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Ensuring the reliability and safety of automated decision-making is crucial. It is well-known that data distribution shifts in machine learning can produce unreliable outcomes. This paper proposes a new approach for measuring the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-14 Daniel Sikar , Artur Garcez , Tillman Weyde , Robin Bloomfield , Kaleem Peeroo

Safely deploying machine learning models to the real world is often a challenging process. Models trained with data obtained from a specific geographic location tend to fail when queried with data obtained elsewhere, agents trained in a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-02 Marco Federici , Ryota Tomioka , Patrick Forré

Given an algorithmic predictor that is "fair" on some source distribution, will it still be fair on an unknown target distribution that differs from the source within some bound? In this paper, we study the transferability of statistical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-19 Yatong Chen , Reilly Raab , Jialu Wang , Yang Liu

As the use of machine learning in high impact domains becomes widespread, the importance of evaluating safety has increased. An important aspect of this is evaluating how robust a model is to changes in setting or population, which…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-16 Adarsh Subbaswamy , Roy Adams , Suchi Saria

When autonomous robots interact with humans, such as during autonomous driving, explicit safety guarantees are crucial in order to avoid potentially life-threatening accidents. Many data-driven methods have explored learning probabilistic…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2021-03-26 Richard Cheng , Richard M. Murray , Joel W. Burdick

A distribution shift can have fundamental consequences such as signaling a change in the operating environment or significantly reducing the accuracy of downstream models. Thus, understanding distribution shifts is critical for examining…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-21 Sean Kulinski , David I. Inouye

As autonomous driving technology matures, safety and robustness of its key components, including trajectory prediction, is vital. Though real-world datasets, such as Waymo Open Motion, provide realistic recorded scenarios for model…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2024-02-06 Benjamin Stoler , Ingrid Navarro , Meghdeep Jana , Soonmin Hwang , Jonathan Francis , Jean Oh

Most machine learning models operate under the assumption that the training, testing and deployment data is independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.). This assumption doesn't generally hold true in a natural setting. Usually, the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-14 Kumud Lakara , Akshat Bhandari , Pratinav Seth , Ujjwal Verma

Autonomous systems operate in environments that may change over time. An example is the control of a self-driving vehicle among pedestrians and human-controlled vehicles whose behavior may change based on factors such as traffic density,…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-02-16 Kaizer Rahaman , Jyotirmoy V. Deshmukh , Ashish R. Hota , Lars Lindemann

We present a new adaptive algorithm for learning discrete distributions under distribution drift. In this setting, we observe a sequence of independent samples from a discrete distribution that is changing over time, and the goal is to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-11 Alessio Mazzetto

Most research designing novel predictive models, or employing existing ones, assumes that training and testing data are independent and identically distributed. In practice, the data encountered at serving time often deviate from the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-30 Hanyu Duan , Yi Yang , Ahmed Abbasi , Kar Yan Tam

Generalization under distribution shift remains a core challenge in modern machine learning, yet existing learning bound theory is limited to narrow, idealized settings and is non-estimable from samples. In this paper, we bridge the gap…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-08-25 Hongbo Chen , Li Charlie Xia

Existing drift detection methods focus on designing sensitive test statistics. They treat the detection threshold as a fixed hyperparameter, set once to balance false alarms and late detections, and applied uniformly across all datasets and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-14 Pengqian Lu , Jie Lu , Anjin Liu , En Yu , Guangquan Zhang

Modern machine learning methods including deep learning have achieved great success in predictive accuracy for supervised learning tasks, but may still fall short in giving useful estimates of their predictive {\em uncertainty}. Quantifying…

Dealing with distribution shifts is one of the central challenges for modern machine learning. One fundamental situation is the covariate shift, where the input distributions of data change from training to testing stages while the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-28 Yu-Jie Zhang , Zhen-Yu Zhang , Peng Zhao , Masashi Sugiyama

The performance of decision policies and prediction models often deteriorates when applied to environments different from the ones seen during training. To ensure reliable operation, we analyze the stability of a system under distribution…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-13 Hongseok Namkoong , Yuanzhe Ma , Peter W. Glynn

Data-driven and adaptive control approaches face the problem of introducing sudden distributional shifts beyond the distribution of data encountered during learning. Therefore, they are prone to invalidating the very assumptions used in…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-08-25 Mohammad Ramadan , Evan Toler , Mihai Anitescu

With the widespread adoption of machine learning technologies in autonomous driving systems, their role in addressing complex environmental perception challenges has become increasingly crucial. However, existing machine learning models…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2025-08-19 Lida Xu

Conformal prediction is a popular, modern technique for providing valid predictive inference for arbitrary machine learning models. Its validity relies on the assumptions of exchangeability of the data, and symmetry of the given model…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-20 Rina Foygel Barber , Emmanuel J. Candes , Aaditya Ramdas , Ryan J. Tibshirani

Machine learning models deployed in non-stationary environments are exposed to temporal distribution shift, which can erode predictive reliability over time. While common mitigation strategies such as periodic retraining and recalibration…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-06 Naimur Rahman , Naazreen Tabassum
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