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Yield forecast is essential to agriculture stakeholders and can be obtained with the use of machine learning models and data coming from multiple sources. Most solutions for yield forecast rely on NDVI (Normalized Difference Vegetation…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2018-10-17 Igor Oliveira , Renato L. F. Cunha , Bruno Silva , Marco A. S. Netto

Crop yield forecasting plays a significant role in addressing growing concerns about food security and guiding decision-making for policymakers and farmers. When deep learning is employed, understanding the learning and decision-making…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-12 Hiba Najjar , Miro Miranda , Marlon Nuske , Ribana Roscher , Andreas Dengel

The availability of well-curated datasets has driven the success of Machine Learning (ML) models. Despite the increased access to earth observation data for agriculture, there is a scarcity of curated, labelled datasets, which limits the…

This PhD thesis contains several contributions to the field of statistical causal modeling. Statistical causal models are statistical models embedded with causal assumptions that allow for the inference and reasoning about the behavior of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-10-05 Martin Emil Jakobsen

Many causal systems such as biological processes in cells can only be observed indirectly via measurements, such as gene expression. Causal representation learning -- the task of correctly mapping low-level observations to latent causal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-31 Elliot Layne , Jason Hartford , Sébastien Lachapelle , Mathieu Blanchette , Dhanya Sridhar

Agriculture plays a crucial role in the global economy and social stability, and accurate crop yield prediction is essential for rational planting planning and decision-making. This study focuses on crop yield Time-Series Data prediction.…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2025-02-18 Yueru Yan , Yue Wang , Jialin Li , Jingwei Zhang , Xingye Mo

The prediction of crop yields internationally is a crucial objective in agricultural research. Thus, this study implements 6 regression models (Linear, Tree, Gradient Descent, Gradient Boosting, K Nearest Neighbors, and Random Forest) to…

Our recent study using historic data of paddy yield and associated conditions include humidity, luminescence, and temperature. By incorporating regression models and neural networks (NN), one can produce highly satisfactory forecasting of…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-11-30 Sandesh Ramesh , Anirudh Hebbar , Varun Yadav , Thulasiram Gunta , A Balachandra

We introduce a novel forecasting model for crop yields that explicitly accounts for spatio-temporal dependence and the influence of extreme weather and climatic events. Our approach combines Bayesian Structural Time Series for modeling…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-01 Marie Michaelides , Mélina Mailhot , Yongkun Li

Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (NODEs) have proven successful in learning dynamical systems in terms of accurately recovering the observed trajectories. While different types of sparsity have been proposed to improve robustness, the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-27 Hananeh Aliee , Till Richter , Mikhail Solonin , Ignacio Ibarra , Fabian Theis , Niki Kilbertus

Crop yield is affected by various soil and environmental parameters and can vary significantly. Therefore, a crop yield estimation model which can predict pre-harvest yield is required for food security. The study is conducted on tea forms…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-30 Nisar Ahmed , Hafiz Muhammad Shahzad Asif , Gulshan Saleem , Muhammad Usman Younus

Precise estimation and uncertainty quantification for average crop yields are critical for agricultural monitoring and decision making. Existing data collection methods, such as crop cuts in randomly sampled fields at harvest time, are…

The effects of weather on agriculture in recent years have become a major global concern. Hence, the need for an effective weather risk management tool (i.e., weather derivatives) that can hedge crop yields against weather uncertainties.…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2019-10-25 Samuel Asante Gyamerah , Philip Ngare , Dennis Ikpe

Recent work has raised concerns on the risk of spurious correlations and unintended biases in statistical machine learning models that threaten model robustness and fairness. In this paper, we propose a simple and intuitive regularization…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-05 Zhao Wang , Kai Shu , Aron Culotta

Increasing the accuracy of crop yield estimates may allow improvements in the whole crop production chain, allowing farmers to better plan for harvest, and for insurers to better understand risks of production, to name a few advantages. To…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-07-23 Renato Luiz de Freitas Cunha , Bruno Silva

Forecasting crop yields is important for food security, in particular to predict where crop production is likely to drop. Climate records and remotely-sensed data have become instrumental sources of data for crop yield forecasting systems.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-04-29 Michele Meroni , François Waldner , Lorenzo Seguini , Hervé Kerdiles , Felix Rembold

With climate change threatening agricultural productivity and global food demand increasing, it is important to better understand which farm management practices will maximize crop yields in various climatic conditions. To assess the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-04-12 Dan M. Kluger , Art B. Owen , David B. Lobell

This study introduces an innovative Cumulative Link Modeling approach to monitor crop progress over large areas using remote sensing data. The models utilize the predictive attributes of calendar time, thermal time, and the Normalized…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-12-06 Ioannis Oikonomidis , Samis Trevezas

Short-term forecasting of vegetation dynamics is a key enabler for data-driven decision support in precision agriculture. Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) forecasting from satellite observations, however, remains challenging…

Climate change is posing new challenges to crop-related concerns including food insecurity, supply stability and economic planning. As one of the central challenges, crop yield prediction has become a pressing task in the machine learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-25 Joshua Fan , Junwen Bai , Zhiyun Li , Ariel Ortiz-Bobea , Carla P. Gomes
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