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In this paper, we model the trajectory of sea vessels and provide a service that predicts in near-real time the position of any given vessel in 4', 10', 20' and 40' time intervals. We explore the necessary tradeoffs between accuracy,…

Spatio-temporal forecasting has numerous applications in analyzing wireless, traffic, and financial networks. Many classical statistical models often fall short in handling the complexity and high non-linearity present in time-series data.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-06-14 Soumyasundar Pal , Liheng Ma , Yingxue Zhang , Mark Coates

As the role played by statistical and computational sciences in climate and environmental modelling and prediction becomes more important, Machine Learning researchers are becoming more aware of the relevance of their work to help tackle…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-12-23 Federico Amato , Fabian Guignard , Sylvain Robert , Mikhail Kanevski

Solar wind classification is conducive to understand the physical processes ongoing at the Sun and solar wind evolution in the interplanetary space, and furthermore, it is helpful for early warning of space weather events. With rapid…

空间物理 · 物理学 2019-08-26 Hui Li , Chi Wang , Cui Tu , Fei Xu

The ability to forecast the concentration of air pollutants in an urban region is crucial for decision-makers wishing to reduce the impact of pollution on public health through active measures (e.g. temporary traffic closures). In this…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2021-07-08 Dario Marvin , Lorenzo Nespoli , Davide Strepparava , Vasco Medici

We present a scalable machine learning framework for analyzing Parker Solar Probe (PSP) solar wind data using distributed processing and the quantum-inspired Kernel Density Matrices (KDM) method. The PSP dataset (2018--2024) exceeds 150 GB,…

Over the past decade, wind energy has gained more attention in the world. However, owing to its indirectness and volatility properties, wind power penetration has increased the difficulty and complexity in dispatching and planning of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-08 Onder Eyecioglu , Batuhan Hangun , Korhan Kayisli , Mehmet Yesilbudak

Accurate and reliable solar flare predictions are essential to mitigate potential impacts on critical infrastructure. However, the current performance of solar flare forecasting is insufficient. In this study, we address the task of…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-09-15 Yusuke Takagi , Shunya Nagashima , Komei Sugiura

The solar wind speed at Earth is one of the most important parameters regarding the effects of space weather on society. Thus far, most approaches for predicting the solar wind speed produce a single-value time series without uncertainty,…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2026-03-13 Daniel E. da Silva , Yash Parlikar , Shaela I. Jones , Charles N. Arge

Forecasting future weather and climate is inherently difficult. Machine learning offers new approaches to increase the accuracy and computational efficiency of forecasts, but current methods are unable to accurately model uncertainty in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-02 Yusuke Hatanaka , Yannik Glaser , Geoff Galgon , Giuseppe Torri , Peter Sadowski

Against the backdrop of increasingly severe global environmental changes, accurately predicting and meeting renewable energy demands has become a key challenge for sustainable business development. Traditional energy demand forecasting…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-22 Te Li , Mengze Zhang , Yan Zhou

The increasing global demand for clean and environmentally friendly energy resources has caused increased interest in harnessing solar power through photovoltaic (PV) systems for smart grids and homes. However, the inherent unpredictability…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-24 Saman Soleymani , Shima Mohammadzadeh

Knowing the behavior of solar radiation at a geographic location is essential for the use of energy from the sun using photovoltaic systems; however, the number of stations for measuring meteorological parameters and for determining the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-13 Luis Eduardo Ordoñez Palacios , Víctor Bucheli Guerrero , Hugo Ordoñez

The cost of delays was estimated as 33 billion US dollars only in 2019 for the US National Airspace System, a peak value following a growth trend in past years. Aiming to address this huge inefficiency, we designed and developed a novel…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-16 Ítalo Romani de Oliveira , Samet Ayhan , Michael Biglin , Pablo Costas , Euclides C. Pinto Neto

Space weather indices are used commonly to drive forecasts of thermosphere density, which directly affects objects in low-Earth orbit (LEO) through atmospheric drag. One of the most commonly used space weather proxies, $F_{10.7 cm}$,…

空间物理 · 物理学 2023-06-06 Joshua D. Daniell , Piyush M. Mehta

We introduce a new multivariate data set that utilizes multiple spacecraft collecting in-situ and remote sensing heliospheric measurements shown to be linked to physical processes responsible for generating solar energetic particles (SEPs).…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2023-10-30 Kimberly Moreland , Maher Dayeh , Hazel M. Bain , Subhamoy Chatterjee , Andres Munoz-Jaramillo , Samuel Hart

As renewable distributed energy resources (DERs) penetrate the power grid at an accelerating speed, it is essential for operators to have accurate solar photovoltaic (PV) energy forecasting for efficient operations and planning. Generally,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-09-26 Hossein Sangrody , Morteza Sarailoo , Ning Zhou , Nhu Tran , Mahdi Motalleb , Elham Foruzan

Solar energetic particle (SEP) events, as one of the most prominent manifestations of solar activity, can generate severe hazardous radiation when accelerated by solar flares or shock waves formed aside from coronal mass ejections (CMEs).…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-13 Anli Ji , Pranjal Patil , Chetraj Pandey , Manolis K. Georgoulis , Berkay Aydin

For short-term solar irradiance forecasting, the traditional point forecasting methods are rendered less useful due to the non-stationary characteristic of solar power. The amount of operating reserves required to maintain reliable…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-02 Sakshi Mishra , Praveen Palanisamy

Convective available potential energy (CAPE) is an important variable for forecasting severe weather and understanding deep convection and precipitation. The latest versions of the Global Forecast System (GFS) and related Global Ensemble…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-05-26 Zachary James , Joseph Guinness , Arthur DeGaetano