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相关论文: Tracing the impacts of Mount Pinatubo eruption on …

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The June 1991 Mt. Pinatubo eruption resulted in a massive increase of sulfate aerosols in the atmosphere, absorbing radiation and leading to global changes in surface and stratospheric temperatures. A volcanic eruption of this magnitude…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-08-04 Robert Garrett , Lyndsay Shand , J. Gabriel Huerta

In environmental and climate data, there is often an interest in determining if and when changes occur in a system. Such changes may result from localized sources in space and time like a volcanic eruption or climate geoengineering events.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-08-14 Drew Yarger , J. Derek Tucker

Recent years have seen a growing concern about climate change and its impacts. While Earth System Models (ESMs) can be invaluable tools for studying the impacts of climate change, the complex coupling processes encoded in ESMs and the large…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-23 Warren L. Davis , Max Carlson , Irina Tezaur , Diana Bull , Kara Peterson , Laura Swiler

Detecting changepoints in functional data has become an important problem as interest in monitoring of climate phenomenon has increased, where the data is functional in nature. The observed data often contains both amplitude ($y$-axis) and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-27 J. Derek Tucker , Drew Yarger

This paper presents the development of a new entropy-based feature selection method for identifying and quantifying impacts. Here, impacts are defined as statistically significant differences in spatio-temporal fields when comparing…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-09-27 Jerry Watkins , Luca Bertagna , Graham Harper , Andrew Steyer , Irina Tezaur , Diana Bull

We investigate the climatic effects of volcanic eruptions spanning from Mt.\ Pinatubo-sized events to super-volcanoes. The study is based on ensemble simulations in the Community Earth System Model Version 2 (CESM2) climate model using the…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-04-03 Eirik Enger , Rune Graversen , Audun Theodorsen

We analyze the global temperature change due to the Mt. Pinatubo eruption using a simple two-layer model of the atmosphere and surface to obtain results consistent with satellite data. Through analytic and numerical analysis we find a…

地球物理 · 物理学 2009-01-21 Robert S. Knox , Kevin J. LaTourette

We propose a novel Bayesian framework for changepoint detection in large-scale spherical spatiotemporal data, with broad applicability in environmental and climate sciences. Our approach models changepoints as spatially dependent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-16 Samantha Shi-Jun , Bo Li

A Bayesian approach is developed to analyze change points in multivariate time series and space-time data. The methodology is used to assess the impact of extended inundation on the ecosystem of the Gulf Plains bioregion in northern…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-06-21 Chris Strickland , Robert Burdett , Robert Denham , Robert Kohn , Kerrie Mengersen

We determine the volcano climate sensitivity and response time for the Mount Pinatubo eruption. This is achieved using observational measurements of the temperature anomalies of the lower troposphere and the aerosol optical density (AOD) in…

地球物理 · 物理学 2015-06-26 David H. Douglass , Robert S. Knox

Extreme precipitation events with large spatial extents may have more severe impacts than localized events as they can lead to widespread flooding. It is debated how climate change may affect the spatial extent of precipitation extremes,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-07 Peng Zhong , Manuela Brunner , Thomas Opitz , Raphaël Huser

Atmospheric extinction in the V passband at Mount John University Observatory, New Zealand, from 1987-94 is presented and the effect of the 1991 Mount Pinatubo volcanic eruption is discussed.

天体物理学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 M. C. Forbes , T. Banks , D. J. Sullivan , R. J. Dodd , A. C. Gilmore , P. M. Kilmartin

The 2022 National Defense Strategy of the United States listed climate change as a serious threat to national security. Climate intervention methods, such as stratospheric aerosol injection, have been proposed as mitigation strategies, but…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-10-13 Katherine Goode , Daniel Ries , Kellie McClernon

Despite tremendous interest in the topic and decades of research, the origins of the major losses of biodiversity in the history of life on Earth remain elusive. A variety of possible causes for these mass-extinction events have been…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2009-08-25 Georg Feulner

Studying the impact of climate change on precipitation is constrained by finding a way to evaluate the evolution of precipitation variability over time. Classical approaches (feature-based) have shown their limitations for this issue due to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-10-25 Mohamed Djallel Dilmi , Laurent Barthès , Cécile Mallet , Aymeric Chazottes

We investigate the temporal evolution of ocean heat uptake efficiency (OHUE) using observations and large ensemble model simulations. OHUE, defined as the ratio of the rate in ocean heat uptake to changes in global mean surface temperature…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-03-30 Jia-Rui Shi , Laure Zanna , Alistair Adcroft

Climate models have become an important tool in the study of climate and climate change, and ensemble experiments consisting of multiple climate-model runs are used in studying and quantifying the uncertainty in climate-model output.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2011-04-15 Stephan R. Sain , Reinhard Furrer , Noel Cressie

This article introduces a dynamic spatiotemporal stochastic volatility (SV) model with explicit terms for the spatial, temporal, and spatiotemporal spillover effects. Moreover, the model includes time-invariant site-specific constant…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-10 Philipp Otto , Osman Doğan , Süleyman Taşpınar

Attribution of climate impacts to natural and anthropogenic source forcings is essential for understanding and addressing climate effects. While standard methods like optimal fingerprinting have been effective for long-term changes, they…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-07-25 Christopher R. Wentland , Michael Weylandt , Laura P. Swiler , Diana L. Bull

The James Webb Space Telescope (JWST) has provided the first opportunity to study the atmospheres of terrestrial exoplanets and estimate their surface conditions. Earth-sized planets around Sun-like stars are currently inaccessible with…

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