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Precise estimation of uncertainty in predictions for AI systems is a critical factor in ensuring trust and safety. Deep neural networks trained with a conventional method are prone to over-confident predictions. In contrast to Bayesian…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-05 Theodoros Tsiligkaridis

Seizure prediction has attracted a growing attention as one of the most challenging predictive data analysis efforts in order to improve the life of patients living with drug-resistant epilepsy and tonic seizures. Many outstanding works…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2017-12-07 Nhan Duy Truong , Anh Duy Nguyen , Levin Kuhlmann , Mohammad Reza Bonyadi , Jiawei Yang , Omid Kavehei

Performative prediction is a framework for learning models that influence the data they intend to predict. We focus on finding classifiers that are performatively stable, i.e. optimal for the data distribution they induce. Standard…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-07 Mehrnaz Mofakhami , Ioannis Mitliagkas , Gauthier Gidel

Ensemble weather forecasts enable a measure of uncertainty to be attached to each forecast, by computing the ensemble's spread. However, generating an ensemble with a good spread-error relationship is far from trivial, and a wide range of…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2021-01-05 Sebastian Scher , Gabriele Messori

Accurate quantification of model uncertainty has long been recognized as a fundamental requirement for trusted AI. In regression tasks, uncertainty is typically quantified using prediction intervals calibrated to a specific operating point,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-03 Jiri Navratil , Benjamin Elder , Matthew Arnold , Soumya Ghosh , Prasanna Sattigeri

Accurate and trustworthy epidemic forecasting is an important problem that has impact on public health planning and disease mitigation. Most existing epidemic forecasting models disregard uncertainty quantification, resulting in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-16 Harshavardhan Kamarthi , Lingkai Kong , Alexander Rodríguez , Chao Zhang , B. Aditya Prakash

In this paper, we propose a Network-Weighted Functional Regression (NWFR) model, an extension of Spatially Weighted Functional Regression (SWFR) to functional data defined on network-structured settings. To asses predictive uncertainity, we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-02 Elvira Romano , Antonio Irpino , Claire Miller

Neural networks have proven successful at learning from complex data distributions by acting as universal function approximators. However, they are often overconfident in their predictions, which leads to inaccurate and miscalibrated…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-23 Jeffrey Willette , Juho Lee , Sung Ju Hwang

The firing dynamics of biological neurons in mathematical models is often determined by the model's parameters, representing the neurons' underlying properties. The parameter estimation problem seeks to recover those parameters of a single…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2022-10-05 Long Le , Yao Li

Deep Ensembles, as a type of Bayesian Neural Networks, can be used to estimate uncertainty on the prediction of multiple neural networks by collecting votes from each network and computing the difference in those predictions. In this paper,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-10 Illia Oleksiienko , Alexandros Iosifidis

The lack of standardization in seizure forecasting slows progress in the field and limits the clinical translation of forecasting models. In this work, we introduce a Python-based framework aimed at streamlining the development, assessment,…

The increasing need for robustness, reliability, and determinism in wireless networks for industrial and mission-critical applications is the driver for the growth of new innovative methods. The study presented in this work makes use of…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2025-12-04 Gabriele Formis , Amanda Ericson , Stefan Forsstrom , Kyi Thar , Gianluca Cena , Stefano Scanzio

Software effort estimation is a critical part of software engineering. Although many techniques and algorithmic models have been developed and implemented by practitioners, accurate software effort prediction is still a challenging…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2015-08-04 Wei Lin Du , Danny Ho , Luiz Fernando Capretz

We propose a novel neural sequence prediction method based on \textit{error-correcting output codes} that avoids exact softmax normalization and allows for a tradeoff between speed and performance. Instead of minimizing measures between the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-09-06 James O' Neill , Danushka Bollegala

In the semantic segmentation of street scenes with neural networks, the reliability of predictions is of highest interest. The assessment of neural networks by means of uncertainties is a common ansatz to prevent safety issues. As in…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-01-13 Kira Maag , Matthias Rottmann , Hanno Gottschalk

The neural process (NP) is a family of computationally efficient models for learning distributions over functions. However, it suffers from under-fitting and shows suboptimal performance in practice. Researchers have primarily focused on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-08 Qi Wang , Marco Federici , Herke van Hoof

Early-exit neural networks (EENNs) enable adaptive and efficient inference by providing predictions at multiple stages during the forward pass. In safety-critical applications, these predictions are meaningful only when accompanied by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-04 Metod Jazbec , Patrick Forré , Stephan Mandt , Dan Zhang , Eric Nalisnick

Neuro-encoded expression programming(NEEP) that aims to offer a novel continuous representation of combinatorial encoding for genetic programming methods is proposed in this paper. Genetic programming with linear representation uses…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2021-04-12 Aftab Anjum , Fengyang Sun , Lin Wang , Jeff Orchard

The energy-efficient and brain-like information processing abilities of Spiking Neural Networks (SNNs) have attracted considerable attention, establishing them as a crucial element of brain-inspired computing. One prevalent challenge…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2025-10-27 Zhichao Zhu , Yang Qi , Wenlian Lu , Zhigang Wang , Lu Cao , Jianfeng Feng

Although neural networks (especially deep neural networks) have achieved \textit{better-than-human} performance in many fields, their real-world deployment is still questionable due to the lack of awareness about the limitation in their…