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While recent advancements in foundation models have significantly impacted machine learning, rigorous tests on the performance of time series foundation models (TSFMs) remain largely underexplored. This paper presents an empirical study…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-09 Syamantak Datta Gupta

Time series forecasting has always been a thought-provoking topic in the field of machine learning. Machine learning scientists define a time series as a set of observations recorded over consistent time steps. And, time series forecasting…

量子物理 · 物理学 2022-07-19 Payal Kaushik , Sayantan Pramanik , M Girish Chandra , C V Sridhar

Time series data analysis is a critical component in various domains such as finance, healthcare, and meteorology. Despite the progress in deep learning for time series analysis, there remains a challenge in addressing the non-stationary…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-12 Han Yu , Peikun Guo , Akane Sano

While deep learning has achieved impressive performance in time series forecasting, it becomes increasingly crucial to understand its decision-making process for building trust in high-stakes scenarios. Existing interpretable models often…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-02 Ziheng Peng , Shijie Ren , Xinyue Gu , Linxiao Yang , Xiting Wang , Liang Sun

Time series methods are of fundamental importance in virtually any field of science that deals with temporally structured data. Recently, there has been a surge of deterministic transformer models with time series-specific architectural…

Time series foundation models (TSFMs) have become increasingly popular for zero-shot forecasting. However, for a new time series domain not fully covered by the pretraining set, performance can suffer. Therefore, when a practitioner cares…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-04 Thomas L. Lee , Edoardo M. Ponti , Amos Storkey

Wide-field and high-cadence sky surveys are the first step in the chain of discovery and characterisation of astrophysical transients such as supernovae, kilonovae, and tidal disruption events, each linked to the varied demise of stellar…

The proliferation of Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) has significantly advanced zero-shot forecasting, enabling predictions for unseen time series without task-specific fine-tuning. Extensive research has confirmed that no single TSFM…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-26 Hao-Nan Shi , Ting-Ji Huang , Lu Han , De-Chuan Zhan , Han-Jia Ye

Task-Oriented Dialogue (TOD) systems are designed to carry out specific tasks by tracking dialogue states and generating appropriate responses to help users achieve defined goals. Recently, end-to-end dialogue models pre-trained based on…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-06-01 Namo Bang , Jeehyun Lee , Myoung-Wan Koo

Recent progress in self-supervision shows that pre-training large neural networks on vast amounts of unsupervised data can lead to impressive increases in generalisation for downstream tasks. Such models, recently coined as foundation…

Time-series forecasting has been an important research domain for so many years. Its applications include ECG predictions, sales forecasting, weather conditions, even COVID-19 spread predictions. These applications have motivated many…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-15 Shruti Jadon , Jan Kanty Milczek , Ajit Patankar

In this paper, we propose ShapTST, a framework that enables time-series transformers to efficiently generate Shapley-value-based explanations alongside predictions in a single forward pass. Shapley values are widely used to evaluate the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-28 Qisen Cheng , Jinming Xing , Chang Xue , Xiaoran Yang

Transformer-based foundation models have emerged as a dominant paradigm in time series analysis, offering unprecedented capabilities in tasks such as forecasting, anomaly detection, classification, trend analysis and many more time series…

This paper proposes an improved deep learning based maximum power point tracking (MPPT) in solar photovoltaic cells considering various time series based environmental inputs. Generally, artificial neural network based MPPT algorithms use…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-09-26 Palaash Agrawal , Hari Om Bansal , Aditya R. Gautam , Om Prakash Mahela , Baseem Khan

Time-series forecasts are essential for planning and decision-making in many domains. Explainability is key to building user trust and meeting transparency requirements. Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) is a popular explainable AI…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-24 Matthias Hertel , Sebastian Pütz , Ralf Mikut , Veit Hagenmeyer , Benjamin Schäfer

We demonstrate Castor, a cloud-based system for contextual IoT time series data and model management at scale. Castor is designed to assist Data Scientists in (a) exploring and retrieving all relevant time series and contextual information…

Recent innovations in diffusion probabilistic models have paved the way for significant progress in image, text and audio generation, leading to their applications in generative time series forecasting. However, leveraging such abilities to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-07 Yuansan Liu , Sudanthi Wijewickrema , Dongting Hu , Christofer Bester , Stephen O'Leary , James Bailey

Transformer-based architectures dominate time series modeling by enabling global attention over all timestamps, yet their rigid 'one-size-fits-all' context aggregation fails to address two critical challenges in real-world data: (1)…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-30 Xiaowen Ma , Shuning Ge , Fan Yang , Xiangyu Li , Yun Chen , Mengting Ma , Wei Zhang , Zhipeng Liu

Modern time series forecasting methods, such as Transformer and its variants, have shown strong ability in sequential data modeling. To achieve high performance, they usually rely on redundant or unexplainable structures to model complex…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-30 Jingyi Hou , Zhen Dong , Jiayu Zhou , Zhijie Liu

While existing time series foundation models primarily rely on large-scale unimodal pretraining, they lack complementary modalities to enhance time series understanding. Building multimodal foundation models is a natural next step, but it…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-06 Peng Chen , Siyuan Wang , Shiyan Hu , Xingjian Wu , Yang Shu , Zhongwen Rao , Meng Wang , Yijie Li , Bin Yang , Chenjuan Guo