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The rapid spread of diverse information on online social platforms has prompted both academia and industry to realize the importance of predicting content popularity, which could benefit a wide range of applications, such as recommendation…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-09-26 Xin Jing , Yichen Jing , Yuhuan Lu , Bangchao Deng , Xueqin Chen , Dingqi Yang

The ability to predict the size of information cascades in online social networks is crucial for various applications, including decision-making and viral marketing. However, traditional methods either rely on complicated time-varying…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2023-06-22 Wu Leilei , Yi Lingling , Ren Xiao-Long , {Lü} Linyuan

Information propagation on social networks could be modeled as cascades, and many efforts have been made to predict the future popularity of cascades. However, most of the existing research treats a cascade as an individual sequence.…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2023-06-07 Xiaodong Lu , Shuo Ji , Le Yu , Leilei Sun , Bowen Du , Tongyu Zhu

Information cascade popularity prediction is a key problem in analyzing content diffusion in social networks. However, current related works suffer from three critical limitations: (1) temporal leakage in current evaluation--random…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-20 Jie Peng , Rui Wang , Qiang Wang , Zhewei Wei , Bin Tong , Guan Wang , Bo Zheng

The deluge of digital information in our daily life -- from user-generated content, such as microblogs and scientific papers, to online business, such as viral marketing and advertising -- offers unprecedented opportunities to explore and…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2021-03-25 Fan Zhou , Xovee Xu , Goce Trajcevski , Kunpeng Zhang

Social media, such as Facebook and WeChat, empowers millions of users to create, consume, and disseminate online information on an unprecedented scale. The abundant information on social media intensifies the competition of WeChat Public…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2018-08-29 Quan Li , Ziming Wu , Lingling Yi , Kristanto Sean N , Huamin Qu , Xiaojuan Ma

Information cascade popularity prediction is critical for many applications, including but not limited to identifying fake news and accurate recommendations. Traditional feature-based methods heavily rely on handcrafted features, which are…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2024-04-30 Zhizhen Zhang , Xiaohui Xie , Yishuo Zhang , Lanshan Zhang , Yong Jiang

Popularity prediction for information cascades has significant applications across various domains, including opinion monitoring and advertising recommendations. While most existing methods consider this as a discrete problem, popularity…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2025-10-21 Songbo Yang , Ziwei Zhao , Zihang Chen , Haotian Zhang , Tong Xu , Mengxiao Zhu

Models of contagion dynamics, originally developed for infectious diseases, have proven relevant to the study of information, news, and political opinions in online social systems. Modelling diffusion processes and predicting viral…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2019-06-19 Weihua Li , Skyler J. Cranmer , Zhiming Zheng , Peter J. Mucha

Information diffusion occurs on microblogging platforms like Twitter as retweet cascades. When a tweet is posted, it may be retweeted and henceforth further retweeted, and the retweeting process continues iteratively and indefinitely. A…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-04-20 Feng Chen , Wai Hong Tan

One of the interesting and important problems of information diffusion over a large social network is to identify an appropriate model from a limited amount of diffusion information. There are two contrasting approaches to model information…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2012-04-23 Kazumi Saito , Masahiro Kimura , Kouzou Ohara , Hiroshi Motoda

It is well-known that online behavior is long-tailed, with most cascaded actions being short and a few being very long. A prominent drawback in generative models for online events is the inability to describe unpopular items well. This work…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2020-08-18 Quyu Kong , Marian-Andrei Rizoiu , Lexing Xie

Information cascades exist in a wide variety of platforms on Internet. A very important real-world problem is to identify which information cascades can go viral. A system addressing this problem can be used in a variety of applications…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2016-06-21 Ruocheng Guo , Paulo Shakarian

We consider the problem of estimating the latent structure of a social network based on the observed information diffusion events, or cascades, where the observations for a given cascade consist of only the timestamps of infection for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-03-27 Ming Yu , Varun Gupta , Mladen Kolar

Predicting popularity, or the total volume of information outbreaks, is an important subproblem for understanding collective behavior in networks. Each of the two main types of recent approaches to the problem, feature-driven and generative…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2016-08-31 Swapnil Mishra , Marian-Andrei Rizoiu , Lexing Xie

Online social networks play a major role in the spread of information at very large scale and it becomes essential to provide means to analyse this phenomenon. In this paper we address the issue of predicting the temporal dynamics of the…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2013-03-26 Adrien Guille , Hakim Hacid , Cécile Favre

Social media and social networking sites have become a global pinboard for exposition and discussion of news, topics, and ideas, where social media users often update their opinions about a particular topic by learning from the opinions…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2016-05-25 Abir De , Isabel Valera , Niloy Ganguly , Sourangshu Bhattacharya , Manuel Gomez Rodriguez

Predicting the future popularity of information in online social networks is a crucial yet challenging task, due to the complex spatiotemporal dynamics underlying information diffusion. Existing methods typically use structural or…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2026-03-11 Yuchen Wang , Dongpeng Hou , Weikai Jing , Chao Gao , Xianghua Li , Yang Liu

Information cascades are ubiquitous in various social networking web sites. What mechanisms drive information diffuse in the networks? How does the structure and size of the cascades evolve in time? When and which users will adopt a certain…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2015-12-29 Tao Wu , Leiting Chen , Xingping Xian , Yuxiao Guo

Information diffusion prediction aims at predicting the target users in the information diffusion path on social networks. Prior works mainly focus on the observed structure or sequence of cascades, trying to predict to whom this cascade…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2023-08-09 Xiaowen Wang , Lanjun Wang , Yuting Su , Yongdong Zhang , An-An Liu
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