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Method of parameterizing and smoothing the unknown underling distributions using Bernstein polynomials is proposed, verified and investigated. Any distribution with bounded and smooth enough density can be approximated by the proposed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-06-23 Zhong Guan

Federated learning has attracted considerable interest for collaborative machine learning in healthcare to leverage separate institutional datasets while maintaining patient privacy. However, additional challenges such as poor calibration…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-19 Charles Lu , Jayasheree Kalpathy-Cramer

We introduce a sharpness functional for probabilistic models that quantifies sharpness as an intrinsic property of the probability distribution. The measure is derived based on a rank-based concentration principle that tracks upward…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-03 Pekka Syrjänen

Boltzmann machines are undirected graphical models with two-state stochastic variables, in which the logarithms of the clique potentials are quadratic functions of the node states. They have been widely studied in the neural computing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-02-01 Neil D. Lawrence , Christopher M. Bishop , Michael I. Jordan

Conformal prediction is a distribution-free uncertainty quantification method that has gained popularity in the machine learning community due to its finite-sample guarantees and ease of use. Its most common variant, dubbed split conformal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-27 Alvaro H. C. Correia , Christos Louizos

We propose an efficient method to estimate the accuracy of classifiers using only unlabeled data. We consider a setting with multiple classification problems where the target classes may be tied together through logical constraints. For…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-05-22 Emmanouil A. Platanios , Hoifung Poon , Tom M. Mitchell , Eric Horvitz

Conformal Prediction (CP) controls the prediction uncertainty of classification systems by producing a small prediction set, ensuring a predetermined probability that the true class lies within this set. This is commonly done by defining a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-14 Coby Penso , Jacob Goldberger , Ethan Fetaya

Choosing models from a well-fitted evolved population that generalizes beyond training data is difficult. We introduce a pragmatic method to estimate model complexity using Hessian rank for post-processing selection. Complexity is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-30 Nathan Haut , Zenas Huang , Adam Alessio

Growth in both size and complexity of modern data challenges the applicability of traditional likelihood-based inference. Composite likelihood (CL) methods address the difficulties related to model selection and computational intractability…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-09-12 Zhendong Huang , Davide Ferrari

Diffusion models have shown promising potential for advancing Boltzmann Generators. However, two critical challenges persist: (1) inherent errors in samples due to model imperfections, and (2) the requirement of hundreds of functional…

Active learning is a machine learning paradigm that aims to improve the performance of a model by strategically selecting and querying unlabeled data. One effective selection strategy is to base it on the model's predictive uncertainty,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-17 Seong Jin Cho , Gwangsu Kim , Junghyun Lee , Jinwoo Shin , Chang D. Yoo

Reliably estimating the uncertainty of a prediction throughout the model lifecycle is crucial in many safety-critical applications. The most common way to measure this uncertainty is via the predicted confidence. While this tends to work…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-24 Sebastian G. Gruber , Florian Buettner

We formulate the problem of performing optimal data compression under the constraints that compressed data can be used for accurate classification in machine learning. We show that this translates to a problem of minimizing the mutual…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-11-04 Jingchao Gao , Ao Tang , Weiyu Xu

Large Language Models (LLMs) have been widely employed in programming language analysis to enhance human productivity. Yet, their reliability can be compromised by various code distribution shifts, leading to inconsistent outputs. While…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2024-02-12 Yufei Li , Simin Chen , Yanghong Guo , Wei Yang , Yue Dong , Cong Liu

For safety-related applications, it is crucial to produce trustworthy deep neural networks whose prediction is associated with confidence that can represent the likelihood of correctness for subsequent decision-making. Existing dense binary…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-08-04 Jiawei Liu , Changkun Ye , Shan Wang , Ruikai Cui , Jing Zhang , Kaihao Zhang , Nick Barnes

Various applications involve assigning discrete label values to a collection of objects based on some pairwise noisy data. Due to the discrete---and hence nonconvex---structure of the problem, computing the optimal assignment (e.g.~maximum…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2017-12-11 Yuxin Chen , Emmanuel Candes

Precision medicine is accelerating rapidly in the field of health research. This includes fitting predictive models for individual patients based on patient similarity in an attempt to improve model performance. We propose an algorithm…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-07 Tatiana Krikella , Joel A. Dubin

The deployment of safe and trustworthy machine learning systems, and particularly complex black box neural networks, in real-world applications requires reliable and certified guarantees on their performance. The conformal prediction…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-06-14 Paul Melki , Lionel Bombrun , Boubacar Diallo , Jérôme Dias , Jean-Pierre da Costa

Modern image classifiers are very accurate, but the predictions come without uncertainty estimates. Conformal predictors provide uncertainty estimates by computing a set of classes containing the correct class with a user-specified…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-06 Fatih Furkan Yilmaz , Reinhard Heckel

Probabilistic mixture models have been widely used for different machine learning and pattern recognition tasks such as clustering, dimensionality reduction, and classification. In this paper, we focus on trying to solve the most common…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-04-08 Gustavo A Valencia-Zapata , Daniel Mejia , Gerhard Klimeck , Michael Zentner , Okan Ersoy