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In this work, we studied the characteristics and dynamical changes during the recovery time of moderate and strong geomagnetic storms (Dst $<-50$ nT). Investigating 57 storms triggered by CMEs/CIRs, we focused on the solar wind's influence…

空间物理 · 物理学 2024-07-03 O. Ahmed , B. Badruddin , M. Derouich

In this paper we discuss and address the challenges of predicting extreme atmospheric events like intense rainfall, hail, and strong winds. These events can cause significant damage and have become more frequent due to climate change.…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-10-06 Mikhail Mozikov , Ilya Makarov , Alexandr Bulkin , Daria Taniushkina , Roland Grinis , Yury Maximov

Accurate energy time-series forecasting is crucial for ensuring grid stability and promoting the integration of renewable energy, yet it faces significant challenges from complex temporal dependencies and the heterogeneity of multi-source…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-13 Mingnan Zhu , Qixuan Zhang , Yixuan Cheng , Fangzhou Gu , Shiming Lin

Machine learning models (e.g., neural networks) achieve high accuracy in wind power forecasting, but they are usually regarded as black boxes that lack interpretability. To address this issue, the paper proposes a glass-box approach that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-27 Wenlong Liao , Fernando Porte-Agel , Jiannong Fang , Birgitte Bak-Jensen , Guangchun Ruan , Zhe Yang

Geometric deep learning has gained tremendous attention in both academia and industry due to its inherent capability of representing arbitrary structures. Due to exponential increase in interest towards renewable sources of energy,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-05 Neetesh Rathore , Pradeep Rathore , Arghya Basak , Sri Harsha Nistala , Venkataramana Runkana

An accurate solar wind speed model is important for space weather predictions, catastrophic event warnings, and other issues concerning solar wind - magnetosphere interaction. In this work, we construct a model based on convolutional neural…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2023-04-05 Rong Lin , Zhekai Luo , Jiansen He , Lun Xie , Chuanpeng Hou , Shuwei Chen

Intelligent transportation systems (ITS) still have a hard time accurately predicting traffic in cities, especially in big, multimodal settings with complicated spatiotemporal dynamics. This paper presents HybridST, a hybrid architecture…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-11-05 Ismail Zrigui , Samira Khoulji , Mohamed Larbi Kerkeb

The time-varying geomagnetic field is a superposition of contributions from multiple internal and external current systems. A major source of geomagnetic variations at periods less than a few years are current systems external to the solid…

空间物理 · 物理学 2025-03-11 Jingtao Min , Alexander Grayver

Reliably identifying and understanding temporal precursors to extreme wind gusts is crucial for early warning and mitigation. This study proposes a simple data-driven approach to extract key predictors from a dataset of historical extreme…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-01-14 Frederick Iat-Hin Tam , Fabien Augsburger , Tom Beucler

The problem of high-quality drought forecasting up to a year in advance is critical for agriculture planning and insurance. Yet, it is still unsolved with reasonable accuracy due to data complexity and aridity stochasticity. We tackle…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-15 Alexander Marusov , Vsevolod Grabar , Yury Maximov , Nazar Sotiriadi , Alexander Bulkin , Alexey Zaytsev

The energy output a photo voltaic(PV) panel is a function of solar irradiation and weather parameters like temperature and wind speed etc. A general measure for solar irradiation called Global Horizontal Irradiance (GHI), customarily…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-05-01 Bhaskar Pratim Mukhoty , Vikas Maurya , Sandeep Kumar Shukla

The emergence of data-driven weather forecast models provides great promise for producing faster, computationally cheaper weather forecasts, compared to physics-based numerical models. However, while the performance of artificial…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-11-04 Hilla Afargan-Gerstman , Rachel W. -Y. Wu , Alice Ferrini , Daniela I. V. Domeisen

Wind energy significantly contributes to the global shift towards renewable energy, yet operational challenges, such as Leading-Edge Erosion on wind turbine blades, notably reduce energy output. This study introduces an advanced, scalable…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-06-17 Emil Marcus Buchberg , Kent Vugs Nielsen

Drought is one of the most destructive and expensive natural disasters, severely impacting natural resources and risks by depleting water resources and diminishing agricultural yields. Under climate change, accurately predicting drought is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-20 Xuwei Tan , Qian Zhao , Yanlan Liu , Xueru Zhang

Technical analysis is considered the oldest, currently omnipresent, method for financial markets analysis, which uses past prices aiming at the possible short-term forecast of future prices. In the frame of complex systems, methods used to…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2021-06-02 Stelios M. Potirakis , Pavlos I. Zitis , Georgios Balasis , Konstantinos Eftaxias

Solar power harbors immense potential in mitigating climate change by substantially reducing CO$_{2}$ emissions. Nonetheless, the inherent variability of solar irradiance poses a significant challenge for seamlessly integrating solar power…

Data-driven models have advanced deterministic ocean forecasting, but extending machine learning to probabilistic global ocean prediction remains an open challenge. Here we introduce FuXi-ONS, the first machine-learning ensemble forecasting…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-03-23 Qiusheng Huang , Xiaohui Zhong , Anboyu Guo , Ziyi Peng , Lei Chen , Hao Li

The use of satellite imagery has become increasingly popular for disaster monitoring and response. After a disaster, it is important to prioritize rescue operations, disaster response and coordinate relief efforts. These have to be carried…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2018-12-19 Jigar Doshi , Saikat Basu , Guan Pang

FourCastNet 3 advances global weather modeling by implementing a scalable, geometric machine learning (ML) approach to probabilistic ensemble forecasting. The approach is designed to respect spherical geometry and to accurately model the…

Multivariate time series classification is increasingly investigated in space weather research as a means to predict intense solar flare events, which can cause widespread disruptions across modern technological systems. Magnetic field…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-18 Onur Vural , Shah Muhammad Hamdi , Soukaina Filali Boubrahimi