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Due to their cost, experiments for inertial confinement fusion (ICF) heavily rely on numerical simulations to guide design. As simulation technology progresses, so too can the fidelity of models used to plan for new experiments. However,…

等离子体物理 · 物理学 2024-06-11 J. Wang , N. Chiang , A. Gillette , J. L. Peterson

A vital stage in the mathematical modelling of real-world systems is to calibrate a model's parameters to observed data. Likelihood-free parameter inference methods, such as Approximate Bayesian Computation, build Monte Carlo samples of the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-12-23 Thomas P Prescott , Ruth E Baker

The performance of machine learning surrogates is critically dependent on data quality and quantity. This presents a major challenge, as high-fidelity (HF) data is often scarce and computationally expensive to acquire, while low-fidelity…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-03 Jice Zeng , David Barajas-Solano , Hui Chen

Many problems in science and engineering require making predictions based on few observations. To build a robust predictive model, these sparse data may need to be augmented with simulated data, especially when the design space is…

For many systems in science and engineering, the governing differential equation is either not known or known in an approximate sense. Analyses and design of such systems are governed by data collected from the field and/or laboratory…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-03 Souvik Chakraborty

Fast machine learning-based surrogate models are trained to emulate slow, high-fidelity engineering simulation models to accelerate engineering design tasks. This introduces uncertainty as the surrogate is only an approximation of the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-08 Paul Westermann , Ralph Evins

Data-driven prediction of fluid flow and temperature distribution in marine and aerospace engineering has received extensive research and demonstrated its potential in real-time prediction recently. However, usually large amounts of…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2023-08-02 Yanfang Lyu , Xiaoyu Zhao , Zhiqiang Gong , Xiao Kang , Wen Yao

Bayesian network structure learning algorithms with limited data are being used in domains such as systems biology and neuroscience to gain insight into the underlying processes that produce observed data. Learning reliable networks from…

机器学习 · 统计学 2013-07-10 Diane Oyen , Terran Lane

Multi-fidelity (MF) regression often operates in regimes of extreme data imbalance, where the commonly-used Gaussian-process (GP) surrogates struggle with cubic scaling costs and overfit to sparse high-fidelity observations, limiting…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-02 Rosen Ting-Ying Yu , Nicholas Sung , Faez Ahmed

Various frameworks have been proposed to predict mechanical system responses by combining data from different fidelities for design optimization and uncertainty quantification as reviewed by Fern\'andez-Godino et al. and Peherstorfer et…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2017-05-09 Yiming Zhang , Nam-Ho Kim , Chanyoung Park , Raphael T. Haftka

Emulating high-accuracy computationally expensive models is crucial for tasks requiring numerous model evaluations, such as uncertainty quantification and optimization. When lower-fidelity models are available, they can be used to improve…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-30 Katerina Giannoukou , Stefano Marelli , Bruno Sudret

Data assimilation presents computational challenges because many high-fidelity models must be simulated. Various deep-learning-based surrogate modeling techniques have been developed to reduce the simulation costs associated with these…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-28 Su Jiang , Louis J. Durlofsky

Supervised machine learning describes the practice of fitting a parameterized model to labeled input-output data. Supervised machine learning methods have demonstrated promise in learning efficient surrogate models that can (partially)…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-24 Atticus Rex , Elizabeth Qian , David Peterson

This paper deals with surrogate modelling of a computer code output in a hierarchical multi-fidelity context, i.e., when the output can be evaluated at different levels of accuracy and computational cost. Using observations of the output at…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-12-06 Baptiste Kerleguer , Claire Cannamela , Josselin Garnier

Trustworthy machine learning aims at combating distributional uncertainties in training data distributions compared to population distributions. Typical treatment frameworks include the Bayesian approach, (min-max) distributionally robust…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-05 Shixiong Wang , Haowei Wang , Xinke Li , Jean Honorio

Cellular metamaterials offer a vast design space for tailoring nonlinear mechanical responses, yet exploring this space with conventional modeling approaches is often infeasible or not scalable. To fully exploit their nonlinear behavior for…

应用物理 · 物理学 2026-02-17 Pu You , Hongshun Chen , Bahador Bahmani , Horacio D. Espinosa

Bayesian inference allows machine learning models to express uncertainty. Current machine learning models use only a single learnable parameter combination when making predictions, and as a result are highly overconfident when their…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-23 Andrew Wood , Moshik Hershcovitch , Daniel Waddington , Sarel Cohen , Peter Chin

We introduce a new Bayesian multi-class support vector machine by formulating a pseudo-likelihood for a multi-class hinge loss in the form of a location-scale mixture of Gaussians. We derive a variational-inference-based training objective…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-06-08 Martin Wistuba , Ambrish Rawat

Inertial confinement fusion (ICF) experiments are designed using computer simulations that are approximations of reality, and therefore must be calibrated to accurately predict experimental observations. In this work, we propose a novel…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-12-17 K. D. Humbird , J. L. Peterson , R. G. McClarren

We propose an interdisciplinary framework that combines Bayesian predictive inference, a well-established tool in Machine Learning, with Formal Methods rooted in the computer science community. Bayesian predictive inference allows for…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-08-21 Laura Vana , Ennio Visconti , Laura Nenzi , Annalisa Cadonna , Gregor Kastner