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Time series foundation models (TSFMs) are a class of potentially powerful, general-purpose tools for time series forecasting and related temporal tasks, but their behavior is strongly shaped by subtle inductive biases in their design.…

Time series foundation models (FMs) have emerged as a popular paradigm for zero-shot multi-domain forecasting. These models are trained on numerous diverse datasets and claim to be effective forecasters across multiple different time series…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2025-05-19 Anubha Goel , Puneet Pasricha , Martin Magris , Juho Kanniainen

Multistage stochastic programming provides a modeling framework for sequential decision-making problems that involve uncertainty. One typically overlooked aspect of this methodology is how uncertainty is incorporated into modeling.…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-09-24 Juyoung Wang , Mucahit Cevik , Merve Bodur

The evaluation of time series forecasting models is hindered by a lack of high-quality benchmarks, leading to overestimated assessments of progress. Existing datasets suffer from issues ranging from small-scale, low-frequency, pre-training…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-11 Zhijian Xu , Wanxu Cai , Xilin Dai , Zhaorong Deng , Qiang Xu

Multivariate Time Series Forecasting (MTSF) involves predicting future values of multiple interrelated time series. Recently, deep learning-based MTSF models have gained significant attention for their promising ability to mine semantics…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-17 Chengqing Yu , Fei Wang , Chuanguang Yang , Zezhi Shao , Tao Sun , Tangwen Qian , Wei Wei , Zhulin An , Yongjun Xu

Multi-task and few-shot time series forecasting tasks are commonly encountered in scenarios such as the launch of new products in different cities. However, traditional time series forecasting methods suffer from insufficient historical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-25 Pengpeng Ouyang , Dong Chen , Tong Yang , Shuo Feng , Zhao Jin , Mingliang Xu

This study investigates zero-shot forecasting capabilities of Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) for macroeconomic indicators. We apply TSFMs to forecasting economic indicators under univariate conditions, bypassing the need for train…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-05 Jittarin Jetwiriyanon , Teo Susnjak , Surangika Ranathunga

We formulate a new inference task in the domain of multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF), called Variable Subset Forecast (VSF), where only a small subset of the variables is available during inference. Variables are absent during…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-28 Jatin Chauhan , Aravindan Raghuveer , Rishi Saket , Jay Nandy , Balaraman Ravindran

Time series forecasting plays a crucial role in various applications, particularly in healthcare, where accurate predictions of future health trajectories can significantly impact clinical decision-making. Ensuring transparency and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-22 Jeremy Qin

Decision-making in building energy systems critically depends on the predictive accuracy of relevant time-series models. In scenarios lacking extensive data from a target building, foundation models (FMs) represent a promising technology…

Accurate analysis of industrial time-series big data is critical for the Prognostics and Health Management (PHM) of industrial equipment. While recent advancements in Large Language Models (LLMs) have shown promise in time-series analysis,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-10 Haiteng Wang , Yikang Li , Yunfei Zhu , Jingheng Yan , Lei Ren , Laurence T. Yang

Multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF) aims to learn temporal dynamics among variables to forecast future time series. Existing statistical and deep learning-based methods suffer from limited learnable parameters and small-scale…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-01 Chenxi Liu , Qianxiong Xu , Hao Miao , Sun Yang , Lingzheng Zhang , Cheng Long , Ziyue Li , Rui Zhao

The endeavor of stock trend forecasting is principally focused on predicting the future trajectory of the stock market, utilizing either manual or technical methodologies to optimize profitability. Recent advancements in machine learning…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-02-19 Mingjie Wang , Juanxi Tian , Mingze Zhang , Jianxiong Guo , Weijia Jia

Multivariate time-series forecasting holds immense value across diverse applications, requiring methods to effectively capture complex temporal and inter-variable dynamics. A key challenge lies in uncovering the intrinsic patterns that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-12 Liang Yu , Lai Tu , Xiang Bai

Recently, deep learning has driven significant advancements in multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF) tasks. However, much of the current research in MTSF tends to evaluate models from a holistic perspective, which obscures the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-23 Shuang Liang , Chaochuan Hou , Xu Yao , Shiping Wang , Minqi Jiang , Songqiao Han , Hailiang Huang

Building energy management (BEM) tasks require processing and learning from a variety of time-series data. Existing solutions rely on bespoke task- and data-specific models to perform these tasks, limiting their broader applicability.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-16 Ozan Baris Mulayim , Pengrui Quan , Liying Han , Xiaomin Ouyang , Dezhi Hong , Mario Bergés , Mani Srivastava

Accurately forecasting the impact of macroeconomic events is critical for investors and policymakers. Salient events like monetary policy decisions and employment reports often trigger market movements by shaping expectations of economic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-11 Yang Zhang , Wenbo Yang , Jun Wang , Qiang Ma , Jie Xiong

In contemporary data-driven environments, the generation and processing of multivariate time series data is an omnipresent challenge, often complicated by time delays between different time series. These delays, originating from a multitude…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-26 Jiajie Wang , Zhiyuan Jerry Lin , Wen Chen

Time-Series Forecasting based on Cumulative Data (TSFCD) is a crucial problem in decision-making across various industrial scenarios. However, existing time-series forecasting methods often overlook two important characteristics of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-26 Zhichao Chen , Leilei Ding , Zhixuan Chu , Yucheng Qi , Jianmin Huang , Hao Wang

We study an emerging and intriguing problem of multimodal temporal event forecasting with large language models. Compared to using text or graph modalities, the investigation of utilizing images for temporal event forecasting has not been…

多媒体 · 计算机科学 2024-08-09 Haoxuan Li , Zhengmao Yang , Yunshan Ma , Yi Bin , Yang Yang , Tat-Seng Chua