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Observational cohort data is an important source of information for understanding the causal effects of treatments on survival and the degree to which these effects are mediated through changes in disease-related risk factors. However,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-20 Saurabh Bhandari , Michael J. Daniels , Juned Siddique

This paper considers robust modeling of the survival time for cancer patients. Accurate prediction can be helpful for developing therapeutic and care strategies. We propose a unified Expectation-Maximization approach combined with the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-12-23 Yi Li , Muxuan Liang , Lu Mao , Sijian Wang

Background: Stepped wedge cluster randomized trials (SW-CRTs) involve sequential measurements within clusters over time. Initially, all clusters start in the control condition before crossing over to the intervention on a staggered…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-21 Jale Basten , Katja Ickstadt , Nina Timmesfeld

Prediction of mortality in intensive care unit (ICU) patients typically relies on black box models (that are unacceptable for use in hospitals) or hand-tuned interpretable models (that might lead to the loss in performance). We aim to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-09 Chloe Qinyu Zhu , Muhang Tian , Lesia Semenova , Jiachang Liu , Jack Xu , Joseph Scarpa , Cynthia Rudin

Joint modelling of longitudinal and time-to-event data is usually described by a joint model which uses shared or correlated latent effects to capture associations between the two processes. Under this framework, the joint distribution of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-07 Zili Zhang , Christiana Charalambous , Peter Foster

The joint modeling of longitudinal and time-to-event outcomes has become a popular tool in follow-up studies. However, fitting Bayesian joint models to large datasets, such as patient registries, can require extended computing times. To…

Spatial whole-brain Bayesian modeling of task-related functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) is a great computational challenge. Most of the currently proposed methods therefore do inference in subregions of the brain separately or do…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-01-03 Per Sidén , Anders Eklund , David Bolin , Mattias Villani

We introduce a Bayesian approach for multivariate spatio-temporal prediction for high-dimensional count-valued data. Our primary interest is when there are possibly millions of data points referenced over different variables, geographic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-12-24 Jonathan R. Bradley , Scott H. Holan , Christopher K. Wikle

This paper introduces and develops a theoretical extension of the widely applicable information criterion (WAIC), called the Covariance-Corrected WAIC (CC-WAIC), that applied for Bayesian sequential data models. The CC-WAIC accounts for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-23 Safaa K. Kadhem

In the gravitational-wave analysis of pulsar-timing-array datasets, parameter estimation is usually performed using Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods to explore posterior probability densities. We introduce an alternative procedure that…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2024-05-16 Michele Vallisneri , Marco Crisostomi , Aaron D. Johnson , Patrick M. Meyers

Gaussian and discrete non-Gaussian spatial datasets are common across fields like public health, ecology, geosciences, and social sciences. Bayesian spatial generalized linear mixed models (SGLMMs) are a flexible class of models for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-27 Jin Hyung Lee , Ben Seiyon Lee

Variable selection is a classic problem in statistics. In this paper, we consider a Bayes variable selection problem based on spike-and-slab prior with mixed normal distribution proposed by Ro\v{c}kov\'a and George (2014). Motivated by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-08 Lin Guoqiang

Early identification of intensive care patients at risk of in-hospital mortality enables timely intervention and efficient resource allocation. Despite high predictive performance, existing machine learning approaches lack transparency and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-21 Alexander Bakumenko , Janine Hoelscher , Hudson Smith

We develop a Coordinate Ascent Variational Inference (CAVI) algorithm for Bayesian Mixed Data Sampling (MIDAS) regression with linear weight parameterizations. The model separates impact coeffcients from weighting function parameters…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-24 Luigi Simeone

We report the development and validation of a data-driven real-time risk score that provides timely assessments for the clinical acuity of ward patients based on their temporal lab tests and vital signs, which allows for timely intensive…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-05-23 Ahmed M. Alaa , Jinsung Yoon , Scott Hu , Mihaela van der Schaar

This manuscript is concerned with relating two approaches that can be used to explore complex dependence structures between categorical variables, namely Bayesian partitioning of the covariate space incorporating a variable selection…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-01-06 Michail Papathomas , Sylvia Richardson

This paper describes an approach to simultaneously identify clusters and estimate cluster-specific regression parameters from the given data. Such an approach can be useful in learning the relationship between input and output when the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-01-02 Udai Nagpal , Krishan Nagpal

The quantile varying coefficient (VC) model can flexibly capture dynamical patterns of regression coefficients. In addition, due to the quantile check loss function, it is robust against outliers and heavy-tailed distributions of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-11 Fei Zhou , Jie Ren , Shuangge Ma , Cen Wu

This paper studies the problem of globally optimizing a variable of interest that is part of a causal model in which a sequence of interventions can be performed. This problem arises in biology, operational research, communications and,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-05-27 Virginia Aglietti , Xiaoyu Lu , Andrei Paleyes , Javier González

Bayesian analyses combine information represented by different terms in a joint Bayesian model. When one or more of the terms is misspecified, it can be helpful to restrict the use of information from suspect model components to modify…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-27 Xuejun Yu , David J. Nott , Michael Stanley Smith