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In scenarios where training data is limited due to observation costs or data scarcity, enriching the label information associated with each instance becomes crucial for building high-accuracy classification models. In such contexts, it is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-25 Kosuke Sugiyama , Masato Uchida

Conformal prediction is widely used to equip black-box machine learning models with uncertainty quantification, offering formal coverage guarantees under exchangeable data. However, these guarantees fail when faced with subpopulation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-10 Nien-Shao Wang , Duygu Nur Yaldiz , Yavuz Faruk Bakman , Sai Praneeth Karimireddy

We study out-of-distribution (OOD) prediction behavior of neural networks when they classify images from unseen classes or corrupted images. To probe the OOD behavior, we introduce a new measure, nearest category generalization (NCG), where…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-09 Yao-Yuan Yang , Cyrus Rashtchian , Ruslan Salakhutdinov , Kamalika Chaudhuri

This paper presents a novel evaluation framework for Out-of-Distribution (OOD) detection that aims to assess the performance of machine learning models in more realistic settings. We observed that the real-world requirements for testing OOD…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-09-01 Vahid Reza Khazaie , Anthony Wong , Mohammad Sabokrou

Handling missing data is a central challenge in data-driven analysis. Modern imputation methods not only aim for accurate reconstruction but also differ in how they represent and quantify uncertainty. Yet, the reliability and calibration of…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2025-11-27 Zarin Tahia Hossain , Mostafa Milani

A typical desideratum for quantifying the uncertainty from a classification model as a prediction set is class-conditional singleton set calibration. That is, such sets should map to the output of well-calibrated selective classifiers,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-02 Allen Schmaltz , Danielle Rasooly

This study examines the role of uncertainty estimation (UE) methods in multilingual text classification under noisy and non-topical conditions. Using a complex-vs-simple sentence classification task across several languages, we evaluate a…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-03-10 Nouran Khallaf , Serge Sharoff

Existing uncertainty modeling approaches try to detect an out-of-distribution point from the in-distribution dataset. We extend this argument to detect finer-grained uncertainty that distinguishes between (a). certain points, (b). uncertain…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-02-12 Rahul Soni , Naresh Shah , Jimmy D. Moore

This paper considers an ML inspired approach to hypothesis testing known as classifier/classification-accuracy testing ($\mathsf{CAT}$). In $\mathsf{CAT}$, one first trains a classifier by feeding it labeled synthetic samples generated by…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-25 Patrik Róbert Gerber , Yanjun Han , Yury Polyanskiy

The black box nature of deep learning models complicate their usage in critical applications such as remote sensing. Conformal prediction is a method to ensure trust in such scenarios. Subject to data exchangeability, conformal prediction…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-07 Protim Bhattacharjee , Peter Jung

We propose a new scalable multi-class Gaussian process classification approach building on a novel modified softmax likelihood function. The new likelihood has two benefits: it leads to well-calibrated uncertainty estimates and allows for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-05-24 Théo Galy-Fajou , Florian Wenzel , Christian Donner , Manfred Opper

We propose an efficient method to estimate the accuracy of classifiers using only unlabeled data. We consider a setting with multiple classification problems where the target classes may be tied together through logical constraints. For…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-05-22 Emmanouil A. Platanios , Hoifung Poon , Tom M. Mitchell , Eric Horvitz

Deep neural networks present impressive performance, yet they cannot reliably estimate their predictive confidence, limiting their applicability in high-risk domains. We show that applying a multi-label one-vs-all loss reveals…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-29 Bartosz Wójcik , Jacek Grela , Marek Śmieja , Krzysztof Misztal , Jacek Tabor

In a well-calibrated risk prediction model, the average predicted probability is close to the true event rate for any given subgroup. Such models are reliable across heterogeneous populations and satisfy strong notions of algorithmic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-31 Jean Feng , Alexej Gossmann , Romain Pirracchio , Nicholas Petrick , Gene Pennello , Berkman Sahiner

Out-of-distribution (OOD) data poses serious challenges in deployed machine learning models, so methods of predicting a model's performance on OOD data without labels are important for machine learning safety. While a number of methods have…

As learning machines increase their influence on decisions concerning human lives, analyzing their fairness properties becomes a subject of central importance. Yet, our best tools for measuring the fairness of learning systems are rigid…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-07-21 David Lopez-Paz , Diane Bouchacourt , Levent Sagun , Nicolas Usunier

When presented with Out-of-Distribution (OOD) examples, deep neural networks yield confident, incorrect predictions. Detecting OOD examples is challenging, and the potential risks are high. In this paper, we propose to detect OOD examples…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-01-10 Chandramouli Shama Sastry , Sageev Oore

Conformal prediction is a simple and powerful tool that can quantify uncertainty without any distributional assumptions. Many existing methods only address the average coverage guarantee, which is not ideal compared to the stronger…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-02-21 Xing Han , Ziyang Tang , Joydeep Ghosh , Qiang Liu

Randomized smoothing is currently a state-of-the-art method to construct a certifiably robust classifier from neural networks against $\ell_2$-adversarial perturbations. Under the paradigm, the robustness of a classifier is aligned with the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-18 Jongheon Jeong , Sejun Park , Minkyu Kim , Heung-Chang Lee , Doguk Kim , Jinwoo Shin

Unfair predictions of machine learning (ML) models impede their broad acceptance in real-world settings. Tackling this arduous challenge first necessitates defining what it means for an ML model to be fair. This has been addressed by the ML…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-30 Selim Kuzucu , Jiaee Cheong , Hatice Gunes , Sinan Kalkan