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Driven by the transition towards a climate-neutral energy system, accurate energy time series forecasting is critical for planning and operation. Yet, it remains largely a dataset-specific task, requiring comprehensive training data,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-27 Marco Obermeier , Marco Pruckner , Florian Haselbeck , Andreas Zeiselmair

Accurate precipitation forecasting is a vital challenge of societal importance. Though data-driven approaches have emerged as a widely used solution, solely relying on data-driven approaches has limitations in modeling the underlying…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-14 Yujin Tang , Jiaming Zhou , Xiang Pan , Zeying Gong , Junwei Liang

There has been active investigation into deep learning approaches for time series analysis, including foundation models. However, most studies do not address significant scientific applications. This paper aims to identify key features in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-22 Junyang He , Ying-Jung Chen , Alireza Jafari , Anushka Idamekorala , Geoffrey Fox

While recent advances in machine learning have equipped Weather Foundation Models (WFMs) with substantial generalization capabilities across diverse downstream tasks, the escalating computational requirements associated with their expanding…

As AI workloads increase in scope, generalization capability becomes challenging for small task-specific models and their demand for large amounts of labeled training samples increases. On the contrary, Foundation Models (FMs) are trained…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-04-19 Aristeidis Tsaris , Philipe Ambrozio Dias , Abhishek Potnis , Junqi Yin , Feiyi Wang , Dalton Lunga

AI-for-science approaches have been applied to solve scientific problems (e.g., nuclear fusion, ecology, genomics, meteorology) and have achieved highly promising results. Spatial precipitation downscaling is one of the most important…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-10-18 Xuanhong Chen , Kairui Feng , Naiyuan Liu , Bingbing Ni , Yifan Lu , Zhengyan Tong , Ziang Liu

Global climate models represent small-scale processes such as clouds and convection using quasi-empirical models known as parameterizations, and these parameterizations are a leading cause of uncertainty in climate projections. A promising…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2020-08-31 Janni Yuval , Paul A. O'Gorman

Precipitation nowcasting is crucial for mitigating the impacts of severe weather events and supporting daily activities. Conventional models predominantly relying on radar data have limited performance in predicting cases with complex…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-09-17 Çağlar Küçük , Aitor Atencia , Markus Dabernig

This paper demonstrates the feasibility of democratizing AI-driven global weather forecasting models among university research groups by leveraging Graphics Processing Units (GPUs) and freely available AI models, such as NVIDIA's…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-13 Iman Khadir , Shane Stevenson , Henry Li , Kyle Krick , Abram Burrows , David Hall , Stan Posey , Samuel S. P. Shen

Forecasting the weather is an increasingly data intensive exercise. Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models are becoming more complex, with higher resolutions, and there are increasing numbers of different models in operation. While the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-03-17 Charlie Kirkwood , Theo Economou , Henry Odbert , Nicolas Pugeault

Weather radar data are critical for nowcasting and an integral component of numerical weather prediction models. While weather radar data provide valuable information at high resolution, their ground-based nature limits their availability,…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-03-07 Çağlar Küçük , Apostolos Giannakos , Stefan Schneider , Alexander Jann

Designing early warning systems for harsh weather and its effects, such as urban flooding or landslides, requires accurate short-term forecasts (nowcasts) of precipitation. Nowcasting is a significant task with several environmental…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-10 Christos Kaparakis , Siamak Mehrkanoon

Understanding the combined influences of meteorological and hydrological factors on water level and flood events is essential, particularly in today's changing climate environments. Transformer, as one kind of the cutting-edge deep learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-24 Mingyu Liu , Nana Bao , Xingting Yan , Chenyang Li , Kai Peng

The understanding and prediction of large wildland fire events around the world is a growing interdisciplinary research area advanced rapidly by development and use of computational models. Recent models bidirectionally couple computational…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2020-07-06 J. L. Coen , W. Schroeder , S. Conway , L. Tarnay

Machine learning for time-series forecasting remains a key area of research. Despite successful application of many machine learning techniques, relating computational efficiency to forecast error remains an under-explored domain. This…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-28 Elin Törnquist , Wagner Costa Santos , Timothy Pogue , Nicholas Wingle , Robert A. Caulk

Machine learning (ML)-based weather models have recently undergone rapid improvements. These models are typically trained on gridded reanalysis data from numerical data assimilation systems. However, reanalysis data comes with limitations,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-01 Jonas Scholz , Tom R. Andersson , Anna Vaughan , James Requeima , Richard E. Turner

The generation of initial conditions via accurate data assimilation is crucial for weather forecasting and climate modeling. We propose DiffDA as a denoising diffusion model capable of assimilating atmospheric variables using predicted…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2024-06-11 Langwen Huang , Lukas Gianinazzi , Yuejiang Yu , Peter D. Dueben , Torsten Hoefler

Palaeoclimate archives contain information on climate variability, trends and mechanisms. Models are developed to explain observations and predict the response of the climate system to perturbations, in particular perturbations associated…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2012-09-13 Michel Crucifix

Assured AI in unrestricted settings is a critical problem. Our framework addresses AI assurance challenges lying at the intersection of domain adaptation, fairness, and counterfactuals analysis, operating via the discovery and intervention…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-19 William Paul , Philippe Burlina

Climate projections suffer from uncertain equilibrium climate sensitivity. The reason behind this uncertainty is the resolution of global climate models, which is too coarse to resolve key processes such as clouds and convection. These…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-06-18 Soukayna Mouatadid , Pierre Gentine , Wei Yu , Steve Easterbrook
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