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Multivariate time series forecasting with hierarchical structure is widely used in real-world applications, e.g., sales predictions for the geographical hierarchy formed by cities, states, and countries. The hierarchical time series (HTS)…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-10 Fan Zhou , Chen Pan , Lintao Ma , Yu Liu , Shiyu Wang , James Zhang , Xinxin Zhu , Xuanwei Hu , Yunhua Hu , Yangfei Zheng , Lei Lei , Yun Hu

Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS), most famously used in game-play artificial intelligence (e.g., the game of Go), is a well-known strategy for constructing approximate solutions to sequential decision problems. Its primary innovation is the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-04-21 Daniel R. Jiang , Lina Al-Kanj , Warren B. Powell

Inference-time scaling strategies, particularly Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS), have significantly enhanced the reasoning capabilities of Large Language Models (LLMs). However, current approaches remain predominantly stateless, discarding…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-02-05 Hao Lu , Haoyuan Huang , Yulin Zhou , Chen Li , Ningxin Zhu

One of the most important AI research questions is to trade off computation versus performance since ``perfect rationality" exists in theory but is impossible to achieve in practice. Recently, Monte-Carlo tree search (MCTS) has attracted…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-10-25 Weirui Ye , Pieter Abbeel , Yang Gao

Accurate estimation of output quantiles is crucial in many use cases, where it is desired to model the range of possibility. Modeling target distribution at arbitrary quantile levels and at arbitrary input attribute levels are important to…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-01-13 Ruoxi Sun , Chun-Liang Li , Sercan O. Arik , Michael W. Dusenberry , Chen-Yu Lee , Tomas Pfister

Learning symbolic turbulence models from indirect observation data is of significant interest as it not only improves the accuracy of posterior prediction but also provides explicit model formulations with good interpretability. However, it…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2025-05-12 Chutian Wu , Xin-Lei Zhang , Duo Xu , Guowei He

Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) based methods provide promising approaches for generating synthetic data to enhance the self-training of Large Language Model (LLM) based multi-agent systems (MAS). These methods leverage Q-values to estimate…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-04-27 Wentao Shi , Zichun Yu , Fuli Feng , Xiangnan He , Chenyan Xiong

We study signal processing tasks in which the signal is mapped via some generalized time-frequency transform to a higher dimensional time-frequency space, processed there, and synthesized to an output signal. We show how to approximate such…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-09-07 Ron Levie , Haim Avron , Gitta Kutyniok

We demonstrate the efficacy of symbolic regression (SR) to probe models of particle physics Beyond the Standard Model (BSM), by considering the so-called Constrained Minimal Supersymmetric Standard Model (CMSSM). Like many incarnations of…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2025-10-24 Shehu AbdusSalam , Steven Abel , Deaglan Bartlett , Miguel Crispim Romão

Large language models have achieved remarkable success in time series prediction tasks, but their substantial computational and memory requirements limit deployment on lightweight platforms. In this paper, we propose the Symbolic Transition…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-03 Namkyung Yoon , Hwangnam Kim

Time series analysis remains a major challenge due to its sparse characteristics, high dimensionality, and inconsistent data quality. Recent advancements in transformer-based techniques have enhanced capabilities in forecasting and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-29 Robert Leppich , Vanessa Borst , Veronika Lesch , Samuel Kounev

As power systems evolve with the increasing integration of renewable energy sources and smart grid technologies, there is a growing demand for flexible and scalable modeling approaches capable of capturing the complex dynamics of modern…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-04-08 Amir Bahador Javadi , Philip Pong

Large Language Models (LLMs) are transformer-based machine learning models that have shown remarkable performance in tasks for which they were not explicitly trained. Here, we explore the potential of LLMs to perform symbolic regression --…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-04-17 Samiha Sharlin , Tyler R. Josephson

Time series are used in many domains including finance, engineering, economics and bioinformatics generally to represent the change of a measurement over time. Modeling techniques may then be used to give a synthetic representation of such…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-12-30 Faicel Chamroukhi , Allou Samé , Gérard Govaert , Patrice Aknin

Standard approaches for global optimization of non-convex functions, such as branch-and-bound, maintain partition trees to systematically prune the domain. The tree size grows exponentially in the number of dimensions. We propose new…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-02-21 Yaoguang Zhai , Zhizhen Qin , Sicun Gao

This work contributes to the development of neural forecasting models with novel randomization-based learning methods. These methods improve the fitting abilities of the neural model, in comparison to the standard method, by generating…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-06 Grzegorz Dudek

Time series data appears in a variety of applications such as smart transportation and environmental monitoring. One of the fundamental problems for time series analysis is time series forecasting. Despite the success of recent deep time…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-09-28 Baoyu Jing , Si Zhang , Yada Zhu , Bin Peng , Kaiyu Guan , Andrew Margenot , Hanghang Tong

Discovering governing equations of complex network dynamics is a fundamental challenge in contemporary science with rich data, which can uncover the mysterious patterns and mechanisms of the formation and evolution of complex phenomena in…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-11-12 Jiao Hu , Jiaxu Cui , Bo Yang

Recent advances in lightweight time series forecasting models suggest the inherent simplicity of time series forecasting tasks. In this paper, we present CMoS, a super-lightweight time series forecasting model. Instead of learning the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-27 Haotian Si , Changhua Pei , Jianhui Li , Dan Pei , Gaogang Xie

Many recent studies focus on developing mechanisms to explain the black-box behaviors of neural networks (NNs). However, little work has been done to extract the potential hidden semantics (mathematical representation) of a neural network.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-25 Yuanzhen Luo , Qiang Lu , Xilei Hu , Jake Luo , Zhiguang Wang