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Learning the Individual Treatment Effect (ITE) is essential for personalized decision-making, yet causal inference has traditionally focused on aggregated treatment effects. While integrating conformal prediction with causal inference can…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-23 Chenyin Gao , Peter B. Gilbert , Larry Han

Deep clustering uncovers hidden patterns and groups in complex time series data, yet its opaque decision-making limits use in safety-critical settings. This survey offers a structured overview of explainable deep clustering for time series,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-21 Udo Schlegel , Gabriel Marques Tavares , Thomas Seidl

Recent time series modeling faces a sharp divide between numerical generation and semantic understanding, with research showing that generation models often rely on superficial pattern matching, while understanding-oriented models struggle…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-20 Tong Guan , Sheng Pan , Johan Barthelemy , Zhao Li , Yujun Cai , Cesare Alippi , Ming Jin , Shirui Pan

High-speed flight vehicles, which travel much faster than the speed of sound, are crucial for national defense and space exploration. However, accurately predicting their behavior under numerous, varied flight conditions is a challenge and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-07 Tyler E. Korenyi-Both , Nathan J. Falkiewicz , Matthew C. Jones

We employ an evolutionary optimization framework that perturbs initial states to generate informative and diverse policy demonstrations. A joint surrogate fitness function guides the optimization by combining local diversity, behavioral…

As multimodal data proliferates across diverse real-world applications, leveraging heterogeneous information such as texts and timestamps for accurate time series forecasting (TSF) has become a critical challenge. While diffusion models…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-09 Da Zhang , Bingyu Li , Zhuyuan Zhao , Junyu Gao , Feiping Nie , Xuelong Li

Time-series data are fundamentally important for many critical domains such as healthcare, finance, and climate, where explainable models are necessary for safe automated decision making. To develop explainable artificial intelligence in…

Large Language Models (LLMs) offer a promising approach to enhancing Explainable AI (XAI) by transforming complex machine learning outputs into easy-to-understand narratives, making model predictions more accessible to users, and helping…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-04-02 Ahsan Bilal , David Ebert , Beiyu Lin

The need for transparency of predictive systems based on Machine Learning algorithms arises as a consequence of their ever-increasing proliferation in the industry. Whenever black-box algorithmic predictions influence human affairs, the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-02-11 Kacper Sokol , Peter Flach

Modern web applications--from real-time content recommendation and dynamic pricing to CDN optimization--increasingly rely on time-series forecasting to deliver personalized experiences to billions of users. Large-scale Transformer-based…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-25 Pranav Subbaraman , Fang Sun , Yue Yao , Huacong Tang , Xiao Luo , Yizhou Sun

We introduce Matched Machine Learning, a framework that combines the flexibility of machine learning black boxes with the interpretability of matching, a longstanding tool in observational causal inference. Interpretability is paramount in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-05 Marco Morucci , Cynthia Rudin , Alexander Volfovsky

With the widespread adoption of Large Language Models (LLMs), there is a growing need to establish best practices for leveraging their capabilities beyond traditional natural language tasks. In this paper, a novel cross-domain knowledge…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-29 Mohammadmahdi Ghasemloo , Alireza Moradi

Accurately modeling user preferences is vital not only for improving recommendation performance but also for enhancing transparency in recommender systems. Conventional user profiling methods, such as averaging item embeddings, often…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2025-05-05 Milad Sabouri , Masoud Mansoury , Kun Lin , Bamshad Mobasher

In recent years, both online and offline deep learning models have been developed for time series forecasting. However, offline deep forecasting models fail to adapt effectively to changes in time-series data, while online deep forecasting…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-06 Mohamed Mejri , Chandramouli Amarnath , Abhijit Chatterjee

Surrogate models play a crucial role in retrospectively interpreting complex and powerful black box machine learning models via model distillation. This paper focuses on using model-based trees as surrogate models which partition the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-10-06 Julia Herbinger , Susanne Dandl , Fiona K. Ewald , Sofia Loibl , Giuseppe Casalicchio

Pre-trained Time Series Foundational Models (TSFMs) represent a significant advance, capable of forecasting diverse time series with complex characteristics, including varied seasonalities, trends, and long-range dependencies. Despite their…

User simulation is increasingly vital to develop and evaluate recommender systems (RSs). While Large Language Models (LLMs) offer promising avenues to simulate user behavior, they often struggle with the absence of specific task alignment…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2026-04-20 Tianjun Wei , Huizhong Guo , Yingpeng Du , Zhu Sun , Huang Chen , Dongxia Wang , Jie Zhang

AI algorithms are being used with increased frequency in SE research and practice. Such algorithms are usually commissioned and certified using data from outside the SE domain. Can we assume that such algorithms can be used…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2020-03-17 Kewen Peng , Tim Menzies

Time series forecasting holds significant importance across various industries, including finance, transportation, energy, healthcare, and climate. Despite the widespread use of linear networks due to their low computational cost and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-02 Chengsen Wang , Qi Qi , Jingyu Wang , Haifeng Sun , Zirui Zhuang , Jianxin Liao

The rapid adoption of complex Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML) models has led to their characterization as black boxes due to the difficulty of explaining their internal decision-making processes. This lack of…