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Estimating and quantifying uncertainty in unknown system parameters from limited data remains a challenging inverse problem in a variety of real-world applications. While many approaches focus on estimating constant parameters, a subset of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-09 Andrea Arnold

This paper introduces temporal-conditioned normalizing flows (tcNF), a novel framework that addresses anomaly detection in time series data with accurate modeling of temporal dependencies and uncertainty. By conditioning normalizing flows…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-11 David Baumgartner , Helge Langseth , Kenth Engø-Monsen , Heri Ramampiaro

Time series analysis is used to understand and predict dynamic processes, including evolving demands in business, weather, markets, and biological rhythms. Exponential smoothing is used in all these domains to obtain simple interpretable…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-10-02 Avner Abrami , Aleksandr Y. Aravkin , Younghun Kim

Latent or unobserved phenomena pose a significant difficulty in data analysis as they induce complicated and confounding dependencies among a collection of observed variables. Factor analysis is a prominent multivariate statistical modeling…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-22 Armeen Taeb , Venkat Chandrasekaran

Regular medical records are useful for medical practitioners to analyze and monitor patient health status especially for those with chronic disease, but such records are usually incomplete due to unpunctuality and absence of patients. In…

Learning behavioral patterns from observational data has been a de-facto approach to motion forecasting. Yet, the current paradigm suffers from two shortcomings: brittle under distribution shifts and inefficient for knowledge transfer. In…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-06 Yuejiang Liu , Riccardo Cadei , Jonas Schweizer , Sherwin Bahmani , Alexandre Alahi

Time series of graphs are increasingly prevalent in modern data and pose unique challenges to visual exploration and pattern extraction. This paper describes the development and application of matrix factorizations for exploration and…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2015-06-16 Shawn Mankad , George Michailidis

Temporal graphs represent graph evolution over time, and have been receiving considerable research attention. Work on expressing temporal graph patterns or discovering temporal motifs typically assumes relatively simple temporal…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2022-05-31 Amir Pouya Aghasadeghi , Jan Van den Bussche , Julia Stoyanovich

Anomaly detection in spatiotemporal data is a challenging problem encountered in a variety of applications including hyperspectral imaging, video surveillance, and urban traffic monitoring. Existing anomaly detection methods are most suited…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-27 Seyyid Emre Sofuoglu , Selin Aviyente

Detecting and analyzing complex patterns in multivariate time-series data is crucial for decision-making in urban and environmental system operations. However, challenges arise from the high dimensionality, intricate complexity, and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-25 Haowen Xu , Ali Boyaci , Jianming Lian , Aaron Wilson

Real-time analysis of graphs containing temporal information, such as social media streams, Q&A networks, and cyber data sources, plays an important role in various applications. Among them, detecting patterns is one of the fundamental…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2023-12-19 Seunghwan Min , Jihoon Jang , Kunsoo Park , Dora Giammarresi , Giuseppe F. Italiano , Wook-Shin Han

Detecting transient light curves (e.g., transiting planets) requires high precision data, and thus it is important to effectively filter systematic trends affecting ground based wide field surveys. We apply an implementation of the Trend…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2016-06-29 Giri Gopalan , Peter Plavchan , Julian van Eyken , David Ciardi , Kaspar von Braun , Stephen R. Kane

Change detection process has recently progressed from a post-classification method to an expert knowledge interpretation process of the time-series data. The technique finds applications mainly in remote sensing images and can be utilized…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2018-03-26 S Saritha , G Santhosh Kumar

Dynamic factor models are often estimated by point-estimation methods, disregarding parameter uncertainty. We propose a method accounting for parameter uncertainty by means of posterior approximation, using variational inference. Our…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-14 Erik Spånberg

Modern time series forecasting methods, such as Transformer and its variants, have shown strong ability in sequential data modeling. To achieve high performance, they usually rely on redundant or unexplainable structures to model complex…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-30 Jingyi Hou , Zhen Dong , Jiayu Zhou , Zhijie Liu

In this paper we present a novel algorithm and efficient data structure for anomaly detection based on temporal data. Time-series data are represented by a sequence of symbolic time intervals, describing increasing and decreasing trends, in…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2019-11-05 Roni Mateless , Michael Segal , Robert Moskovitch

Temporal networks are ubiquitous and evolve over time by the addition, deletion, and changing of links, nodes, and attributes. Although many relational datasets contain temporal information, the majority of existing techniques in relational…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2011-11-23 Ryan A. Rossi , Jennifer Neville

This paper presents a novel learning analytics method: Transition Network Analysis (TNA), a method that integrates Stochastic Process Mining and probabilistic graph representation to model, visualize, and identify transition patterns in the…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2025-02-06 Mohammed Saqr , Sonsoles López-Pernas , Tiina Törmänen , Rogers Kaliisa , Kamila Misiejuk , Santtu Tikka

Bearing fault detection is a critical task in predictive maintenance, where accurate and timely fault identification can prevent costly downtime and equipment damage. Traditional attention mechanisms in Transformer neural networks often…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-17 Marzieh Mirzaeibonehkhater , Mohammad Ali Labbaf-Khaniki , Mohammad Manthouri

Evolutionary computation can be used to optimize several different aspects of neural network architectures. For instance, the TaylorGLO method discovers novel, customized loss functions, resulting in improved performance, faster training,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-12 Santiago Gonzalez , Xin Qiu , Risto Miikkulainen