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Transformers have achieved remarkable performance in multivariate time series(MTS) forecasting due to their capability to capture long-term dependencies. However, the canonical attention mechanism has two key limitations: (1) its quadratic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-17 Yifan Zhang , Rui Wu , Sergiu M. Dascalu , Frederick C. Harris

Time series forecasting is a crucial challenge with significant applications in areas such as weather prediction, stock market analysis, and scientific simulations. This paper introduces an embedded decomposed transformer, 'EDformer', for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-18 Sanjay Chakraborty , Ibrahim Delibasoglu , Fredrik Heintz

Accurate traffic forecasting is essential for intelligent transportation systems, supporting a wide range of real-world applications. However, it remains challenging due to two key factors:~(1) Traffic series contain heterogeneous temporal…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-05-26 Ruiwen Gu , Qitai Tan , Yahao Liu , Xiao-Ping Zhang

In the domain of multivariate time series analysis, the concept of channel independence has been increasingly adopted, demonstrating excellent performance due to its ability to eliminate noise and the influence of irrelevant variables.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-18 Haoxin Wang , Yipeng Mo , Kunlan Xiang , Nan Yin , Honghe Dai , Bixiong Li , Songhai Fan , Site Mo

In this paper, we present a new approach to time series forecasting. Time series data are prevalent in many scientific and engineering disciplines. Time series forecasting is a crucial task in modeling time series data, and is an important…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-01-24 Neo Wu , Bradley Green , Xue Ben , Shawn O'Banion

Time series forecasting underpins applications in finance, healthcare, and environmental monitoring. Despite the success of Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs), existing approaches operate in a unimodal setting and rely on static prompts…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-03-10 Sehyuk Park , Soyeon Caren Han , Eduard Hovy

Recently, the superiority of Transformer for long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) tasks has been challenged, particularly since recent work has shown that simple models can outperform numerous Transformer-based approaches. This suggests…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-10 Shengsheng Lin , Weiwei Lin , Wentai Wu , Songbo Wang , Yongxiang Wang

Time series forecasting is a crucial task in various domains. Caused by factors such as trends, seasonality, or irregular fluctuations, time series often exhibits non-stationary. It obstructs stable feature propagation through deep layers,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-05 Xiang Ma , Xuemei Li , Lexin Fang , Tianlong Zhao , Caiming Zhang

AI-based methods have been widely applied to tourism demand forecasting. However, current AI-based methods are short of the ability to process long-term dependency, and most of them lack interpretability. The Transformer used initially for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-26 Siyuan Yi , Xing Chen , Chuanming Tang

In the realm of time series forecasting (TSF), it is imperative for models to adeptly discern and distill hidden patterns within historical time series data to forecast future states. Transformer-based models exhibit formidable efficacy in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-30 Zihan Wang , Fanheng Kong , Shi Feng , Ming Wang , Xiaocui Yang , Han Zhao , Daling Wang , Yifei Zhang

Transformer-based models have become state-of-the-art tools in various machine learning tasks, including time series classification, yet their complexity makes understanding their internal decision-making challenging. Existing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-27 Matīss Kalnāre , Sofoklis Kitharidis , Thomas Bäck , Niki van Stein

Multivariate time series have many applications, from healthcare and meteorology to life science. Although deep learning models have shown excellent predictive performance for time series, they have been criticised for being "black-boxes"…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-06 Qiqi Su , Christos Kloukinas , Artur d'Avila Garcez

The paper develops a Transformer architecture for estimating dynamic factors from multivariate time series data under flexible identification assumptions. Performance on small datasets is improved substantially by using a conventional…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-01-21 Oliver Snellman

Origin-Destination (OD) matrices record directional flow data between pairs of OD regions. The intricate spatiotemporal dependency in the matrices makes the OD matrix forecasting (ODMF) problem not only intractable but also non-trivial.…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-08-18 Jin Huang , Bosong Huang , Weihao Yu , Jing Xiao , Ruzhong Xie , Ke Ruan

Point Transformers are near state-of-the-art models for classification, segmentation, and detection tasks on Point Cloud data. They utilize a self attention based mechanism to model large range spatial dependencies between multiple point…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-04-02 Kartik Gupta , Rahul Vippala , Sahima Srivastava

Time series forecasting plays a critical role in domains such as energy, finance, and healthcare, where accurate predictions inform decision-making under uncertainty. Although Transformer-based models have demonstrated success in sequential…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-27 Ali Forootani , Mohammad Khosravi

Sufficiently modeling the correlations among variables (aka channels) is crucial for achieving accurate multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF). In this paper, we propose a novel technique called Temporal Query (TQ) to more effectively…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-12 Shengsheng Lin , Haojun Chen , Haijie Wu , Chunyun Qiu , Weiwei Lin

As the most representative scenario of spatial-temporal forecasting tasks, the traffic forecasting task attracted numerous attention from machine learning community due to its intricate correlation both in space and time dimension. Existing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-16 Xinyu Ning

We explore the promising performance of a transformer model in predicting outputs of parametric dynamical systems with external time-varying input signals. The outputs of such systems vary not only with physical parameters but also with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-02 Shuwen Sun , Lihong Feng , Peter Benner

Multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting has attracted much attention in many intelligent applications. It is not a trivial task, as we need to consider both intra-variable dependencies and inter-variable dependencies. However, existing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-15 Donghui Chen , Ling Chen , Zongjiang Shang , Youdong Zhang , Bo Wen , Chenghu Yang