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相关论文: Length Optimization in Conformal Prediction

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Conformal prediction (CP) offers a principled framework for uncertainty quantification, but it fails to guarantee coverage when faced with missing covariates. In addressing the heterogeneity induced by various missing patterns,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-17 Jiarong Fan , Juhyun Park. Thi Phuong Thuy Vo , Nicolas Brunel

Conformal prediction constructs prediction sets with finite-sample coverage guarantees, but its calibration stage is structurally constrained to a scalar score function and a single threshold variable - forcing shapes of prediction sets to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-13 Laura Lützow , Simone Garatti , Marco C. Campi , Lars Lindemann , Matthias Althoff

Conformal prediction provides a distribution-free framework for uncertainty quantification. This study explores the application of conformal prediction in scenarios where covariates are missing, which introduces significant challenges for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-09 Jingsen Kong , YIming Liu , Guangren Yang

We propose a conformal prediction method for constructing tight simultaneous prediction intervals for multiple, potentially related, numerical outputs given a single input. This method can be combined with any multi-target regression model…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-18 Yunjie Fan , Matteo Sesia

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) excel in diverse tasks, yet their applications in high-stakes domains are often hampered by unreliable predictions. Although numerous uncertainty quantification methods have been proposed to address this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-22 Tianyi Zhao , Jian Kang , Lu Cheng

Conformal prediction is a powerful tool to generate uncertainty sets with guaranteed coverage using any predictive model, under the assumption that the training and test data are i.i.d.. Recently, it has been shown that adversarial examples…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-01 Ge Yan , Yaniv Romano , Tsui-Wei Weng

Conformal prediction (CP) produces prediction regions with finite-sample, distribution free coverage guarantees, but its interpretation as a quantitative uncertainty tool is often left implicit. We develop a category-theoretic approach that…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-05 Michele Caprio

Conformal prediction and scenario optimization constitute two important classes of statistical learning frameworks to certify decisions made using data. They have found numerous applications in control theory, machine learning and robotics.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-03 Niall O'Sullivan , Licio Romao , Kostas Margellos

Conformal prediction offers a distribution-free framework for constructing prediction sets with coverage guarantees. In practice, multiple valid conformal prediction sets may be available, arising from different models or methodologies.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-06-26 Mahmoud Hegazy , Liviu Aolaritei , Michael I. Jordan , Aymeric Dieuleveut

Contextual optimization, also known as predict-then-optimize or prescriptive analytics, considers an optimization problem with the presence of covariates (context or side information). The goal is to learn a prediction model (from the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-05-13 Chunlin Sun , Linyu Liu , Xiaocheng Li

Conformal predictions make it possible to define reliable and robust learning algorithms. But they are essentially a method for evaluating whether an algorithm is good enough to be used in practice. To define a reliable learning framework…

Conformal prediction has emerged as a powerful tool for building prediction intervals that are valid in a distribution-free way. However, its evaluation may be computationally costly, especially in the high-dimensional setting where the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-13 Lucas Clarté , Lenka Zdeborová

Handling long-context inputs is crucial for large language models (LLMs) in tasks such as extended conversations, document summarization, and many-shot in-context learning. While recent approaches have extended the context windows of LLMs…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-07-29 Lizhe Fang , Yifei Wang , Zhaoyang Liu , Chenheng Zhang , Stefanie Jegelka , Jinyang Gao , Bolin Ding , Yisen Wang

The quantitative structure-activity relationship (QSAR) regression model is a commonly used technique for predicting biological activities of compounds using their molecular descriptors. Predictions from QSAR models can help, for example,…

生物大分子 · 定量生物学 2023-04-04 Yuting Xu , Andy Liaw , Robert P. Sheridan , Vladimir Svetnik

Conformal prediction methods are statistical tools designed to quantify uncertainty and generate predictive sets with guaranteed coverage probabilities. This work introduces an innovative refinement to these methods for classification…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-04 Jean-Baptiste Fermanian , Mohamed Hebiri , Joseph Salmon

In regression, conformal prediction is a general methodology to construct prediction intervals in a distribution-free manner. Although conformal prediction guarantees strong statistical property for predictive inference, its inherent…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-12-01 Wenyu Chen , Zhaokai Wang , Wooseok Ha , Rina Foygel Barber

While significant advances exist in pseudo-label generation for semi-supervised semantic segmentation, pseudo-label selection remains understudied. Existing methods typically use fixed confidence thresholds to retain high-confidence…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-09-23 Pan Liu , Jinshi Liu

We investigate generically applicable and intuitively appealing prediction intervals based on $k$-fold cross validation. We focus on the conditional coverage probability of the proposed intervals, given the observations in the training…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-05-13 Lukas Steinberger , Hannes Leeb

Vision-language models such as CLIP achieve strong visual-textual alignment, but often suffer from overfitting and limited interpretability when adapted through continuous prompt learning. While discrete prompt optimization improves…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-05-07 Yating Wang , Yaqi Zhao , Yongshun Gong , Yilong Yin , Haoliang Sun

We investigate the integration of Conformal Prediction (CP) with supervised learning on deterministically encrypted data, aiming to bridge the gap between rigorous uncertainty quantification and privacy-preserving machine learning. Using…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-15 Alexander David Balinsky , Dominik Krzeminski , Alexander Balinsky
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