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Bayesian experimental design (BED) is a principled framework for data-efficient design of sequential experiments. However, existing BED methods are unable to adapt to dynamic constraints inherent in real-world tasks due to budget…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-27 Yujia Guo , Daolang Huang , Xinyu Zhang , Sammie Katt , Samuel Kaski , Ayush Bharti

This paper is concerned with sequential state filtering in the presence of nonlinearity, non-Gaussianity and model uncertainty. For this problem, the Bayesian model averaged particle filter (BMAPF) is perhaps one of the most efficient…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-01-28 Bin Liu

This paper introduces the $f$-EI$(\phi)$ algorithm, a novel iterative algorithm which operates on measures and performs $f$-divergence minimisation in a Bayesian framework. We prove that for a rich family of values of $(f,\phi)$ this…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-03-16 Kamélia Daudel , Randal Douc , François Portier , François Roueff

We study a ranking and selection problem of learning from choice-based feedback with dynamic assortments. In this problem, a company sequentially displays a set of items to a population of customers and collects their choices as feedback.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-03 Junwen Yang , Yifan Feng

We address the computational efficiency in solving the A-optimal Bayesian design of experiments problems for which the observational map is based on partial differential equations and, consequently, is computationally expensive to evaluate.…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-08-14 Vinh Hoang , Luis Espath , Sebastian Krumscheid , Raúl Tempone

Efficiently solving the continuous-time signal and discrete-time observation filtering problem for chaotic dynamical systems presents unique challenges in that the advected distribution between observations may encounter a separatrix…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2025-04-07 Ryne Beeson , Uwe Hanebeck

Bayesian filtering approximates the true underlying behavior of a time-varying system by inverting an explicit generative model to convert noisy measurements into state estimates. This process typically requires either storage, inversion,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-20 Gianluca M. Bencomo , Jake C. Snell , Thomas L. Griffiths

The iterated posterior linearization filter (IPLF) is an algorithm for Bayesian state estimation that performs the measurement update using iterative statistical regression. The main result behind IPLF is that the posterior approximation is…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-02-19 Matti Raitoharju , Lennart Svensson , Ángel F. García-Fernández , Robert Piché

We present variational sequential optimal experimental design (vsOED), a novel method for optimally designing a finite sequence of experiments within a Bayesian framework with information-theoretic criteria. vsOED employs a one-point reward…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-08 Wanggang Shen , Jiayuan Dong , Xun Huan

Bayesian experimental design (BED) has been used as a method for conducting efficient experiments based on Bayesian inference. The existing methods, however, mostly focus on maximizing the expected information gain (EIG); the cost of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-16 Hikaru Asano

In real-world Bayesian inference applications, prior assumptions regarding the parameters of interest may be unrepresentative of their actual values for a given dataset. In particular, if the likelihood is concentrated far out in the wings…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-11-01 Xi Chen , Mike Hobson , Saptarshi Das , Paul Gelderblom

We consider the problem of estimating a variable number of parameters with a dynamic nature. A familiar example is finding the position of moving targets using sensor array observations. The problem is challenging in cases where either the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-04-03 Ashkan Panahi , Mats Viberg

Particle filtering is a numerical Bayesian technique that has great potential for solving sequential estimation problems involving non-linear and non-Gaussian models. Since the estimation accuracy achieved by particle filters improves as…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-11-22 Jeyarajan Thiyagalingam , Lykourgos Kekempanos , Simon Maskell

We consider optimal experimental design (OED) for nonlinear inverse problems within the Bayesian framework. Optimizing the data acquisition process for large-scale nonlinear Bayesian inverse problems is a computationally challenging task…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-05-14 Karina Koval , Ruanui Nicholson

Terahertz communication networks and intelligent reflecting surfaces exhibit significant potential in advancing wireless networks, particularly within the domain of aerial-based multi-access edge computing systems. These technologies enable…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2024-09-20 Jianqiu Wu , Zhongyi Yu , Jianxiong Guo , Zhiqing Tang , Tian Wang , Weijia Jia

Optimal experimental design (OED) plays an important role in the problem of identifying uncertainty with limited experimental data. In many applications, we seek to minimize the uncertainty of a predicted quantity of interest (QoI) based on…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-01-06 Keyi Wu , Peng Chen , Omar Ghattas

We present a model for exact recursive Bayesian filtering based on lifted multiset states. Combining multisets with lifting makes it possible to simultaneously exploit multiple strategies for reducing inference complexity when compared to…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2018-05-08 Stefan Lüdtke , Max Schröder , Sebastian Bader , Kristian Kersting , Thomas Kirste

Bayesian Optimization aims at optimizing an unknown non-convex/concave function that is costly to evaluate. We are interested in application scenarios where concurrent function evaluations are possible. Under such a setting, BO could choose…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2012-05-02 Javad Azimi , Ali Jalali , Xiaoli Fern

Conventional Bayesian optimal experimental design seeks to maximize the expected information gain (EIG) on model parameters. However, the end goal of the experiment often is not to learn the model parameters, but to predict downstream…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-08-20 Atlanta Chakraborty , Xun Huan , Tommie Catanach

By approximating posterior distributions with weighted samples, particle filters (PFs) provide an efficient mechanism for solving non-linear sequential state estimation problems. While the effectiveness of particle filters has been…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-15 Xiongjie Chen , Yunpeng Li