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This tutorial provides a concise introduction to modern causal modeling by integrating potential outcomes and graphical methods. We motivate causal questions such as counterfactual reasoning under interventions and define binary treatments…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-27 Gauranga Kumar Baishya

Estimating causal effects is vital for decision making. In standard causal effect estimation, treatments are usually binary- or continuous-valued. However, in many important real-world settings, treatments can be structured,…

The past two decades have seen a growing interest in combining causal information, commonly represented using causal graphs, with machine learning models. Probability trees provide a simple yet powerful alternative representation of causal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-18 Tue Herlau

Probabilistic Graphical Bayesian models of causation have continued to impact on strategic analyses designed to help evaluate the efficacy of different interventions on systems. However, the standard causal algebras upon which these…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-08 Preetha Ramiah , James Q. Smith , Oliver Bunnin , Silvia Liverani , Jamie Addison , Annabel Whipp

Causal inference plays an important role in explanatory analysis and decision making across various fields like statistics, marketing, health care, and education. Its main task is to estimate treatment effects and make intervention…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-22 Yingrong Wang , Haoxuan Li , Minqin Zhu , Anpeng Wu , Ruoxuan Xiong , Fei Wu , Kun Kuang

Causal representation learning is the task of identifying the underlying causal variables and their relations from high-dimensional observations, such as images. Recent work has shown that one can reconstruct the causal variables from…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-09 Phillip Lippe , Sara Magliacane , Sindy Löwe , Yuki M. Asano , Taco Cohen , Efstratios Gavves

Credit card fraud has emerged as major problem in the electronic payment sector. In this survey, we study data-driven credit card fraud detection particularities and several machine learning methods to address each of its intricate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-14 Yvan Lucas , Johannes Jurgovsky

This paper shows how to use a randomized saturation experimental design to identify and estimate causal effects in the presence of spillovers--one person's treatment may affect another's outcome--and one-sided non-compliance--subjects can…

Credit card plays a very important rule in today's economy. It becomes an unavoidable part of household, business and global activities. Although using credit cards provides enormous benefits when used carefully and responsibly,significant…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2016-11-22 SamanehSorournejad , Zahra Zojaji , Reza Ebrahimi Atani , Amir Hassan Monadjemi

Consider the problem of estimating the causal effect of some attribute of a text document; for example: what effect does writing a polite vs. rude email have on response time? To estimate a causal effect from observational data, we need to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-02-09 Lin Gui , Victor Veitch

In the causal adjustment setting, variable selection techniques based on either the outcome or treatment allocation model can result in the omission of confounders or the inclusion of spurious variables in the propensity score. We propose a…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-06-06 Ashkan Ertefaie , Masoud Asgharian , David A. Stephens

Estimating conditional average dose responses (CADR) is an important but challenging problem. Estimators must correctly model the potentially complex relationships between covariates, interventions, doses, and outcomes. In recent years, the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-13 Christopher Bockel-Rickermann , Toon Vanderschueren , Tim Verdonck , Wouter Verbeke

This paper introduces a new framework for recovering causal graphs from observational data, leveraging the observation that the distribution of an effect, conditioned on its causes, remains invariant to changes in the prior distribution of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-04 Nang Hung Nguyen , Phi Le Nguyen , Thao Nguyen Truong , Trong Nghia Hoang , Masashi Sugiyama

Causal analysis has become an essential component in understanding the underlying causes of phenomena across various fields. Despite its significance, existing literature on causal discovery algorithms is fragmented, with inconsistent…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-09-05 Wenjin Niu , Zijun Gao , Liyan Song , Lingbo Li

We provide new results for nonparametric identification, estimation, and inference of causal effects using `proxy controls': observables that are noisy but informative proxies for unobserved confounding factors. Our analysis applies to…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-11-22 Ben Deaner

Assessing the magnitude of cause-and-effect relations is one of the central challenges found throughout the empirical sciences. The problem of identification of causal effects is concerned with determining whether a causal effect can be…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2018-12-18 Amin Jaber , Jiji Zhang , Elias Bareinboim

Many questions in science center around the fundamental problem of understanding causal relationships. However, most constraint-based causal discovery algorithms, including the well-celebrated PC algorithm, often incur an exponential number…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-05 Kirankumar Shiragur , Jiaqi Zhang , Caroline Uhler

The discovery of causal relationships from high-dimensional data is a major open problem in bioinformatics. Machine learning and feature attribution models have shown great promise in this context but lack causal interpretation. Here, we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-26 Payam Dibaeinia , Saurabh Sinha

We propose a general procedure for the detector-response correction (including efficiency correction) of higher order cumulants observed by the event-by-event analysis in heavy-ion collisions. This method makes use of the moments of the…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2018-10-17 Toshihiro Nonaka , Masakiyo Kitazawa , ShinIchi Esumi

Estimating how a treatment affects different individuals, known as heterogeneous treatment effect estimation, is an important problem in empirical sciences. In the last few years, there has been a considerable interest in adapting machine…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-18 Christopher Tran , Keith Burghardt , Kristina Lerman , Elena Zheleva