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Deterministic neural networks (NNs) are increasingly being deployed in safety critical domains, where calibrated, robust, and efficient measures of uncertainty are crucial. In this paper, we propose a novel method for training non-Bayesian…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-25 Alexander Amini , Wilko Schwarting , Ava Soleimany , Daniela Rus

We evaluate the uncertainty quality in neural networks using anomaly detection. We extract uncertainty measures (e.g. entropy) from the predictions of candidate models, use those measures as features for an anomaly detector, and gauge how…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-12-26 Ramon Oliveira , Pedro Tabacof , Eduardo Valle

Deep learning has become the most powerful machine learning tool in the last decade. However, how to efficiently train deep neural networks remains to be thoroughly solved. The widely used minibatch stochastic gradient descent (SGD) still…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-05-18 Xinyu Peng , Jiawei Zhang , Fei-Yue Wang , Li Li

Deep neural networks (DNNs) are known to produce incorrect predictions with very high confidence on out-of-distribution inputs (OODs). This limitation is one of the key challenges in the adoption of DNNs in high-assurance systems such as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-21 Ramneet Kaur , Susmit Jha , Anirban Roy , Sangdon Park , Oleg Sokolsky , Insup Lee

The inability of artificial neural networks to assess the uncertainty of their predictions is an impediment to their widespread use. We distinguish two types of learnable uncertainty: model uncertainty due to a lack of training data and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-14 Hans Weytjens , Jochen De Weerdt

Open intent detection is a significant problem in natural language understanding, which aims to identify the unseen open intent while ensuring known intent identification performance. However, current methods face two major challenges.…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-05-08 Hanlei Zhang , Hua Xu , Shaojie Zhao , Qianrui Zhou

Providing accurate uncertainty estimations is essential for producing reliable machine learning models, especially in safety-critical applications such as accelerator systems. Gaussian process models are generally regarded as the gold…

Deep neural networks have achieved significant success in the last decades, but they are not well-calibrated and often produce unreliable predictions. A large number of literature relies on uncertainty quantification to evaluate the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-13 Russell Alan Hart , Linlin Yu , Yifei Lou , Feng Chen

Deep neural networks are a key component of behavior prediction and motion generation for self-driving cars. One of their main drawbacks is a lack of transparency: they should provide easy to interpret rationales for what triggers certain…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-05-12 Jinkyu Kim , Mayank Bansal

Deep-learning-based data-driven forecasting methods have produced impressive results for traffic forecasting. A major limitation of these methods, however, is that they provide forecasts without estimates of uncertainty, which are critical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-07 Tanwi Mallick , Prasanna Balaprakash , Jane Macfarlane

We develop a new class of distance-aware error bounds that tightly characterize the approximation error of spline neural networks. Our bottom-up approach analyzes the error bound of each neuron (a spline) and then extends it to the full…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-05-04 Masoud Ataei , Mohammad Javad Khojasteh , Vikas Dhiman

Learning-based control aims to construct models of a system to use for planning or trajectory optimization, e.g. in model-based reinforcement learning. In order to obtain guarantees of safety in this context, uncertainty must be accurately…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2020-06-08 David D. Fan , Ali-akbar Agha-mohammadi , Evangelos A. Theodorou

Probabilistic models often use neural networks to control their predictive uncertainty. However, when making out-of-distribution (OOD)} predictions, the often-uncontrollable extrapolation properties of neural networks yield poor uncertainty…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-19 Pierre Segonne , Yevgen Zainchkovskyy , Søren Hauberg

Task-oriented communication is an emerging paradigm for next-generation communication networks, which extracts and transmits task-relevant information, instead of raw data, for downstream applications. Most existing deep learning (DL)-based…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-02-07 Hongru Li , Wentao Yu , Hengtao He , Jiawei Shao , Shenghui Song , Jun Zhang , Khaled B. Letaief

Bayesian neural networks and deep ensemble methods have been proposed for uncertainty quantification; however, they are computationally intensive and require large storage. By utilizing a single deterministic model, we can solve the above…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-04 Yaxin Ma , Benjamin Colburn , Jose C. Principe

The selective visual attention mechanism in the human visual system (HVS) restricts the amount of information to reach visual awareness for perceiving natural scenes, allowing near real-time information processing with limited computational…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-02-04 Qiuxia Lai , Yu Li , Ailing Zeng , Minhao Liu , Hanqiu Sun , Qiang Xu

Precise probabilistic forecasts are fundamental for energy risk management, and there is a wide range of both statistical and machine learning models for this purpose. Inherent to these probabilistic models is some form of uncertainty…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-10 Andreas Lebedev , Abhinav Das , Sven Pappert , Stephan Schlüter

Domain generalization models learn to generalize to previously unseen domains, but suffer from prediction uncertainty and domain shift. In this paper, we address both problems. We introduce a probabilistic meta-learning model for domain…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-07-16 Yingjun Du , Jun Xu , Huan Xiong , Qiang Qiu , Xiantong Zhen , Cees G. M. Snoek , Ling Shao

Neural networks are powerful tools in various applications, and quantifying their uncertainty is crucial for reliable decision-making. In the deep learning field, the uncertainties are usually categorized into aleatoric (data) and epistemic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-21 Wang Zhang , Ziwen Ma , Subhro Das , Tsui-Wei Weng , Alexandre Megretski , Luca Daniel , Lam M. Nguyen

Despite the popularity of Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN), the problem of uncertainty quantification (UQ) of CNN has been largely overlooked. Lack of efficient UQ tools severely limits the application of CNN in certain areas, such as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-15 Hongfei Du , Emre Barut , Fang Jin