy-Fajou , Matthaeus Deutsch , Marius Kloft

A change point problem occurs in many statistical applications. If there exist change points in a model, it is harmful to make a statistical analysis without any consideration of the existence of the change points and the results derived…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2011-01-24 Xiaoping Shi , Yuehua Wu , Baisuo Jin

This paper presents a Bayesian generative model for dependent Cox point processes, alongside an efficient inference scheme which scales as if the point processes were modelled independently. We can handle missing data naturally, infer…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-07-28 Tom Gunter , Chris Lloyd , Michael A. Osborne , Stephen J. Roberts

We consider sequential change-point detection in parallel data streams, where each stream has its own change point. Once a change is detected in a data stream, this stream is deactivated permanently. The goal is to maximize the normal…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-07-15 Yunxiao Chen , Xiaoou Li

Bayesian optimization is an effective method to efficiently optimize unknown objective functions with high evaluation costs. Traditional Bayesian optimization algorithms select one point per iteration for single objective function, whereas…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-05-08 Takashi Wada , Hideitsu Hino

In this paper, we develop an efficient nonparametric Bayesian estimation of the kernel function of Hawkes processes. The non-parametric Bayesian approach is important because it provides flexible Hawkes kernels and quantifies their…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-14 Rui Zhang , Christian Walder , Marian-Andrei Rizoiu , Lexing Xie

We consider jointly estimating the coefficient matrix and the error precision matrix in high-dimensional multivariate linear regression models. Bayesian methods in this context often face computational challenges, leading to previous…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-25 Xuan Cao , Kyoungjae Lee

In this paper, we discuss a class of distributed detection algorithms which can be viewed as implementations of Bayes' law in distributed settings. Some of the algorithms are proposed in the literature most recently, and others are first…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-11-10 Qipeng Liu , Jiuhua Zhao , Xiaofan Wang

We construct a "hyperparameter matrix" statistical method for performing the joint analyses of multiple correlated astronomical data sets, in which the weights of data sets are determined by their own statistical properties. This method is…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2014-05-20 Yin-Zhe Ma , Aaron Berndsen

In this paper we propose a bayesian approach for near-duplicate image detection, and investigate how different probabilistic models affect the performance obtained. The task of identifying an image whose metadata are missing is often…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-08-23 Lucas Moutinho Bueno , Eduardo Valle , Ricardo da Silva Torres

Online detection of instantaneous changes in the generative process of a data sequence generally focuses on retrospective inference of such change points without considering their future occurrences. We extend the Bayesian Online Change…

In this paper, we consider the problem of (multiple) change-point detection in panel data. We propose the double CUSUM statistic which utilises the cross-sectional change-point structure by examining the cumulative sums of ordered CUSUMs at…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-11-29 Haeran Cho

Change point detection algorithms have numerous applications in fields of scientific and economic importance. We consider the problem of change point detection on compositional multivariate data (each sample is a probability mass function),…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-01-16 Prabuchandran K. J. , Nitin Singh , Pankaj Dayama , Vinayaka Pandit

We propose an extension to Hawkes processes by treating the levels of self-excitation as a stochastic differential equation. Our new point process allows better approximation in application domains where events and intensities accelerate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-09-23 Young Lee , Kar Wai Lim , Cheng Soon Ong