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This paper describes a novel diffusion model, DyDiff-VAE, for information diffusion prediction on social media. Given the initial content and a sequence of forwarding users, DyDiff-VAE aims to estimate the propagation likelihood for other…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2021-06-08 Ruijie Wang , Zijie Huang , Shengzhong Liu , Huajie Shao , Dongxin Liu , Jinyang Li , Tianshi Wang , Dachun Sun , Shuochao Yao , Tarek Abdelzaher

Knowledge Tracing (KT) predicts future performance by modeling students' historical interactions, and understanding students' affective states can enhance the effectiveness of KT, thereby improving the quality of education. Although…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2025-02-18 Xinjie Sun , Kai Zhang , Qi Liu , Shuanghong Shen , Fei Wang , Yuxiang Guo , Enhong Chen

With the increasing use of online social networks as a source of news and information, the propensity for a rumor to disseminate widely and quickly poses a great concern, especially in disaster situations where users do not have enough time…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2020-02-27 Abiola Osho , Caden Waters , George Amariucai

Predicting counterfactual distributions in complex dynamical systems is essential for scientific modeling and decision-making in domains such as public health and medicine. However, existing methods often rely on point estimates or purely…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-15 Wenhao Mu , Zhi Cao , Mehmed Uludag , Alexander Rodríguez

Information cascade popularity prediction is critical for many applications, including but not limited to identifying fake news and accurate recommendations. Traditional feature-based methods heavily rely on handcrafted features, which are…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2024-04-30 Zhizhen Zhang , Xiaohui Xie , Yishuo Zhang , Lanshan Zhang , Yong Jiang

Content popularity prediction has been extensively studied due to its importance and interest for both users and hosts of social media sites like Facebook, Instagram, Twitter, and Pinterest. However, existing work mainly focuses on modeling…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2017-11-30 Wenjian Hu , Krishna Kumar Singh , Fanyi Xiao , Jinyoung Han , Chen-Nee Chuah , Yong Jae Lee

Predicting online video popularity faces a critical challenge: prediction drift, where models trained on historical data rapidly degrade due to evolving viral trends and user behaviors. To address this temporal distribution shift, we…

The diffusion of information and behaviors over social networks is of considerable interest in research fields ranging from sociology to computer science and application domains such as marketing, finance, human health, and national…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2009-12-31 Richard Colbaugh , Kristin Glass

The study of continuous-time information diffusion has been an important area of research for many applications in recent years. When only the diffusion traces (cascades) are accessible, cascade-based network inference and influence…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2024-05-22 Keke Huang , Ruize Gao , Bogdan Cautis , Xiaokui Xiao

Studying temporal dynamics of topics in social media is very useful to understand online user behaviors. Most of the existing work on this subject usually monitors the global trends, ignoring variation among communities. Since users from…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2013-12-04 Zhiting Hu , Chong Wang , Junjie Yao , Eric Xing , Hongzhi Yin , Bin Cui

It's by now folklore that to understand the activity pattern of a user in an online social network (OSN) platform, one needs to look at his friends or the ones he follows. The common perception is that these friends exert influence on the…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2025-05-26 Michael Sidorov , Dan Vilenchik

Fake news detection has been a critical task for maintaining the health of the online news ecosystem. However, very few existing works consider the temporal shift issue caused by the rapidly-evolving nature of news data in practice,…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-06-27 Beizhe Hu , Qiang Sheng , Juan Cao , Yongchun Zhu , Danding Wang , Zhengjia Wang , Zhiwei Jin

Diffusion models have emerged as powerful generative frameworks by progressively adding noise to data through a forward process and then reversing this process to generate realistic samples. While these models have achieved strong…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-04 Xingzhuo Guo , Yu Zhang , Baixu Chen , Haoran Xu , Jianmin Wang , Mingsheng Long

The scientific impact of academic papers is influenced by intricate factors such as dynamic popularity and inherent contribution. Existing models typically rely on static graphs for citation count estimation, failing to differentiate among…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2024-09-04 Zhikai Xue , Guoxiu He , Zhuoren Jiang , Sichen Gu , Yangyang Kang , Star Zhao , Wei Lu

Models of contagion dynamics, originally developed for infectious diseases, have proven relevant to the study of information, news, and political opinions in online social systems. Modelling diffusion processes and predicting viral…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2019-06-19 Weihua Li , Skyler J. Cranmer , Zhiming Zheng , Peter J. Mucha

Diffusion processes in networks are increasingly used to model the spread of information and social influence. In several applications in computational sustainability such as the spread of wildlife, infectious diseases and traffic mobility…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2013-09-27 Akshat Kumar , Daniel Sheldon , Biplav Srivastava

In the last decade, information diffusion (also known as information cascade) on social networks has been massively investigated due to its application values in many fields. In recent years, many sequential models including those models…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2022-04-20 Baichuan Liu , Deqing Yang , Yueyi Wang , Yuchen Shi

Online narratives spread unevenly across platforms, with content emerging on one site often appearing on others, hours, days or weeks later. Existing cross-platform information diffusion models often treat platforms as isolated systems,…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2025-10-22 Patrick Gerard , Luca Luceri , Leonardo Blas , Emilio Ferrara

Information spread on networks can be efficiently modeled by considering three features: documents' content, time of publication relative to other publications, and position of the spreader in the network. Most previous works model up to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-13 Gaël Poux-Médard , Julien Velcin , Sabine Loudcher

Online social networks play a major role in the spread of information at very large scale and it becomes essential to provide means to analyse this phenomenon. In this paper we address the issue of predicting the temporal dynamics of the…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2013-03-26 Adrien Guille , Hakim Hacid , Cécile Favre