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Efficiently and flexibly estimating treatment effect heterogeneity is an important task in a wide variety of settings ranging from medicine to marketing, and there are a considerable number of promising conditional average treatment effect…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-05-10 Erik Sverdrup , Yifan Cui

Sequential experimental design to discover interventions that achieve a desired outcome is a key problem in various domains including science, engineering and public policy. When the space of possible interventions is large, making an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-17 Jiaqi Zhang , Louis Cammarata , Chandler Squires , Themistoklis P. Sapsis , Caroline Uhler

In this study, we introduce the application of causal disparity analysis to unveil intricate relationships and causal pathways between sensitive attributes and the targeted outcomes within real-world observational data. Our methodology…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2024-08-08 Farnaz Kohankhaki , Shaina Raza , Oluwanifemi Bamgbose , Deval Pandya , Elham Dolatabadi

Accurately predicting conditional average treatment effects (CATEs) is crucial in personalized medicine and digital platform analytics. Since the treatments of interest often cannot be directly randomized, observational data is leveraged to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-05 Miruna Oprescu , Nathan Kallus

This thesis develops methods for causal inference and causal representation learning (CRL) in high-dimensional, time-varying data. The first contribution introduces the Causal Dynamic Variational Autoencoder (CDVAE), a model for estimating…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-05 Mouad EL Bouchattaoui

Causal inference, estimating causal effects from observational data, is a fundamental tool in many disciplines. Of particular importance across a variety of domains is the continuous treatment setting, where the variable of intervention has…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-15 Christopher Stith , Medha Barath , Vahid Balazadeh , Jesse C. Cresswell , Rahul G. Krishnan

Rule set learning has long been studied and has recently been frequently revisited due to the need for interpretable models. Still, existing methods have several shortcomings: 1) most recent methods require a binary feature matrix as input,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-19 Lincen Yang , Matthijs van Leeuwen

Heterogeneous treatment effect models allow us to compare treatments at subgroup and individual levels, and are of increasing popularity in applications like personalized medicine, advertising, and education. In this talk, we first survey…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-28 Zijun Gao , Trevor Hastie

Average Treatment Effect (ATE) estimation is a well-studied problem in causal inference. However, it does not necessarily capture the heterogeneity in the data, and several approaches have been proposed to tackle the issue, including…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-19 Raghavendra Addanki , Siddharth Bhandari

Causal inference is paramount for understanding the effects of interventions, yet extracting personalized insights from increasingly complex data remains a significant challenge for modern machine learning. This is the case, in particular,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-12 Filippo Salmaso , Lorenzo Testa , Francesca Chiaromonte

Understanding the causal effects of text on downstream outcomes is a central task in many applications. Estimating such effects requires researchers to run controlled experiments that systematically vary textual features. While large…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-02-18 Omri Feldman , Amar Venugopal , Jann Spiess , Amir Feder

Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects (HTEs) over time is crucial in many disciplines such as personalized medicine. For example, electronic health records are commonly collected over several time periods and then used to personalize…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-07 Dennis Frauen , Konstantin Hess , Stefan Feuerriegel

There is growing interest in estimating and analyzing heterogeneous treatment effects in experimental and observational studies. We describe a number of meta-algorithms that can take advantage of any supervised learning or regression method…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-06-18 Sören R. Künzel , Jasjeet S. Sekhon , Peter J. Bickel , Bin Yu

We consider the estimation of heterogeneous treatment effects with arbitrary machine learning methods in the presence of unobserved confounders with the aid of a valid instrument. Such settings arise in A/B tests with an intent-to-treat…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2019-06-07 Vasilis Syrgkanis , Victor Lei , Miruna Oprescu , Maggie Hei , Keith Battocchi , Greg Lewis

Flexible machine learning tools are increasingly used to estimate heterogeneous treatment effects. This paper gives an accessible tutorial demonstrating the use of the causal forest algorithm, available in the R package grf. We start with a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-12-17 Erik Sverdrup , Maria Petukhova , Stefan Wager

With advances in estimating heterogeneous treatment effects, firms can personalize and target individuals at a granular level. However, feasibility constraints limit full personalization. In practice, firms choose segments of individuals…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-07-02 Walter W. Zhang , Sanjog Misra

As estimation of Heterogeneous Treatment Effect (HTE) is increasingly adopted across a wide range of scientific and industrial applications, the treatment action space can naturally expand, from a binary treatment variable to a structured…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-09 Jennifer Y. Zhang , Shuyang Du , Will Y. Zou

Estimating individualized treatment rules (ITRs) is fundamental to precision medicine, where the goal is to tailor treatment decisions to individual patient characteristics. While numerous methods have been developed for ITR estimation,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-15 Eun Jeong Oh , Min Qian

User growth is a major strategy for consumer internet companies. To optimize costly marketing campaigns and maximize user engagement, we propose a novel treatment effect optimization methodology to enhance user growth marketing. By…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-09 Shuyang Du , Jennifer Zhang , Will Y. Zou

Exhaustive subgroup treatment effect plots are constructed by displaying all subgroup treatment effects of interest against subgroup sample size, providing a useful overview of the observed treatment effect heterogeneity in a clinical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-09 Björn Bornkamp , Jiarui Lu , Frank Bretz